Welcome to our horse racing preview and betting tips for racing at Rosehill on Saturday, December 7th.
With Victoria's metropolitan meeting scheduled for Pakenham today, Rosehill will be our other meeting of focus alongside Perth's Kingston Town Classic meeting at Ascot. In Sydney, we've got nine races on the card so check out our preview and tips for every race below!
Be sure to check out our Ascot preview and betting tips, as well as our 2019 Kingston Town Classic preview and betting tips too!
Rosehill Racing Tips: Saturday, December 7th
Best Bet: Race 1 - (1) Hinchbeast
Best Value Bet: Race 7 - (1) Enigman
They will have to be very, very good to beat (1) Hinchbeast here. He was impressive on debut, running them into the ground with sustained speed at this track and distance. The horse he beat is a handy horse in my opinion, I think that form will stack up and there was a 7.5L gap back to the third horse, which is generally a good indicator that the first couple are pretty good. He'll go to the front and take some beating again today. Biggest danger looks to be the Snowden filly making her debut on the back of two winning trials, (7) Sancy.
Tipping another one from the Baker camp here as (1) Soldier Of Love looks hard to beat. He was good when narrowly defeated in what has turned out to be a very strong form race two starts ago, and he followed that with a win of his own last start. It appears he'll handle the step up in trip to 1800m and the claim for Sam Clenton certainly helps. She herself is flying, with 25 winners from her past 100 rides and seven from her past 20. (3) Statuesquely is the one she will have to run down. She's knocking on the door after three consecutive placings to open her campaign. She was brave when carrying 61kg last start but she carries 58.5kg today and looks well placed again. I could well end up with egg on my face but I can't believe the price about (8) Convinced. It's got no metro form to speak of except for a 3rd placing to Orcein last start. Leave me out of him.
(1) Soldier Of Love
$5.00
Never very keen to get too involved in Highways but there's two that stand out to me. Even though he's had a very unconventional preparation, (1) Gunga Din goes on top. He ran 3rd in a Highway four starts ago, then won in Canberra, then finished midfield in the Country Classic over 2000m. That's all fine, but he then dropped back to 1300m last start, where he settled last and charged home to be beaten less than a length. He now steps straight back up to 1800m. He'll have to be good to handle that distance rise with top weight but his form stacks up whereas plenty of the form in this race doesn't. (4) Harbouring has won two from three this prep and the defeat came when he ran well for 3rd in a Highway two starts ago. He's still only lightly raced and steps up in trip now to 1800m. He looks the danger and in fact, we can back both at $5.00 and $7.00 respectively.
Value: (4) Harbouring $7.00
This is one of the worst races of the day and Waller has more than half the field engaged so who knows what will happen. (3) Mangione is knocking on the door and gets his chance again with the inside draw. He was only run down late in the piece last start so with a soft run he'll be right in the finish again. (6) Guise and (7) Dark Pearl both drop back in trip slightly from a 2100m race at Warwick Farm they ran the quinella in midweek 10 days ago. Guise can probably turn the tables on Dark Pearl there. (1) Fun Fact gets up to a suitable distance third up and should run well. Not getting too involved here, it's a trap of a race.
I can't believe I'm tipping (3) Orcein again but maybe he's worked out what it's all about and how to win. He should have won two starts back when he was just run down late after covering a significant amount of ground, and then he redeemed himself by winning last start. He drops in grade so has to lump 60.5kg here but he carried a big weight without issues in that race two starts ago so it should be OK. (8) Bigboyroy made very hard work of it as the heavy odds on favourite last start. Barrier 1 gives him his chance to win again. (9) Pinup Miss was impressive last start at Newcastle in what was a Saturday race. She could be the one outside the Waller brigade to go close and is probably the runner at a bit of value that stands out. (11) Starla next best.
Value: (9) Pinup Miss $6.50
Competitive one. A few of these come through a race behind Kylease at Kembla Grange two weeks ago and they all finished alongside each other. (7) Handspun ran 2nd and was closest to the winner, which was a good effort considering she was only first up from a spell. She came from last on that occasion and ran the best sectionals. She's likely to be near the back again from barrier 3 so we'll need a pretty good ride from Hugh Bowman if she's going to win. (5) Pumpkin Pie and (6) Lucicello ran 3rd and 4th respectively, but Lucicello was less than half-a-length off Handspun so there really wasn't much separating them. Any of them could win, while (4) Word For Word brings the different form line given she's first up. She's lightly raced and could end up right on the speed from barrier 1 so she might well beat them all.
This is another competitive race but the first horse to jump off the page at me was the first horse I assessed and that was (1) Enigman. At $12 I can't not back him here and I've made him my best value of the day. He's won four of his five first up runs leading into this and with the claim for Robbie Dolan, he gets in with a very winnable weight. He obviously flies fresh, he's had two trials to prepare him for this, and his win first up last prep was at this distance. The Melbourne form sometimes struggles to line up here in Sydney, but Ciaron Maher has had two winners from five runners at Rosehill this season and it's been a very profitable betting outcome for those who have followed. The blinkers are off which is the query but at double figure odds he's very appealing as an each way bet. (9) Stephan also isn't without a hope of winning again at big odds. He was a surprise winner over this track and distance last start and that made it five wins from seven starts at the distance. I wouldn't be leaving him out again.
We've got a short-priced favourite here in the form of (9) Burning Crown but I'm going to take him on with a few Hail Mary's. (4) Echo Jet comes into this third up from a spell and ready to win. He gets the blinkers back on today with Nash Rawiller taking over and he's won four of his five starts at the distance. (5) The Party Girl didn't do much first up but she tends to need the run. She's only placed once from five starts when second up from a spell, while she's got two wins and a 2nd from four starts when second up. So she should improve sharply today. She comes out of a good race and Kerrin McEvoy sticks with her. (11) Wildwood Jade might not be up to the level as her Melbourne form is only moderate, but she's won three of her four starts when first up from a spell so include her at knockout odds. Something small on those three to roll the favourite.
(4) Echo Jet / (5) The Party Girl / (11) Wildwood Jade
$11/$26/$17
This is the first time I've backed this horse all prep, so he'll probably lose, but it really does look another good race for (4) Outrageous, who has convinced me now that he's not just a first up horse. I took him on second up thinking he'd turned it up in the past after a good first up run, but I ended up with egg on my face. He probably should have won again last start but was held up the entire straight under a stranglehold. Brock Ryan gets the boot and Hugh Bowman takes over. It is very, very rare to see Bowman riding for Team Hawkes so I suspect it will be for a very good reason. Outside the first, he's the bet of the day.
