UFC 263 Preview & Betting Tips

June 11th 2021, 9:08pm, By: Ben Talintyre

UFC 263 Betting Tips

Gila River Arena in Glendale, Arizona hosts UFC 263, in a card that is built around two rematches for the Middleweight and Flyweight titles. Fan favourite Nate Diaz returns to face England’s top prospect Leon Edwards and jiu jitsu sensation Demian Maia is back in action against a hungry Belal Muhammad. This card is packed top to bottom and is not to be missed. We focus on the main card for this weeks’ plays below.

UFC 263 Betting Tips

Israel Adesanya vs Marvin Vettori

The pair first met back in 2018 and Adesanya came out victorious by split decision. Vettori adamantly claims he won that bout, but I watched that fight live and multiple times since and still scratch my head as to how a judge awarded that fight to the Italian as I scored the first two rounds clearly for Adesanya. While their previous meeting should be used as a guide, both fighters have improved significantly since.

Adesanya suffered a defeat in his last outing as he attempted to become a double champ, falling to Polish powerhouse Jan Blachowicz. His takedown defense led to him losing that fight but what was odd about that fight was ‘The Last Stylebender’ had repelled many strong takedown attempts in his career previously but seemed stumped by the Pole. Vettori has notched up five straight wins since losing to Adesanya and despite personally believing the Italian needed another one or two wins before a title shot, he finds himself with the chance to earn UFC gold here. Adesanya is the more versatile striker with the ability to land one to the chin of Vettori who will be happy to chase Adesanya.

Vettori will likely secure a takedown or two if he does last the opening exchanges but I personally don’t think he will be able to hold him down, despite the ease that Adesanya was held down in his last fight. I confidently lean to Adesanya here and see him landing the knockout blow on the Italian within the first two rounds. Expect a dominant title defense by a ruthless Adesanya.

TIP:

Adesanya Win
$1.40

BET NOW AT Bet365

Adesanya by KO/TKO ($3.10)

Deiveson Figueiredo vs Brandon Moreno

What a fight that first meeting was, and it has spurred on some genuine distaste between the two in the months following. Brandon Moreno took the champion to the brink and fell agonisingly short in what was one of the greatest Flyweight bouts you will ever see. Moreno is tough, relentless and an exceptional grappler. I am a massive fan of the Mexican, but I see this fight as likely an emphatic victory for the Brazilian.

I do not think Figueiredo could have been anywhere close to his peak last time he met Moreno due to the fight being a last-minute card saving booking. He still managed to go a hard 25 minutes with Moreno which showed that the weight and cardio issues that plagued him early in his career are completely in his past. Figueiredo will methodically hunt the Mexican and eventually put him away with a well-timed straight or hook in what will be a statement win.  

Demian Maia vs Belal Muhammad

This is my upset on the card as I am siding with the grappling ace Demian Maia. Admittedly I have always been biased towards Maia as I see him as one of the greatest fighters to never win the title, yet the odds on offer seem well overs. His single leg takedown chain wrestling into his jiu jitsu smothering style has beaten all but the absolute elite throughout his career.

Muhammad may have some decent wrestling, but I find it hard to see him stopping Maia’s takedowns and while he is no amateur on the mat, he is not near the level of Maia. The odds are very juicy for a fighter who has only lost to fighters who have either fought for the title or won a title. Expect Maia to land takedowns and secure enough control time to win by decision if he doesn’t put Muhammad to sleep before the end of the third.

TIPS

2020-21 NBA Playoffs Betting Tips: Conference Finals

The conference semi-finals in the NBA are almost done and dusted at the time of writing, and by Monday just four teams will remain in the hunt for the 2020-21 NBA title. Check out our full preview and betting tips for the Conference Semis, beginning on Monday, here read more

NBL 2020-21 Betting Tips: Grand Final Game 2

The 2021 NBL Grand Final series between Melbourne United and the Perth Wildcats continues on Sunday night. Catch our match prediction and best player prop bet for this crucial Game 2 right here! read more

2021 AFL Round 14: Hawthorn vs Essendon Preview & Betting Tips

Just the one game on Sunday in the AFL this week and while it’s not a blockbuster, it’s all we’ve got. PuntingInDanger is here to guide you through the game in full and give his preview and AFL tips here. read more

NRL Round 15: Sunday Preview & Betting Tips

We look to close out Round 15 of the NRL with two interesting matches on Sunday afternoon. The high-flying Eels will host the Bulldogs while the Sea Eagles will head to the Gold Coast to take on the Titans. Here's our preview and NRL tips! read more

ARTICLES

Best Australian Sports Betting Sites

The best Australian sports betting sites ensure safe and successful online betting for punters. Here's our list of the best sports betting options in Australia. read more


Performance Ratings & Pricing with Julian Vallance with Sportsbet

Julian Vallance from Sportsbet takes us through some of the key factors which he uses with pricing upcoming horse races such as performance ratings. Check out his video from Sportsbet here. read more


What is Over-Round and How do Sportsbooks Make Money?

Over-Round is an important concept for both punters and sportsbooks. It's how Australian sportsbooks make money! All punters should understand over-round, how to spot it, and how to find better value on the Betfair Exchange. read more


Betfair Commissions and Charges

Ever wondered why you can get such great odds at Betfair in comparison to other online bookmakers? We break down why that is the case and why Betfair isn't just for professional punters here read more


BLOGS

2021 AFL Brownlow Medal Votes Round 13

The bye rounds continued over the long Queen's Birthday weekend with just the six games across five days for Round 13. Check out our analysis, Brownlow vote predictions for Round 13 and our current Brownlow leaderboard here! read more


2021 AFL Brownlow Medal Votes Round 12

Just the six games of AFL during Round 12 of the 2021 AFL season but that was enough for the likes of Marcus Bontempelli, Dustin Martin, Darcy Parish and Clayton Oliver to add to their Brownlow Medal tallies. Who got the Round 12 Brownlow votes? Find out here... read more


2021 AFL Brownlow Medal Votes Round 11

We have a new leader in our 2021 Brownlow Medal leaderboard. After an amazing month, Melbourne's Clayton Oliver is now on top of our counts after Round 11. Check out who got our Brownlow votes and all the analysis from Round 11 here! read more


2021 AFL Brownlow Medal Votes Round 10

Some interesting games in Round 10 of the AFL season where the best players arguably came from the losing teams. Will the umpires see it the same as we did? Read on to find out our Brownlow vote predictions for Round 10. read more


BetDeluxe

PlayUp