The NBA Western Conference Finals remain in Texas this Monday (AEST) for a pivotal Game 4. After a dramatic start to the series, the Oklahoma City Thunder have taken a 2-1 lead following a clinical 123-108 victory against the San Antonio Spurs in Game 3. With the pressure mounting on the hosts to avoid a dangerous 3-1 deficit, this matchup promises elite tactical adjustments on both sides. We bring you our best bet for Game 4 below!
NBA Playoffs Betting Tips: Monday, May 25th 2026
Oklahoma City Thunder at San Antonio Spurs (10:00am AEST)
Oklahoma City completely seized control of the narrative in Game 3, overcoming the late absence of star forward Jalen Williams (left hamstring soreness) to secure a double-digit road win. The defining factor was a staggering 76-23 advantage in bench scoring for the Thunder, powered by Jared McCain's 24 points and Jaylin Williams' 18 points. With Shai Gilgeous-Alexander orchestrating the offence beautifully to record 26 points and 12 assists, OKC proved their structural depth can carry them through adversity. They will look to maintain that defensive discipline to push the Spurs to the brink of elimination.
The Spurs find themselves in a must-win scenario despite successfully welcoming their star backcourt back to full strength last game. Both De'Aaron Fox and Dylan Harper were cleared just before tipoff, sparking a historic 15-0 opening run. However, San Antonio could not sustain that defensive intensity as the game progressed, eventually getting overwhelmed by OKC's second unit. Victor Wembanyama finished with 24 points, while Fox added 15 points in his series debut. With a full game now under their belt to shake off any rust and iron out rotational chemistry, the guards must provide better perimeter defence to neutralise the Thunder's depth.
Bookmakers have installed the Spurs as narrow 2.5-point favourites, which heavily reflects the sheer desperation of a quality home team. While Oklahoma City's bench was the story of the previous match, a fully healthy San Antonio rotation possesses too much talent to drop consecutive games on their own floor. Expect a highly focused performance from the hosts as they shore up their defensive rotations and do enough to square the series.
Spurs -2.5
$1.90 (2 Units)
