Game: Geelong Cats Vs. Melbourne Demons (Saturday, July 13th at 2.10pm - Kardinia Park)
Market: AFL Fantasy Dream Team: Joel Selwood ($1.80) Vs. James Kelly ($1.95) - Sportsbet
There is no doubt that the Geelong Cats should easily take care of the Melbourne Demons during round 16 of the 2013 AFL Season. With a line of somewhere over ten goals in place it’s hard to find some value in betting on this match. As such we have taken a look at the AFL Fantasy Dream Team markets and have found what we believe to be a high-value bet.
Joel Selwood vs. James Kelly shouldn’t be offered as a market this week.
But it is and we are going to capitalize.
If you look over the long term in 2013 then these two players have had somewhat similar years in AFL Fantasy Dream Team (DT) scoring. James Kelly has averaged 95.89 DT points this year, while Joel Selwood has averaged 96.36. That’s hardly a big difference, but in this instance you must take into account that Selwood’s average is skewed because of games where he scored very low when he received a hard tag i.e when he scored 38 DT points against Fremantle two weeks ago.
Outside of the games where Selwood was heavily tagged he has been prolific, scoring 128, 121 and 132 in three of the last four games. Kelly on the other hand has scores just 104, 100 and 63 in his last three games. IN addition, Selwood has scored at least 100 points in seven games this year, while Kelly has managed it just four times. That’s not to mention the fact that Selwood’s potential scoring ceiling is much higher than Kelly’s as Selwood has managed to score over 120 DT points five times, while Kelly has scored over 120 just once.
More importantly, let me ask you this… Who at Melbourne is going to stop Joel Selwood? It’s one thing for some of the best taggers like Fremantle’s Ryan Crowley to limit Selwood’s impact, but it’s a whole different story to think that someone at Melbourne could manage to do that. Selwood is In great form and should find enough to cover a solid James Kelly in AFL Fantasy Dream Team scoring.
Verdict: When Joel Selwood is in form he can’t be stopped and right now Selwood is in form. No one at Melbourne will stop him this week and Selwood should find enough of the ball to defeat James Kelly in the AFL Fantasy Dream Team head-to-head betting market at SportsBet.
Take note: The above tip is simply the author’s opinion, so bet at your own risk and always bet responsibly. Happy punting!
There is just one event left in the 2019 WSL Championship Tour as we head into the Pacific Ocean for the Pipe Masters held on the north shore of Oahu, Hawaii. The action gets underway this week and continues, weather permitting, through the weekend. read more
It's 2019 LONGINES Hong Kong International Races at Sha Tin this afternoon, featuring four huge international Group 1s! Check out our preview and betting tips for the day's feature races here! read more
The Werribee Cup headlines another big day of racing in Australia this Sunday. Luke Krahe has analysed the race as part of his preview, along with his best bets for Norwa, Hawkesbury and Werribee. Check out his preview here! read more
With Victoria's metropolitan meeting scheduled for Pakenham today, Rosehill will be our other meeting of focus alongside Perth's Kingston Town Classic meeting at Ascot. In Sydney, we've got nine races on the card so check out our preview and tips for every race here! read more
The 2019-20 Big Bash League season is set to be a thriller! Check out the full squads for the upcoming BBL09 here read more
In the third instalment of our Betfair instructional series, we take a look at understanding staking plans and how they can be used to stay in control of your bank roll read more
In our next strategy guide for the Betfair platform, we take a look at understanding how the Betfair markets work and what different types of backs and lays you can place with Betfair! read more
Unlike your ‘normal’ betting agency where it’s you versus the Bookmaker, Betfair is a peer-to-peer wagering platform. Betfair allow you to both ‘back’ and ‘lay’ bets, which gives you complete control and a totally unique betting experience. View how full guide to backing and laying here read more
It's another busy month ahead this December at Kayo Sports! Fans of all sports are covered on Kayo this month with live NBA, NFL, UFC, NBL, Soccer, Golf and Surfing, just to name a few! Check out the December highlights here. read more
The Melbourne Cup has transformed from the race that stops the nation into the race that stops the world in recent years, and Palmerbet are giving punters more bang for their buck with great odds on all Melbourne Cup runners this Monday! read more
The Melbourne Cup is known as the race that stops a nation, but is quickly becoming the race that stops the world! There's 42 horses left in contention for the 2019 Melbourne Cup, which will be held on the first Tuesday in November. Check out the latest betting odds for the race here! read more
Get fantastic odds of $4.50 for Te Akau Shark to finish in the top five in Saturday's Cox Plate thanks to Palmerbet. read more