Gold Coast got their season back on track last week with a surprise win over Sydney at the SCG, while Fremantle continued their scintillating start to the season with a thumping win over lowly North Melbourne.
With both sides holding top eight aspirations, this promises to be a high-pressure contest.
Remember, Before You Bet will be previewing every game of the 2022 AFL season, so be sure to check out our AFL Tips page for regular updates.
SCG, Sunday 15th May, 1.40pm (AEST)
Injuries: Josh Corbett, Ben King, Jack Lukosius (out), Bodhi Uwland
Ben King and Jack Lukosius are big absences, however aside from them the Gold Coast have a relatively healthy list. Noah Anderson returns this week after he was a late omission against the Swans.
The Suns put an end to a three-game losing streak with a gutsy win over Sydney away from home. Gold Coast were very impressive, showing what they are capable of on their day. Consistency is the key for the young side though, so this weekend’s match against Fremantle could not be more important. Stuart Dew’s side is still a legitimate finals chance, led by the midfield of Jarrod Witts, Matt Rowell, Touk Miller and Noah Anderson.
Injuries: Sam Switkowski (out), Nathan O’Driscoll (out), Nat Fyfe, Joel Hamling, Matthew Johnson, Matt Taberner, Joel Western
Big names Fyfe and Taberner are still missing, posing the question how good can Freo be when they have a full squad to choose from?
Fremantle are having their best season in many years and showing that they have the blueprint to beat the best. A beat up on the Kangaroos last week also demonstrated that the Dockers can be ruthless and score quickly when required. Andrew Brayshaw has turned into an A-grade midfielder this year, while youngsters Heath Chapman, Hayden Young, Caleb Serong and co. are surpassing expectations. A trip to the Gold Coast won’t intimidate Freo, so it's a matter of whether they can bring their trademark defensive style.
This game is a head vs heart equation for me. The logical play is a Fremantle win, given their form and dependable game style.
However, Gold Coast will have gained some serious confidence from last week’s win and will enjoy playing in front of home fans.
Furthermore, the Suns have won two of the last three clashes between these sides, both matches played at home.
As such, I’m going for an upset in this one. Gold Coast to win.
Gold Coast 1-39
$2.85 (1 Unit)
Ellis has had 26 touches in each of his last two games and has a strong record against Fremantle. The ex-Richmond man is seemingly benefiting from continuity in his game, avoiding injury so far this campaign.
Backs have been given plenty of freedom by the Suns this year and Young is someone who should benefit from that on Sunday. He has had 20+ disposals in four of his six games this year.
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