Super Saturday in Round 17 of the AFL includes four fixtures, with two of them being in the nighttime. One of those will be played in Queensland as the Brisbane Lions take on the Port Adelaide Power. It’s a big game for both clubs for different reasons, and it should be an entertaining watch.
Below, we bring you our best bet, player prop, and Same Game Multi for Brisbane vs Port Adelaide, with odds thanks to BetReal - a brand-new Aussie sportsbetting site we think you'll love!
Brisbane vs Port Adelaide Prediction & Betting Tips: AFL 2025 Round 17
Lions Looking to Build Momentum
The Saturday afternoon fixture in Round 17 presents a crucial clash between two teams with differing fortunes as Brisbane hosts Port Adelaide at the Gabba. The Brisbane Lions enter this game on the back of arguably their most impressive performance of the season, a commanding seven-goal victory over Geelong at the Cats' fortress, GMHBA Stadium. This significant win not only snapped a two-game losing streak for the Lions but also ended their long-standing hoodoo at that venue, providing a massive confidence boost. Chris Fagan's side began the round in second spot on the ladder, and a victory here is paramount to maintaining that coveted position and securing a top-two finish, which offers a crucial home final. The Lions will be looking to leverage their recent triumph over the Cats as a springboard, aiming to build significant momentum as they push towards September and solidify their premiership credentials.
Which Version of the Power Will Show Up?
Port Adelaide, conversely, has endured a season defined by inconsistency. While they have showcased flashes of their best, these performances have often been interspersed with some truly horror matches, including a concerning four losses by margins of eight goals or more. This Jekyll and Hyde nature has left them languishing in tenth spot on the ladder at the start of the round, a considerable two wins plus significant percentage outside the top eight. Last week, the Power recorded a dominant 50-point win over Carlton, but this result was arguably more a reflection of the Blues' current struggles than a definitive statement from Port Adelaide. To genuinely challenge for a finals spot, the Power desperately need to find a level of consistency that has eluded them for much of the year.
Key Stats and Recent H2H
The Brisbane Lions have had a comfortable ascendancy over Port Adelaide in their last two meetings, securing dominant victories. In 2023, they defeated the Power by 48 points at the Gabba, and even more emphatically, they triumphed by 69 points in Adelaide last season. Statistically, the Lions are a powerhouse in crucial contested areas, ranking fifth in the competition for contested possession differential, while the Power languish second last in this vital metric. Furthermore, Brisbane leads the league in clearance differential, showcasing their midfield dominance, whereas Port Adelaide is fourth last, indicating a significant weakness at the stoppages.
Lions too Strong? Here’s Our Brisbane vs Port Adelaide Tip
Considering Brisbane's recent performace against the Cats, their strong historical record against Port Adelaide, and the significant statistical advantages they hold in contested possession and clearances, it's highly probable that the Lions will cover the -25.5 spread. The Gabba is a formidable fortress for Brisbane, and they will be eager to maintain their strong ladder position. Port Adelaide's inconsistency and struggles in key midfield battles against top-tier opposition suggest they will find it difficult to contain the Lions' powerful on-ball brigade and efficient forward line. Expect Brisbane to control the game from the outset, leveraging their strength at the stoppages and their ability to convert opportunities into scores, leading to a comfortable victory.
Brisbane –25.5
$1.91 (2.5 Units)
Brisbane vs Port Adelaide Prop Bet
Our Best Player Prop Bet: McCluggage Score Anytime
Hugh McCluggage is clearly having his best AFL season and is almost a lock to earn his first All-Australian blazer. He’s been racking up plenty of footy at over 26 disposals per game and continues to be one of the best midfielders at hitting the scoreboard. McCluggage has kicked a goal in each of his last three matches and I expect the Lions to put a big score on the board against the Power, so he should get some looks at the big sticks.
Hugh McCluggage Score Anytime
$2.15 (1 Unit)
Brisbane vs Port Adelaide Same Game Multi
Hugh McCluggage Score Anytime: As mentioned above, McCluggage is solid value to kick at least one goal.
Willie Rioli Score Anytime: Has put together a strong, consistent season for the Power. He doesn’t need much space to find the goals, and he’s kicked at least one in five straight games and nine of his last 10
Will Ashcroft 25+ Disposals: He’s having a great season and is averaging over 27 disposals per game. He’s also reached the 25 disposal mark in eight of his last nine matches.
Brisbane vs Port Adelaide Betting Odds & Match Info
Location: Gabba, Brisbane
Odds: Brisbane $1.22 vs Port Adelaide $4.25
Where to Watch Brisbane vs Port Adelaide?
You can watch Lions vs Power live and ad-free on Kayo Sports.
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