Another women’s grand slam draw, and another really interesting fortnight lies ahead. Can Sabalenka go one better than she did in Australia? Can Elena Rybakina win consecutive slams? Can Coco Gauff defend her title? Let’s break things down quarter by quarter and bring you some of the best bets for the women's draw.
Women's French Open Betting Tips
Quarter 1
I think Aryna Sabalenka would have been pretty happy with the draw at first glance. She is a strong favourite to make the final four of the tournament, with her biggest threats being Jessica Pegula, Victoria Mboko, and Naomi Osaka. Of those three, Pegula probably appeals the most, however not enough to step into the price and make a bet. The thing with Sabalenka is that for all of her faults at times late in tournaments, she is phenomenal at reaching the back end of tournaments. Rarely does she lose in round 1 or 2 or 3, though Jessica Bouzas Maneiro is a tricky first up opponent in warm conditions. Happy to pass on this quarter.
Quarter 2
Here is where things get a little more interesting. Coco Gauff is the defending champion, and an overwhelming favourite to make it through this portion of the draw, however losses to Muchova in Stuttgart, Linda Noskova in Madrid and Elina Svitolina in Rome are a little disappointing, as is the face that she has been struggling mightily behind her second serve this clay season. She should be able to make her way through the early rounds, however when she starts to face some of the bigger names, I have some question marks. Second favourite in the quarter is Amanda Anisimova who just has not played enough lead-up tennis to entertain pre-tournament, and Qinwen Zheng and Linda Noskova meeting in a potential third round cancel each other out as third and fourth favourites. One that does catch my eye is Anhelina Kalinina, who has looked far more settled and confident on court this year, and could take advantage of Anisimova’s draw if she is not at her best.
I will keep an eye on Gauff in the early matches because I do feel the conditions should suit her, but it will come down to how her game looks. Watch this space.
Quarter 3
This shapes as another interesting quarter. Iga Swiatek is the clear favourite, though could face nemesis Jelena Ostapenko in the third round. Iga has looked better recently, but still lacks the consistency you would like to see from her when she is sub $2 in a quarter winner market. The market has also found Elina Svitolina fresh off her title in Rome, however it is a tough start for her with Anna Bondar across the net, who did in fact defeat her in Madrid just over a month ago. Marta Kostyuk has also put together a really strong season and commands respect, and does appeal at the longer quote ahead of names such as Belinda Bencic.
Quarter 4
There are some big names at the top and bottom of this section in Mirra Andreeva and Rybakina, as well as the always dangerous Karolina Muchova floating in the middle. For what it is worth, I think both Andreeva and Rybakina have trickier round 1 matches than the current odds suggest, but outside of Muchova, Sorana Cirstea, and Jasmine Paolini (albeit with poor lead-in form), the rest of the field appeals moreso in a match to match capacity given how up-and-down they can be. I think when you take into account the draw layout, Muchova to win the quarter is the most appealing.
Suggested Bets
0.3 units Anhelina Kalinina Quarter 2 winner at $17 at Bet365
0.6 units Marta Kostyuk Quarter 3 winner at $6 at Bet365
0.4 units Karolina Muchova Quarter 4 winner at $7.50 at Bet365
0.7 units Karolina Muchova (Who will go further? Victoria Mboko vs Karolina Muchova) at $1.66 at Bet365
