North Melbourne will be looking to bounce back from an embarrassing loss when they host the Suns on Saturday afternoon. Gold Coast will be looking to establish themselves in the top four and extend their winning streak to four games.
We bring you our full preview and expert tips for the Kangaroos vs Suns below, with odds thanks to Dabble!
North Melbourne vs Gold Coast Prediction & Betting Tips: AFL 2026 Round 11
Response Needed
The Kangaroos headed to Adelaide with plenty of optimism, but after conceding 10 unanswered goals in the second quarter, they were given a serious reality check. North Melbourne are now 0-5 against teams in the top thirteen, with all four of their wins this season coming against teams in the bottom five. The Roos were towelled up in a lot of key areas, recording -67 disposals, -28 disposals, -26 contested possessions, and -9 clearances. However the most alarming stat was that despite having significantly less possession, Adelaide recorded 31 more tackles than North Melbourne. If they dish up a performance like that against a side with the weapons that Gold Coast possess, it will be another ugly scoreline.
Top Four Contention
After losing three out of four games between Rounds 4-7, Gold Coast have won three games on the bounce to launch right back into the top four mix. The Suns have been excellent in their front half, ranking second in the league for inside 50’s which has led to them ranking fifth for points per game. If Gold Coast can get strong supply inside forward 50, they will be confident of putting up a big score against a vulnerable Roos defence. The Suns return to form has been led by their captain, with Noah Anderson recording 33, 31, 27 and 31 disposals in his last four games.
Recent Head to Head History
Gold Coast have won five of their last seven games against North Melbourne, and those five wins have been by comfortable margins. The five wins have come by margins of 52, 68, 43, 67 and 62 points.
Kangaroos or Suns? Here’s Our North Melbourne vs Gold Coast Tip
North Melbourne have shown that they are still a level below the best teams in the competition, and they are vulnerable against quality attacking sides. Gold Coast have scored 119+ points on four occasions this season, while the Roos have conceded scores of 133, 105, 135 and 105 points across their last four games.
Transition and turnover are the key areas that the Suns will get on top of North in this game. Gold Coast ranks third in the AFL for scores from turnover and the Roos have struggled defending turnover, conceding 66, 59, 83 and 59 points across their last four games. Gold Coast are third best team in the AFL at going from D50 to forward 50, and in perfect conditions under the roof, they will put up a big score against the Roos,
Gold Coast -11.5
$1.90 (1.5 Units)
North Melbourne vs Gold Coast Prop Bet
As we highlighted earlier, Noah Anderson has bounced back from a terrible start to the season. Across the first five games of the season, Anderson averaged 24 disposals per game with only one game above 30 disposals. In his last four games he is averaging 30 disposals per game, recording 30+ in three of his last four games.
Noah Anderson 30+ Disposals
$2.85
North Melbourne vs Gold Coast Same Game Multi
Noah Anderson 30+ Disposals: As mentioned above, Anderson is in excellent form.
John Noble 25+ Disposals: John Noble has been in red hot form, recorded 30+ disposals in three straight games. Noble has reached the 25+ disposal mark in seven of his last nine games.
Total Points Over 183.5: The average total points in North Melbourne’s last five games is 201.8, with all five games reaching above 185 total points.
North Melbourne vs Gold Coast Betting Odds & Match Info
Date: Saturday 23rd May
Time: 1:15pm AEST
Location: Marvel Stadium, Melbourne
Odds: North Melbourne $2.40 vs Gold Coast $1.58
Line: Gold Coast -11.5
Points: 182.5
Where to Watch North Melbourne vs Gold Coast
You can watch the Kangaroos vs Suns live and ad-free on Kayo Sports.
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