Welcome to our horse racing preview and betting tips for racing on Monday, September 21st.
It's a quiet start to the new week, with three meetings across Australia. They take place at Orange, Grafton and Ararat, and Tim Geers has picked out his best bets for each track below!
Horse Racing Tips: Monday, September 21st
Orange Race 5 (Market)
(1) Autumn Falls and (3) All Too Rio clashed at Canberra last start over this distance, where Autumn Falls ran 2nd and All Too Rio was back in 4th. There was a 3L margin between the two of them, but notably, All Too Rio started a well-backed $2.80 chance compared to Autumn Falls at $6.50. So, the market expected All Too Rio to perform better on the day. Autumn Falls led and was run down, while All Too Rio settled last and couldn’t make up the ground. We might see a similar scenario today with a lack of pace on paper, but at the prices, I’m going to give All Too Rio another chance, respecting their SP profiles from last time they met. All Too Rio also gets a weight swing in her favour today, and when Richard Litt brings runners to Orange they typically go very close.
Grafton Race 6 (Market)
Edward O’Rourke brings two runners to Grafton today and I think they are both good chances. (2) Zavy’s Hope is the first of them here. She’s had two runs this prep for two wins, most recently over 1700m here at Grafton. She steps up to 2200m today which is a sharp rise in distance, but she’s a mare in winning form, lining up against a field of non-winners. Between them, her opposition have had 252 starts for 11 wins. She draws a touch awkwardly but I think she can make it a hattrick of wins today and $4.20 looks a great bet to my eye.
Grafton Race 8 (Market)
Edward O’Rourke’s other runner today is (2) Rumberella here. She’s making her stable debut having previously been with Toby and Trent Edmonds. She’s won just once from 16 starts but she looks to find a nice race today for her first start for the stable. I have no doubt they’ll be looking to get a win into her as soon as possible, and that intent is reflected by the blinkers going back on first up. She’s got a great record at Grafton, having never missed a place from four starts here, and she’s finished in the top two in all four starts at this distance. She’s failed her past two runs when first up from a spell, but I’m hoping with a stable change and the blinkers back on, she can give this a good shake. Barrier 1 is also a big plus.
Ararat Race 8 (Market)
(7) Tsugaru won well on debut for Ciaron Maher and David Eustace at Swan Hill, sitting three-wide without cover throughout and still proving too strong. He’s a three-year-old and he takes on the older horses today. Steps up slightly in trip and does face a heavy track, which he’s unproven on, but he’s obviously got lots of improvement to come and faces a field of horses that have had a few chances. Drawn wide with 60kg but I’m expecting him to prove too strong again. (11) Smart Charge does look the danger coming off a good run first up behind the talented Mozzie Monster.
