The second NRL game on Saturday night heads to southern Sydney as the Sharks host the Roosters. Plenty has been made about the suitability of this venue to host an NRL Final given the construction taking place at this ground but either way, the atmosphere is set to be electric. As this is an elimination match, tensions are set to be high throughout the entire contest and Before You Bet is here to guide you through the chaos with a detailed look at what lies ahead.
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Sharks vs Roosters Prediction & Betting Tips: NRL Elimination Final
The perfect tune up
The Sharks closed out the regular season in style with 3 strong victories. Their 24-6 performance over the Bulldogs last week suggests that they are capable enough to match it with teams above them on the competition ladder. Executing the perfect first half and leading 18-0 at HT, they gave minimal opportunities away in the second half, controlling possession (55%) courtesy of an excellent completion rate (95%). Despite only averaging 7.5m per carry, they had 641 PCM’s. They will want to improve upon their 35 missed tackles as better teams will make them pay for such errors.
Right where they want to be
If the Sharks have been good, the Roosters are arguably the form team of the competition and their most recent 36-6 victory of rivals the Rabbitohs is testament to that. Starting strongly and only leading 10-6 in a tight contest, the Roosters kicked into another gear in the second half and their opponents were unable to match them. They overcame a 69% completion to average 9.6m per carry, have 712 PCM’s and 8 line breaks. They were strong defensively too, missing just 24 tackles and limiting their opponents to just 7.9m per carry. That victory saw them win 5 of their past 6 games to finish the regular season.
Stats that matter
- The home side has won 4 out of the past 5 matches between these two sides. That was the case this season in Round 12 (Roosters 42-16) and Round 20 (Sharks 31-18) whereby home field advantage was maintained.
- 3 of the past 5 matches have been decided by 10 points or less, with the next closest being 13 points (Round 20, 2025). The average margin of victory in their past 5 matches is only 11.6 points.
- The Roosters have a superior attacking record in 2025, averaging 27ppg compared to the Sharks 24ppg. Defensively, the Sharks are the better team, allowing just 20ppg compared to the Roosters 21ppg.
Too close to call
The Sharks received a massive boost with Hynes cleared to play. Coupled with the return of Trindall and naming of Nikora, the Sharks should be closer to their opponents in betting markets. The Roosters benefit from consistency and name the same team as last week and a similar one to what they have finished majority of the season with. Both teams have their positives but rather than get caught up in picking a winner, the smarter option here is investing on this game being a close contest. These two sides have a history of this and despite it not being the case in their previous two matches in 2025, the intensity of the Finals will narrow the margin of victory. In terms of making a selection, there is a slight lean towards the Roosters to win this game but only based off the fact that their spine appears more capable of producing points compared to their opponents. That could easily change should the Sharks gain momentum in this contest.
Either team by 10.5 points or less
$1.91 (2.5 Units)
Sharks vs Roosters Same Game Multi
Leg 1 = Total points under 46.5 – the average total in their past 5 matches is 46.8 points and their defensive records this season
Leg 2 = Iro to score – he has scored in 3 of the past 5 matches against the Roosters and is keen to build on his season tally after a few quiet weeks. The sweeping movements to his edge offer the perfect opportunity also.
Leg 3 = Tedesco to score – despite not scoring last week, Teddy has 4 tries in the past 5 matches and the same number of tries against the Sharks in as many matches. Likely to win the Dally M, he will have an impact on multiple areas of this contest.
SGM Odds = $13 at Dabble
Sharks vs Roosters Betting Odds & Match Info
Date: Saturday 13th September
Location: Sharks Stadium, Sydney
Time: 7:50pm (AEST)
Odds: Sharks $2.10 vs Roosters $1.73
Line: +2.5
Points: 46.5
Where to Watch Sharks vs Roosters
Watch the Sharks vs Roosters match on Channel 9 or live and ad free on Kayo Sports.
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