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AFLW 2026 Round 6 Preview & Betting Tips

September 17th 2026, 4:59pm, By: Jake Smit

AFLW Betting Tips

We’re approaching the halfway point of the 2026 AFLW season, which means we now have a strong read on where all teams are at and where the value lies in each match. Round 6 will get underway on Friday night with a blockbuster clash between the Hawks and the Kangaroos, followed by four game slates on both Saturday and Sunday. 

We bring you our best bets for all nine AFLW Round 6 matches below and if you’re keen to follow our tips, then consider joining Dabble!

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2026 AFLW Round 6 Betting Tips 

Hawthorn vs North Melbourne 

Friday 5:45pm AEST, Cazalys Stadium, Cairns 

North Melbourne travels to tropical North Queensland on a short five-day turnaround to open Round 6 against Hawthorn at Cazalys Stadium. The Kangaroos were heavily tested in a tight 33-23 SuperClash victory over Carlton last Sunday, extending their incredible winning streak to 32 matches. Ash Riddell was masterful with 39 disposals and 521 metres gained, while Jasmine Garner controlled the coalface with 30 touches and five clearances. Hawthorn arrives in Cairns after grinding out a 41-30 victory over the Western Bulldogs to cement their status as genuine finals contenders.

Despite the Hawks' solid form, history is heavily stacked against them in this matchup. These teams met twice within the space of a week last year, with North Melbourne handing Hawthorn two brutal football lessons. The Kangaroos dominated 67-18 in their first clash before ruthlessly keeping the Hawks goalless in a 42-3 qualifying final demolition. Compounding Hawthorn's immense challenge, they suffered a devastating blow last week when captain and premier midfielder Emily Bates ruptured her right ACL. Without their most vital on-baller to combat Garner and Riddell, the Hawks will be severely outclassed at the stoppages. Take the Roos to continue their dominance in this matchup and cover the spread.

North Melbourne -31.5

$1.92 (1.5 Units)

 

Collingwood vs Geelong Cats 

Saturday 12:35pm AEST, Victoria Park, Melbourne 

Collingwood returns to Victoria Park still hunting their first win of 2026 after falling 32-62 to Gold Coast at People First Stadium. Geelong, meanwhile, enters off a statement 57-46 road win over Adelaide at Unley Oval, driven by a flawless 10-vote Coaches vote performance from Georgie Prespakis in the middle.

While Geelong holds a clear midfield edge, clearing a 28.5-point line on the road is a tough task. The Magpies tend to drop numbers back at Victoria Park to restrict space and slow down opposition transition. The Cats should dictate terms and bank the four points, but Collingwood has enough defensive grit at home to keep the final margin within four or five goals. Backing the Magpies with the start is the lean, albeit with low confidence.

Collingwood +28.5

$1.91 (1 Unit)

 

Melbourne vs Carlton 

Saturday 1:05pm AEST, Casey Fields, Melbourne 

Melbourne continued their formidable start to 2026 with a commanding 74-23 victory over Port Adelaide at Casey Fields last weekend. Maeve Chaplin was instrumental across half-back, earning nine coaches' votes for her 27 disposals and six intercepts, while Olivia Purcell dominated the middle with 30 touches and 11 tackles. Carlton heads to Cranbourne East off their first defeat of the season, falling 23-33 to North Melbourne in a fiercely contested SuperClash at Arden Street. Despite the loss, Harriet Cordner was exceptional in defence for the Blues, collecting eight coaches' votes.

While Carlton pushed the reigning premiers to the limit last week, backing up that level of intensity against another top-tier side is a monumental challenge. Melbourne's ability to generate high-scoring chains at Casey Fields will stretch the Blues' defensive structures over four quarters. Carlton's midfield is highly competitive, but the Demons possess too much class on the outside and should methodically break the visitors down. Back Melbourne to control the territory battle on their home deck and cover the handicap.

Melbourne -11.5

$1.86 (1.5 Units)

 

Port Adelaide vs Sydney Swans 

Saturday 2:35pm AEST, Alberton Oval, Adelaide 

Port Adelaide returns to Alberton Oval looking to reset after a heavy 23-74 defeat to Melbourne at Casey Fields, where they managed just two goals in testing conditions. They face a 4-1 Sydney outfit full of confidence following an 87-56 victory over the Giants in the Sydney Derby, led by Chloe Molloy’s four goals and a 29-disposal display from Laura Gardiner.

The loss of Sofia Hurley to an ankle injury definitely hurts the Swans, but they have sufficient midfield depth and versatility to rotate quality options through the engine room and maintain their clearance standard. Port Adelaide also faces structural issues of their own, with defender Ella Heads ruled out through suspension, leaving a vulnerable hole in their backline against Sydney's dangerous forward setup. With the Power struggling for avenues to goal, Sydney possesses too much polish across the ground and should cover the 12.5-point line on the road.

Sydney -12.5

$1.91 (1 Unit)

 

Fremantle vs Western Bulldogs 

Saturday 3:05pm AEST, Cockburn ARC Oval, Perth 

Fremantle returns to Fremantle Oval riding high after a gritty 37-22 victory over Essendon last Sunday. The Dockers showed immense resilience in that physical clash, overcoming the late withdrawal of star ruck Mim Strom with a shoulder injury and losing key defender Emma O'Driscoll to an ankle issue in the opening minutes. Kiara Bowers was phenomenal in the midfield, racking up 26 disposals, 17 contested possessions and nine tackles to will her side over the line.

The Western Bulldogs travel across the country looking to bounce back from a frustrating 30-41 defeat to Hawthorn. The Dogs controlled the early proceedings to take an 11-point half-time lead, only to concede five unanswered goals in a costly third-quarter lapse. While the Bulldogs possess the talent to test Fremantle, taking on a hardened Dockers unit in Perth is a massive challenge. Fremantle's ability to suffocate opposition transition and dominate the stoppage battle makes them incredibly difficult to beat on their home deck. Back the Dockers to secure another methodical victory.

Fremantle to Win

$1.88 (2 Units)

 

GWS Giants vs Richmond 

Sunday 12:35pm AEST, Corroboree Group Oval Manuka, Canberra 

Greater Western Sydney returns to Blacktown ISP Oval aiming to rebound from an 87-56 Sydney Derby defeat to the Swans at Henson Park. Despite the loss, the Giants showed they can hit the scoreboard and maintain periods of forward pressure. Richmond, meanwhile, travels north after securing a much-needed 58-43 victory over St Kilda at Windy Hill.

While the Tigers bring winning form, the Giants possess a structural advantage on their home deck in Blacktown. Matches between these middle-tier sides often come down to contested ball and territory. GWS has the midfield grit to edge out Richmond in what should be a tightly fought contest. Back the Giants to respond to their derby disappointment and cover the small handicap.

GWS -3.5

$1.90 (1.5 Units)

 

Essendon vs Gold Coast Suns 

Sunday 1:05pm AEST, Windy Hill, Melbourne 

Essendon heads down to Launceston following a gritty 37-22 defeat to Fremantle in Perth. The Bombers struggled offensively against the Dockers' structured defence and now face another tough test. Gold Coast arrives in Tasmania brimming with confidence after a commanding 62-32 victory over Collingwood at People First Stadium.

The Suns proved they can put teams away when given the opportunity, showcasing impressive forward-half efficiency. Essendon has found scoring difficult, and overcoming a 30-point swing in momentum against a structured Gold Coast unit will be a massive challenge. With the Suns finding their offensive rhythm, expect them to dictate terms and comfortably clear the line.

Gold Coast -9.5

$1.90 (2 Units)

 

St Kilda vs West Coast Eagles 

Sunday 3:05pm AEST, RSEA Park, Melbourne 

St Kilda remains desperate for a turnaround after falling 58-43 to Richmond at Windy Hill last weekend, continuing a difficult campaign. They host a West Coast side that pushed the highly fancied Brisbane Lions all the way before narrowly going down 46-41 at Mineral Resources Park.

Despite the loss, the Eagles' ability to consistently hit the scoreboard and match it with a premiership contender highlights their vast improvement. Travelling to RSEA Park presents a challenge, but West Coast's current form is undeniably stronger than a St Kilda outfit struggling for four-quarter consistency. Back the Eagles to capitalise on their momentum and cover the handicap on the road.

West Coast -12.5

$1.90 (1 Unit)

 

Brisbane Lions vs Adelaide Crows 

Sunday 5:05pm AEST, Brighton Homes Arena, Ipswich 

This shapes as a heavyweight clash at Hickey Park. Brisbane returns home after surviving a major scare against West Coast, edging the Eagles 46-41 in Perth. Adelaide travels to Queensland full of momentum after a highly impressive 57-46 victory over Geelong at Unley Oval.

While the Crows were excellent against the Cats, travelling to face the Lions at Hickey Park remains one of the toughest assignments in the AFLW. Brisbane will be eager to put their sluggish performance in the west behind them and reassert their dominance. The Lions have a proven ability to elevate their intensity in blockbuster matches, and their home-ground advantage should be enough to see them cover the line against a dangerous Adelaide side.

Brisbane -8.5

$1.90 (1.5 Units)

Based on the South-West coast of Victoria, Jake has been an avid sports fanatic since he could walk. Aussie Rules, basketball, and soccer are his main three loves, but he's also got a soft spot for countless other sports.

Besides being a major contributor to our sports and fantasy content since 2017, Jake is our Content Manager & Editor and helps to plan and coordinate our team of writers every week. He's also one of the unlucky ones that is a keen Port Adelaide and Phoenix Suns fan, so go easy on him.

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