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2026 NRL Finals Week 1: Tips, Predictions & Betting Odds

September 7th 2026, 12:02pm, By: Heath Chick

NRL Finals 2026
2026 NRL Finals Series
NRL Finals
Week 1
Eight teams remain in the hunt for the 2026 NRL Premiership, with four huge finals across Friday, Saturday and Sunday to open the postseason.
Four games. Eight teams. The road to the Grand Final starts here.

The 2026 NRL Finals Series gets underway with four massive matches across Finals Week 1, as the top eight begin their push towards the NRL Grand Final.

Friday night sees South Sydney take on Newcastle in a sudden-death Elimination Final. Saturday begins across the Tasman with New Zealand Warriors hosting the Dolphins in a Qualifying Final, before Cronulla face North Queensland in another knockout contest later that evening.

Finals Week 1 concludes on Sunday afternoon when minor premiers Penrith take on the Sydney Roosters, with a direct path through to the Preliminary Final on the line.

Below you'll find the full 2026 NRL Finals Week 1 fixture, match information and the latest head-to-head, line and total points markets for all four games.

NRL Finals Week 1 at a glance
  • - Qualifying Finals: the winners progress directly to the Preliminary Finals.
  • - The Qualifying Final losers receive a second chance and play again in Week 2.
  • - Elimination Finals: win and advance, lose and the season is over.
  • - Two teams will be eliminated by the end of Finals Week 1.
Elimination Final
South Sydney VS Newcastle
FRIDAY 11 SEPTEMBER   •   7:50PM AEST

South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Newcastle Knights

Head to Head
Rabbitohs ($1.40)
vs Knights ($2.97)
Line
SOU -7.5 ($1.84)
Total Points
47.5 points ($1.90)

The 2026 NRL Finals Series opens on Friday night with a sudden-death clash between the South Sydney Rabbitohs and Newcastle Knights.

South Sydney enter as clear $1.40 favourites, with Newcastle at $2.97. The Rabbitohs are giving away a 7.5-point start, while the total match points line has been set at 47.5.

There is no second chance for either side, with the winner moving into Week 2 and the loser eliminated from the 2026 premiership race.

Rabbitohs vs Knights Tips →

Qualifying Final
NZ Warriors VS Dolphins
SATURDAY 12 SEPTEMBER   •   4:05PM AEST

New Zealand Warriors vs Dolphins

Head to Head
Warriors ($1.54)
vs Dolphins ($2.47)
Line
WAR -4.5 ($1.90)
Total Points
47.5 points ($1.90)

Saturday's finals action begins with the New Zealand Warriors hosting the Dolphins in a Qualifying Final.

The Warriors are $1.54 favourites, with the Dolphins at $2.47. The market has the home side giving away 4.5 points, suggesting one of the more competitive contests of Finals Week 1.

The winner earns the week off and advances directly to a Preliminary Final. The loser remains alive but will return for a sudden-death Semi Final in Week 2.

Warriors vs Dolphins Tips →

 

Dabble

Elimination Final
Cronulla Sharks VS North Queensland
SATURDAY 12 SEPTEMBER   •   7:50PM AEST

Cronulla Sharks vs North Queensland Cowboys

Head to Head
Sharks ($1.44)
vs Cowboys ($2.81)
Line
CRO -7.5 ($1.87)
Total Points
47.5 points ($1.89)

Saturday night sees the Cronulla Sharks take on the North Queensland Cowboys in another sudden-death Elimination Final.

Cronulla are $1.44 favourites, with North Queensland at $2.81. The Sharks have been installed as 7.5-point favourites, while the total match points market is again set at 47.5.

The winner progresses to Week 2 of the finals, while the losing team's 2026 season comes to an end.

Sharks vs Cowboys Tips →

Qualifying Final
Penrith Panthers VS Sydney Roosters
SUNDAY 13 SEPTEMBER   •   4:05PM AEST

Penrith Panthers vs Sydney Roosters

Head to Head
Panthers ($1.28)
vs Roosters ($3.70)
Line
PEN -10.5 ($1.90)
Total Points
43.5 points ($1.90)

Finals Week 1 concludes on Sunday afternoon when the Penrith Panthers meet the Sydney Roosters.

Penrith are the shortest-priced favourite of the opening finals weekend at $1.28, with the Roosters at $3.70. The Panthers are 10.5-point favourites, while this match has the lowest total of the round at 43.5 points.

Victory sends the winner directly through to a Preliminary Final and provides a valuable week off. The loser remains alive but will be forced into a sudden-death Semi Final in Week 2.

Panthers vs Roosters Tips →

 

Ladbrokes

What Happens After NRL Finals Week 1?

The winners of the two Qualifying Finals will advance directly to the Preliminary Finals and earn a week off.

The losers of the Qualifying Finals will return in Week 2, where they will host the winners of the two Elimination Finals.

For South Sydney, Newcastle, Cronulla and North Queensland, there is no second chance — lose in Week 1 and the 2026 season is over.

2026 NRL Finals Week 1 Betting Tips

Before You Bet will provide full match previews and betting tips for all four games during NRL Finals Week 1.

We'll analyse the latest head-to-head odds, line betting, total points markets, team selections and key match-ups before providing our best bets for each game.

You can also visit our NRL Tips page for all of our latest NRL betting previews and Finals Series coverage.

 

Heath is one of the original founders and the active Managing Director of The Trifect Group, the company that owns and operates Before You Bet.

Heath has worked in the wagering industry for two decades. Formally in the poker industry, Heath ran Australia's leading poker news portal before transitioning across to lead Before You Bet. Heath also manages other TTG projects that include our US based site Total Sports Picks and our daily fantasy sports website Daily Fantasy Rankings.

On Twitter, you'll find Heath providing unsolicited commentary on the latest cricket, NBL, darts or AFL matches - mixing fortunes with the success of his JackJumpers in the NBL with the misfortune of the lowly North Melbourne in the AFL.

Heath will occasionally contribute content in these fields, but otherwise is left to manage operations which includes business development, affiliate partnerships and our content & editing team. Feel free to connect with Heath via our Contact Us page if you'd like to discuss any new business opportunities with us!

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