Flemington Racing Tips: Saturday, January 11th

January 10th 2020, 10:15pm, By: admin

Flemington Racing Tips: Saturday, January 11th

Great day of racing coming up at Flemington this Saturday, the 11th of January! As usual, we have a full preview and betting tips for the entire card below. 

Flemington Racing Tips Saturday 11th January

Best Bet: Race 2 – (2) Rubisaki
Value Bet: Race 9 – (4) Absolute

Race 1 (Market)

The opening race on the card is for 2yos over 1000m and it looks a tricky affair given 6 of the 9 runners are unraced. I am happy to lean to one of the raced brigade and go with the Price & Kent trained (2) Jabali Ridge who ran a good 2nd at Flemington over 1100m on debut about a month ago. On that occasion he didn’t jump smoothly and didn’t find an ideal position in running but still ran well. The slight query is that he is drawn gate 1 which can be problematic down the straight, but he should be better for having had the race experience. Jye McNeil should be able to position him close to the speed and should he get the necessary luck it’s hard to see him not being in the finish.

Race 2 (Market)

Hard to go past (2) Rubisaki here. She returned from a spell at Moonee Valley in late November and was a very impressive winner over 1200m after settling well back in the field. She hasn’t run since but has had a quiet jump out at Burrumbeet to keep her up to the mark. The rise in distance to 1400m looks suitable and arguably her career best performance was over this track and distance last preparation. I would expect her to sit on the back of the speed from the inside gate and providing she gets the necessary luck will be mighty hard to hold out.

Race 3 (Market)

Many of these come through similar formlines in recent runs and that has led me to (2) That Girl from the Phillip Stokes yard. She ran well first up at Pakenham before a close last start 2nd at Flemington over 1200m. She comes back to 1100m here, but I don’t think that will be an issue and she appears to have found an easier race. The big query is that she is drawn the inside gate which can be a tough hurdle to overcome and will take a clever ride from Teo Nugent. 

Race 4 (Market)

There is a distinct lack of speed here which could make this a very tactical affair and possibly a messy race. I’m quite keen on (3) Blazejowski who comes into this race first up and was recently a very impressive winner of a jump out at Cranbourne. He is a winner of two of his three first up runs and went to a new level last preparation. He is drawn out so will get clear running and has shown the ability to sprint quickly off a slow tempo. The queries are that he has never raced down the straight before and a lot of his best performances last preparation were with the sting out of the track. 

Race 5 (Market)

Looks to be two main chances here and the market agrees with (1) Neighbourhood and (4) Thousand Wishes pretty much sharing favouritism. I am happy to be with (4) Thousand Wishes who has a significant map advantage over Neighbourhood who is likely to be near last whilst Thousand Wishes should be in the first couple in a race without a heap of pressure in it. Thousand Wishes is a winner of her last two including a win at Flemington last start. She comes back in distance to 1400m from 1600m, but I don’t think that will be any issue. John Allen rides who has been on her for her two recent wins and he will give her every chance in the run.

Race 6 (Market)

Happy to back (2) Future Score here who has returned in great style this preparation in two runs back. He was a strong winner first up at Pakenham over a mile before another good run at Caulfield over 1700m where he wasn’t ideally suited by racing on the fence where the winner got a break on him. The main query here is that he is drawn gate 1 so is likely to be racing on the fence again so will need luck at some stage to get into clear running. However, given there looks to be good speed here it should break the field up a bit. He should be able to settle in the first 4 or 5 and the rise to 2000m on the big track at Flemington looks ideal at this stage of his preparation.

Race 7 (Market)

Not one of the strongest Listed races I’ve ever seen here. Happy to have something on (8) Call It A Day who looks to get complete control in front. He is on the 7 day backup after a fair run at Caulfield last Saturday and he performs best when able to get things his own way and go for home early getting the opposition off the bit and chasing. The other horse I could have something on is (6) Amadeus who is racing well without winning recently. He will probably sit up 2nd in the run here and ran well last start over this track and distance behind the flying Yulong January. He hasn’t won for over 12 months but that is the nature of this race.


Call It A Day

BET NOW AT Ladbrokes

Amadeus $6.00

Race 8 (Market)

This is another race that is totally devoid of early speed. I would expect (3) Odeon to take up the running and that will give him a distinct map advantage over main rival Sure Knee. For that reason, I will have to go with him. He finally broke through for a win last start at Caulfield, his first since November 2017 and is racing well. Michael Poy replacing Craig Williams is a query as Williams tends to have a knack of getting the non-winning types to perform but this looks a very thin race.

Race 9 (Market)

Big field down the straight to end the day and there looks to be plenty of chances. Have got (5) Beauty on top from the McEvoy stable. She ran well first up at Caulfield after pretty much having every chance. She should find a good spot here from a middle draw and has performed well second up and down the straight at Flemington in the past. The other horse I want on my side is (4) Absolute who is having its first run for Danny O’Brien. He has shown ability in the past for his previous trainers and his recent jump out at Geelong was impressive. He is drawn wide which could be the place to be come the last race and I would be surprised if O’Brien doesn’t have the horse primed to run a big race first up on his home track.



NRL Round 14: Sunday Preview & Betting Tips

Round 14 of the NRL season wraps up on Sunday with two big matches. It's the Knights taking on the Sea Eagles, followed by the Tigers and Bulldogs. Our NRL guru Scooby is back with his preview and NRL tips for both Sunday NRL matches. read more

AFL Round 12: Sunday Preview & Betting Tips

The 2020 AFL season continues on Sunday with a great little three game slate! PuntingInDanger has been on fire of late and he takes a look at all three games and gives his betting tips here! read more

NBA Playoffs: Western Conference 1st Round Betting Tips

The NBA Playoffs kick off this Tuesday morning and we will have you covered with a series preview for every matchup throughout the post-season! See our full preview and betting picks for all four Western Conference 1st Round matchups HERE! read more

NBA Playoffs: Eastern Conference 1st Round Betting Tips

The NBA Playoffs officially kick off on Tuesday morning and we will be bringing you a full preview and betting picks for every series throughout the post-season! We start our coverage by taking a look at the four 1st Round matchups in the Eastern Conference here. read more


Performance Ratings & Pricing with Julian Vallance with Sportsbet

Julian Vallance from Sportsbet takes us through some of the key factors which he uses with pricing upcoming horse races such as performance ratings. Check out his video from Sportsbet here. read more

What is Over-Round and How do Sportsbooks Make Money?

Over-Round is an important concept for both punters and sportsbooks. It's how Australian sportsbooks make money! All punters should understand over-round, how to spot it, and how to find better value on the Betfair Exchange. read more

Betfair Commissions and Charges

Ever wondered why you can get such great odds at Betfair in comparison to other online bookmakers? We break down why that is the case and why Betfair isn't just for professional punters here read more

What is Lay Betting?

Lay betting is when you’re betting against an event to occur. You’re betting that a horse won’t win a race, a team won’t win a match or your player will lose to their opponent. Find out more about lay betting at Betfair right here. read more


2020 AFL Brownlow Medal Votes Round 11

It seems like only suspension can stop Lachie Neale from securing the Brownlow win after another brilliant performance in Round 11, but there are plenty of other Brownlow betting markets that we'll be tackling as markets open. Let's take a closer look at our Round 11 Brownlow vote predictions. read more

2020 AFL Round 12 Odds

Round 12 in the AFL season gets underway on Thrusday night with the 'Battle of the Bridge' between Sydney and GWS taking place at Optus Stadium. As usual, we have all of the odds for the weekend's action, with the Round 12 odds coming via our friends at Sportsbet. read more

2020 Spring Racing Carnival: A look at the WA stars

WA racing's leviathan owner-breeder Bob Peters has sent six of his best horses across the Nullabor to tackle some of Australia's biggest races this Spring. Tim Geers takes a look at each of the star WA horses and what races we might see them in throughout the Melbourne Spring. read more

2020 AFL Round 11 Odds

Round 11 of the AFL season gets underway on Saturday and as usual, we have you covered with all of the odds for every game courtesy of our friends at Sportsbet! read more