2019 Ashes: Series Preview & Betting Tips

July 28th 2019, 9:51pm, By: Mr.Cricket

2019 Ashes: Series Preview & Betting Tips

The dust has only just settled on the 2019 Cricket World Cup but already we are turning our attention towards the upcoming Ashes series between England and Australia!

The five match Test series gets underway on Thursday, the 1st of August and we’ll have you covered with a stand-alone preview for each game! However, today we are taking a look at the series as a whole and providing some of our best future bets for the Ashes Test series below!

2019 Ashes Test Series Betting Tips

The squads have been announced and with the hype now settled on the World Cup, the build-up for The Ashes has reached fever pitch. The first Test will kick off on Thursday from Edgbaston, the scene of one of the most famous Test matches ever played!

Lord’s will host the second Test, followed by matches at Headingley, Old Trafford and The Oval to round out the series.

If the lead up matches are anything to go by, it could be a series dominated by the bowlers. England squared off against Ireland in a one-off Test match to warm up for the Ashes, and were shockingly bowled out for just 85 in the first innings. After bowling Ireland out for 207, England made 303 in the second innings, setting a target for 182 runs. The English bowling unit went on to bowl Ireland out for just 38 in the second innings to claim a remarkable win.

Australia faced off against themselves in their only warm up match. The Hick XII, led by Tim Paine, were victorious over the Haddin XII, skippered by Travis Head. The bowlers dominated once again in the intra-squad match, as just 551 runs were scored across the four innings.

There were some interesting selections in the 17-man squad following the intra-squad match for the Australians, most notably the additions of Matthew Wade as a specialist batsman and bowling all-rounder Michael Neser, who claimed 4/18 in the first innings. Nathan Lyon is the sole spinner selected for the Aussies while Cameron Bancroft got the nod over the likes of Joe Burns and Peter Handscomb for one of the last remaining batting positions.

The English 14-man squad was much more predictable leading into the series and with the exception of the addition of World Cup hero Jason Roy, not much has changed for England. There are still some massive question marks over their top order, which will consist of the inexperienced Roy and youngsters Joe Denly and Rory Burns. However, their middle order and bowlers are as good as any in world cricket.

ashes squads

Series Winner

It’s always tough to predict the winner when these two great rivals go toe to toe, however, England are the heavy favourites at home and there’s good reason for them to be. They have won five of the last eight Ashes series including the last four in a row on home soil.

The Australian batting line-up has been particularly poor in England since 2005, really struggling to corral the influence of the swinging Duke ball and the overcast English conditions. The Australians will once again have almost a completely new look batting line-up to the last team that travelled to England back in 2015. Of the players selected in the Australian 17-man squad who will be competing for a spot in the top six, only Steve Smith and David Warner have experience playing in English conditions, which doesn’t bode well considering the form of England’s current pace attack.

Currently the No.2 ranked Test bowler in the world, James Anderson has some fitness issues ahead of the first Test but will likely play, while Stuart Broad is in some fantastic form after tearing through the Irish in their warm up Test. Add Chris Woakes and the x-factor in Jofra Archer to the equation, and you have a four pronged pace attack that is arguably the best in the world.

As we mentioned above, there are some real questions about the English top order and we think if the Australians are to be competitive, they’ll need to get on top of the likes of Roy, Denly and Burns early in the series.

We also have some concerns over the Australian bowling attack. So often when travelling to the UK, Australian selectors overlook the need for a real swing bowler and we think they might fall into that trap once again. Taking Starc, Cummins and Hazlewood into an Ashes Test in England just doesn’t seem like the right fit. James Pattinson seems the likely replacement for Hazlewood if they want a more experienced swing bowler in the conditions.

With bowling form of the English side at the moment and the conditions that the series will likely offer up, we think there will be a result in every Test, with the English winning either 3-2 or 4-1.


Runscorers

Tough to look past arguably the two best batsmen in the world not named Virat Kohli for the leading runscorer’s of their respective teams. Both Joe Root and Steve Smith were dominant in the last Ashes series in England back in 2015.

Smith led the way for the Aussies with 508 runs from the five Test matches, with the next best being Chris Rogers, who plundered 480 runs. Smith has a fantastic record against England, averaging 56.27 in 23 career Ashes Tests. His last series to England produced a double century at Cardiff and a ton at The Oval and he’ll be looking to replicate the feat this year.


If anyone doubted the run scoring ability of Joe Root before the World Cup, they certainly don’t now. The English No.4 plundered 556 runs at a ridiculous average of 61.77 through the 11 innings including two centuries. The last time he faced Australia on home soil, he amassed 460 runs at an average of 57.5. Hard to believe someone outside of the top four will accrue the most runs for England, and we do have some concerns about the other three in Roy, Denly and Burns.


Wicket Takers

The wicket taker markets are where you might see a little more value. The quicks start with a massive advantage over the spinners in English conditions so we think it’s almost a certainty that a paceman leads the way for both sides in this series.

We would have usually had no problems announcing Pat Cummins as our tip for the Aussies,  however, Mitch Starc’s form and fitness throughout the World Cup campaign was really ominous. While white ball cricket is a completely different kettle of fish, dominating an Ashes series is really the last thing that Mitch Starc has to put on an already glittering resume. If Australia are to be competitive in this series, Starc must swing the ball and must take early wickets, which we think is quite possible with Denly and Burns having never seen him before.


James Anderson’s health is a bit of a concern for the English, and while he’s likely to play the first Test, there are no guarantees that his body will hold up for the whole series. We love the value of Stuart Broad here. Broad has terrorised Australia in the past, particularly on home soil, where he has an impressive average of 26.01.


 

TIPS

Caulfield Racing Tips: Saturday, August 15th

Caulfield plays host to the Group 2 P.B. Lawrence Stakes this Saturday, which sees seven individual Group 1 winners among the field! The feature headlines a big day of racing in Melbourne, and Trent Crebbin has previewed every race on the card here! read more

UFC 252 Preview & Betting Tips

UFC 252 will be headlined by a monster fight between Stipe Miocic and Daniel Cormier for the heavyweight championship! See our full preview and betting tips from MMA expert Ben Talintyre here read more

NRL Round 14: Saturday Preview & Betting Tips

Matta91 is back on deck this Saturday, the 15th of August to preview the massive three game slate in the NRL, which gets underwa at 3pm with the Sharks facing off against the Titans. See our full preview and tips for all three games here read more

AFL Round 12: Saturday Preview & Betting Tips

Round 12 of the AFL season continues on Saturday with a three game slate kicking off at 2.35pm! As usual, we have you covered with a full preview and betting tips for all three games here read more

ARTICLES

Performance Ratings & Pricing with Julian Vallance with Sportsbet

Julian Vallance from Sportsbet takes us through some of the key factors which he uses with pricing upcoming horse races such as performance ratings. Check out his video from Sportsbet here. read more


What is Over-Round and How do Sportsbooks Make Money?

Over-Round is an important concept for both punters and sportsbooks. It's how Australian sportsbooks make money! All punters should understand over-round, how to spot it, and how to find better value on the Betfair Exchange. read more


Betfair Commissions and Charges

Ever wondered why you can get such great odds at Betfair in comparison to other online bookmakers? We break down why that is the case and why Betfair isn't just for professional punters here read more


What is Lay Betting?

Lay betting is when you’re betting against an event to occur. You’re betting that a horse won’t win a race, a team won’t win a match or your player will lose to their opponent. Find out more about lay betting at Betfair right here. read more


BLOGS

2020 AFL Brownlow Medal Votes Round 11

It seems like only suspension can stop Lachie Neale from securing the Brownlow win after another brilliant performance in Round 11, but there are plenty of other Brownlow betting markets that we'll be tackling as markets open. Let's take a closer look at our Round 11 Brownlow vote predictions. read more


2020 AFL Round 12 Odds

Round 12 in the AFL season gets underway on Thrusday night with the 'Battle of the Bridge' between Sydney and GWS taking place at Optus Stadium. As usual, we have all of the odds for the weekend's action, with the Round 12 odds coming via our friends at Sportsbet. read more


2020 Spring Racing Carnival: A look at the WA stars

WA racing's leviathan owner-breeder Bob Peters has sent six of his best horses across the Nullabor to tackle some of Australia's biggest races this Spring. Tim Geers takes a look at each of the star WA horses and what races we might see them in throughout the Melbourne Spring. read more


2020 AFL Round 11 Odds

Round 11 of the AFL season gets underway on Saturday and as usual, we have you covered with all of the odds for every game courtesy of our friends at Sportsbet! read more


PlayUp