Welcome to our preview and horse racing betting tips for racing at Rosehill on Saturday, September 28th.
The Group 1 Golden Rose for the three-year-olds headlines the meeting, with dual Group 2s and dual Group 3s also on the card.
The track is rated a Good 4 with the rail in the true position.
Rosehill Racing Tips: Saturday, September 28th
Best Bet: Race 4 - (3) Gem Song
Best Value: Race 9 - (1) Turnberry / (8) Mushaireb
This is a lottery to open proceedings. I swore if (9) Humbolt Current didn't win last start I'd stop backing him but I'm going to go against my word and back him again today. He was brave in defeat last start after having to work hard in the early part of the race. He drops down to 53kg today and he's really knocking on the door for a breakthrough win. The value in the race could be (2) High Opinion. He ran really well first up, recording the best final 600m of the race, before having a few traffic problems last start. He's got a good third up record and a good record at this distance so at $15 he's not the worst bet. (4) Master Shuhood also has claims at double figure odds.
Value: (2) High Opinion $15
(9) Humbolt Current
$3.10
This is one of the more open Highways you'll see. (3) Lolita Gold might just have been set for this. She bolted in first up last preparation when breaking her maiden at Canberra. She resumes today with one trial under the belt and if she turns up like she did first up last prep she could run a big race. The trainer has a poor winning strike rate though, so that's a touch concerning. (5) Harbouring produced a very strong finish to run down the field at Dubbo first up. Nash Rawiller is booked today and he still looks to have improvement in him given he's raced just five times. (6) Storm Attack ran 2nd in a Highway last start behind Haames. Generally, Highway form is the best form for another Highway. He did get the run of the race last start and has barrier 10 to contend with today, but if he produces a similar run he should be around the mark again.
Good little race. (1) Cosmic Force returns to the races today with two trials under the belt. He made a big impression last preparation when running 2nd to Microphone before demolishing his rivals in the Pago Pago Stakes. He failed to repeat it in the Golden Slipper despite starting close enough to favourite. Hopefully he can slot in somewhere from the awkward gate - that's the main concern. (2) Bellevue Hill also returns from a spell. He should go to the lead and in typical Waterhouse/Bott fashion, will be tough to run down. (6) Pandemic ran the best final sectionals behind Yao Dash and Funstar last start. Funstar has gone on and franked the form with victory last weekend, so Pandemic should measure up well here. He also has race fitness on her side.
Another very good race. Very keen on (3) Gem Song who looks one of the better bets on the card. He was terrific in defeat behind Arcadia Queen and Trope first up, beaten a touch over 2L. That's a seriously hot form line - I think Arcadia Queen is probably the best horse in the country and Trope is probably a Group 1 winner in waiting. Gem Song's won two from three when second up so as long as he gets a good run, he should take plenty of beating. (5) Noire ran the best final 200m of the race first up and her second up record is also very good, with three wins from five starts. (6) Avantage was a touch disappointing last weekend, missing a place for the first time in her career. Perhaps the return to firmer ground this week will suit her much better. She's on the quick back-up so I'd expect to see a much improved performance. (7) Con Te Partiro had no luck at all last start.
It's an interesting tactic from Waller to resume (5) Enticing Star here over 1400m with no blinkers on, before dropping back in distance when tackling The Everest in a couple of weeks. In any case, if she's at her best, I suspect she'll be too good for this field. We saw her stablemate Arcadia Queen come out and win on her stable debut a couple of weeks ago and Enticing Star has been trialling well ahead of hers today. (7) Dyslexic has had no luck at all in her first two starts this prep. She'll need some luck again from the inside gate but if she gets it, she should be able to run into the placings. (4) Pretty In Pink also had no luck at all first up. She never saw daylight and she appears the blowout chance at $27.
At the weights, this looks a two-horse race. (9) Gayitri and (10) Dabiyr ran the quinella last start, with Gayitri getting the better of his stablemate. Dabiyr started the short-priced favourite on that occasion and he gets a 1.5kg weight swing in his favour today. He should sit in the box seat from barrier 1 and that run with cover might be enough to see him turn the tables on Gayitri today, who will need to get clear running further off the speed from barrier 4. Expect one of those two to win.
Happy to stick with (2) Bivouac here, who bounced back in dominant fashion to win the G2 Run To The Rose last start. His only failure this prep came on the bog track when (5) Exceedence went straight past him, but he turned the tables easily back on firmer ground last start. The step up to 1400m looks no issue and I think the margin the others have to turn around is too much. The big improver could be (6) Kubrick who was first up behind Bivouac last start and looked in need of the run. From barrier 1 he should get a soft run here and I'd epect significant improvement in both fitness and performance today. (1) Castelvecchio hit the line hard as he does first up but the drop back to 1400m much be a concern, after resuming over 1500m. He looks in need of 1600m-2000m. (4) Yes Yes Yes raced well first up when 2nd to Bivouac. He'll come on from that run so does have that in his favour but there's still a 2L margin to make up on the favourite. (8) Yao Dash looks the leader and could take some running down.
Another good contest. (2) Shadow Hero caught everyone's eye first up when he flashed home after getting clear about 150m from the line. He showed plenty of promise last preparation and his return signalled that he's in for a big preparation. He was beaten 2.2L by (1) Just Thinkin' last start but I think with the added fitness, the step up in trip and a clear passage earlier in the straight, he can turn the tables. (4) Quick Thinker won impressively on his Australian debut. That was over 1400m on heavy ground. He steps up to 1800m second up today and finds a much firmer track, but he did win a Listed race on firm ground back in New Zealand, so it shouldn't be an issue.
Really keen to see the return of (11) Amangiri, who is a mare I've got a lot of time for. With that said, I think she's short enough first up at 1400m today. She's probably the best horse in this field but there's plenty of competition to her fresh today and she'd need to be at her best to win this. There's two I'm going to have something small on at big odds. (1) Turnberry has a great first up record and he actually won over this track and distance first up last prep. He's drawn poorly in barrier 12 but he's a big enough price at $18 to spec. (8) Mushaireb is another that's first up. He won first up at Warwick Farm last prep with 60kg. He's undefeated at this distance and should get a great run from barrier 6. He looks slightly underrated by the market so I'll take the $18 on offer.
Also backing (1) Turnberry $19
