Welcome to our preview and horse racing betting tips for racing at Rosehill Gardens on Saturday, November 2nd.
The inaugural Golden Eagle headlines racing in Sydney this afternoon, with a total of nine races on the card.
The track is rated a Good 4 with the rail in the True position.
Best Bet: Race 3 - (1) Asterius
Best Value: Race 6 - (6) The Lord Mayor & (11) Emperor's Way
Good little race to kick things off with. I was keen on Betcha Flying originally but she's been scratched and will run at Flemington on Tuesday. I'm interested in (11) Indy Car at each way odds. H was a nice winner on debut at Newcastle coming from the back of the field under 59kg. Down to 54kg here, Tommy Berry booked for Anthony Cummings and might sit closer from the better draw today. (2) Rule The World returns from a spell undefeated in two starts and gets the blinkers on for the first time. Looks very competitive, while stablemate (4) Faretti should also be right in the mix.
The Highway Handicap is rarely a race I get too excited about but I think there's a good each way bet here in the form of (4) Zardoro. He doesn't win out of turn with just three wins from 24 starts but he's placed in a further 11 races and profiles well for this. The best form for Highways is often previous Highways and Zardoro was luckless in a similar Highway at Randwick last start. He was held up at the 200m, cut back to the inside and never really got fully clear. He was beaten 2.9L and I think that form behind the likes of Lady Demi is really reliable Highway form. Tommy Berry takes over today and I expect him to run well. (12) Fair Dinkum draws poorly and steps up to 1200m but raced well over the 1000m in a Highway last start and must be respected.
Very keen on (1) Asterius here. He was beaten 2.7L first up at Randwick by Greyworm. Greyworm has since come out and won again, franking that form. Asterius was ridden by 3kg claimer Brock Ryan and settled at the back of the field. He recorded the best 800-200m sectional but probably gave out in condition late. His second up record is terrific, with two wins and two placings from five starts, so I'd expect big improvement today. He's got three wins and two placings from five starts at this distance, and two wins and a 3rd from three starts at the track and distance. James McDonald takes over the ride which is another big pointer. He should be going very close on his best form. (3) Aqua D'ivina is potentially the value at $9. She also ran in that race behind Greyworm and recorded the best final 800m of the race. She's won two of her three second up runs so she can definitely be competitive at good odds.
I thought this was between the two Kris Lees runners and I originally had Agent Pippa on top but she's been scratched, so her new stablemate (2) Special Reward goes on top. She makes her stable debut after running 5th at Caulfield last start. She's won six of her 10 starts overall so the talent is there and Kris Lees might be able to take her to a new level. The blinkers go straight back on her so I'm expecting a big run.
I'm going to stick with (5) Dance Hall Girl here. She opened her prep with two wins before failing in G3 company last start. She led and compounded on that occasion, but she's been given six weeks off leading into this so should be nice and fresh and she gets a big drop in grade here. She should be able to lead from the inside gate and that should be no disadvantage. (7) Segalas produced a bit effort to win last start after sitting three to five wide throughout the race. She steps up in class again but she looks as if she's putting it all together now. (8) Jen Rules and (2) Miss Invincible next best.
Not keen to get too involved in this staying race but I'll have something small on two at big odds. I backed (6) The Lord Mayor last start and although he ran close enough to last, I'm going to giv him another chance here. Up in trip to his pet distance today, down in the weights and drawn well, which should allow him to sit a bit closer in the run. He's undefeated from three starts when third up from a spell and he's won three of his five starts at 2000m so he's suited today. It's just whether he's good enough. (11) Emperor's Way is the other that could run better than his price suggests. He didn't get much luck last start; he only saw clear running very late in the race and was beaten 1.9L. He's got a god third up record and the extra distance is likely to suit him too. Drawn wide here but at least he will get clear running and he's down in the weights with just 53kg. He was beaten a nose third up over 1800m here last prep.
God there looks to be a lot of speed in this! I count six horses that can either lead or sit on pace, with a further five that typically settle forward of midfield. In fact, in the whole field, I couldn't come up with a single backmarker. I'm sticking with (15) Arcadia Queen. I tipped her in The Everest and got it wrong, but I think this is a better set up for her. Up to 1500m off a hard run, I think they'll look to ride her a touch quieter despite drawing well, and they might just be forced to given the amount of speed in the race. She's well and truly good enough and hopefully we see what she's really capable of today. (3) Kolding is the danger. He's just been airborne ever since they gelded him, with six wins from seven starts. We've seen the form from his last start well and truly stand up through Te Akau Shark in the Cox Plate, and even though he carries more weight today, he drops back to his own age. Drawn perfectly and he will look the winner at some stage. (4) The Inevitable has done little to suggest he can't go very close once again at each way odds. He's probably the value in the race. He's won eight of his 10 career starts, including the Silver Eagle last start and he gets his chance from barrier 3. He's another that's suited by the tempo in the race. Not sure barrier 1 is ideal for (2) Classique Legend but he would have been right in the finish in The Everest with any luck. Back to his own age, he's likely to be very competitive. Interested to see how (11) Beat Le Bon measures up. I'll be taking on (1) Brutal today. I think he's got the job ahead of him from the wide gate with so much speed drawn underneath him. Arcadia Queen, Kolding and The Inevitable my main plays in the race.
Hard to split (1) Pierata and (2) Trekking, who both come out of The Everest last start. Pierata had little luck on that occasion from barrier 1, only getting clear air late, while Trekking ran enormous coming from last to run 3rd. From barrier 12 it will be interesting to see what tactics they use on Pierata, but if they snag him back to last he'll have a big job ahead of him. Trekking is likely to be back there anyway such is his racing pattern. I'm going to stick with the Godolphin runner as the step up in distance will only suit him further. No surprises if Pierata was to win though, obviously. Outside of those two, there's some good value in the race. (7) Brave Song looks over the odds at $20 to my eye. He had no luck at all behind (6) Deprive at Randwick last start. Whether he's up to the class of some of the others is the issue but he goes well third up and draws well in barrier 5. (8) Easy Eddie is undefeated from three starts when third up from a spell and has never missed a place at this track. (11) Kapajack comes out of the Silver Eagle, which isn't a bad race at all, and he's undefeated from three starts at Rosehill. Expect to see him much closer from barrier 3 today.
Thought this was practically a two-horse race to finish off the day. (3) Outrageous ran very well first up behind Signore Fox and Reelem In Ruby, beaten 0.3L after sitting four-wide without cover throughout the race. He draws well and gets a handy claim for Brock Ryan here, so with a better run in transit he's clearly the one to beat. I do think he's very short at $2.35 now though. He's been incredibly well supported in betting, but he's been disappointing in his past two second up runs. His only second up win came when he broke his maiden back in February last year. He won first up at Flemington last prep and then started $4.20 favourite at Bendigo second up, but only managed an 8th placed finish. So with that said I'm going the way of (10) Charretera. She's had nine starts and has only ever missed a place once, which was when she had no luck at Warwick Farm at her third career start. She's just steadily made her way through the grades and although she's only won two races, she's always right around the mark. She might be better suited next start but there's no reason she can't go very close in this. I'd rather take $5.00/$1.80 for her than $2.35 for Outrageous. (5) Destiny's Own is an each way hope at odds.
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