Week 14 arrives with real stakes attached, as playoff contenders look to separate and struggling teams fight to stay alive. Divisional grudges headline the slate, including a fierce AFC North battle with postseason implications, a classic NFC rivalry at Lambeau, and a Chiefs home game where Kansas City will try to reassert control after an uneven midseason stretch. Every game this week carries weight, and the margin for error is shrinking fast.
NFL Week 14 Monday Betting Tips
Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens
5.00am (AEDT)
Baltimore return home playing some of their most complete football of the season. The offence has been sharp, leaning on a balanced approach that uses Lamar Jackson’s dual threat ability without overexposing him. Their running game has been efficient and their passing attack continues to find rhythm in intermediate windows. Defensively, the Ravens remain one of the most physical units in the league, thriving on pocket disruption and tight coverage. At home, they tend to dictate tempo early and force opponents into uncomfortable game scripts.
Pittsburgh arrive with a defence capable of keeping them in any contest, but their offence has struggled for consistency. They can generate occasional big plays, but sustained drives have been an issue and they have spent too much time playing from behind. Their defence is still a genuine threat, especially against mobile quarterbacks, but they will need short fields or turnovers to match Baltimore over four quarters. The Steelers fight, but their margin for error has been thin all season.
Prediction: Baltimore’s balance and home field advantage give them a clear edge. Pittsburgh’s defence will make this competitive for stretches, but unless their offence finds a spark, it is difficult to see them outpacing a Ravens team that rarely beats itself. I like the Ravens to win 27 to 20 in a typically physical AFC North clash.
Ravens -5.5
$1.90 (1.5 Units)
Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers
8.25am (AEDT)
Green Bay return to Lambeau looking steadier with each passing week. Jordan Love has grown in command of the offence and the run game has provided enough support to keep the playbook open. Their defence has taken a step forward, especially in coverage, where they have been able to force opponents into checkdowns and long third downs. At home, Green Bay usually play cleaner, more controlled football, especially in late season cold weather games.
Chicago arrive as the top seed in the NFC at 9 and 3, playing with confidence and a clear identity. Their offence has evolved into an efficient, balanced unit that marries a strong run game with timely, high percentage throws. They have been disciplined in protecting the ball and have repeatedly won the field position battle, allowing their defence to dictate terms. Defensively, the Bears have been outstanding, thriving on physicality at the line of scrimmage and suffocating opponents in key moments. They are not fluky front runners, they are a legitimate powerhouse with playoff level fundamentals.
Prediction: Green Bay will not make this easy, and Lambeau in December always levels the playing field, but Chicago are simply the more complete team right now. Their defence should be able to limit the Packers explosive plays, and their offence has been consistent enough to control tempo. I like the unders here in a classic NFC North tussle.
Under 43.5
$1.90 (1.5 Units)
Houston Texans at Kansas City Chiefs
12.20pm (AEDT)
Kansas City return home needing to sharpen their identity as the postseason approaches. Patrick Mahomes continues to lift the offence when the moment demands it, but the Chiefs have leaned more on precision and patience than the explosive fireworks that defined earlier seasons. Their defence remains one of the most reliable units in the league, particularly in the red zone and on third downs. At Arrowhead, the combination of crowd noise and defensive discipline still makes them one of the toughest outs in football.
Houston arrive as a genuinely dangerous opponent with CJ Stroud playing at a level that keeps the Texans in every game. Stroud has continued his ascent into the league’s elite young quarterbacks, displaying poise, accuracy and the ability to attack all areas of the field. The Texans offence has real balance and speed, giving them multiple ways to stress a defence. Their own defence has also held up well, showing toughness in the trenches and enough playmaking at linebacker and in the secondary to force opponents into uncomfortable decisions. Houston enter this matchup not just competitive, but fully capable of winning outright if they execute.
Prediction: This feels like a high quality battle where both quarterbacks will have defining moments. Stroud will absolutely test the Chiefs secondary, but Kansas City at home remain incredibly difficult to beat, especially with their improved defensive structure. Mahomes late game mastery still carries weight, and I lean toward the Chiefs pulling out a tight one, espeically at home.
Chiefs -3.5
$1.90 (2 Units)
Other Tips
Dolphins at Jets - Jets +3 ($1.88 at Dabble)
Seahawks at Falcons - Falcons +6.5 ($1.88 at Dabble)
Saints at Buccaneers - Over 41.5 ($1.91 at Dabble)
Commanders at Vikings - Under 43.5 ($1.91 at Dabble)
Colts at Jaguars - Colts -1.5 ($1.90 at Dabble)
Titans at Browns - Browns -3.5 ($1.91 at Dabble)
Bengals at Bills - Bills -5.4 ($1.89 at Dabble)
Broncos at Raiders - Over 40.5 ($1.88 at Dabble)
