2-1 in NFL best bets last week and we’ll be looking for another solid outing as the season heads into Week 7 starting this Friday morning. We’ll be opting to skip the Friday morning snooze-fest between NFC minnows in the Eagles and Giants though and focusing in on the 12 game slate on Monday morning (AEDT).
This NFL season, Before You Bet has a special partnership with 'The Punt Return' podcast! Catch Josh Wye & Nick Splitter weekly in the lead up to action in the NFL, breaking down some of the key games and storylines.
Monday 4am (AEDT)
The Packers suffered their first loss of the season in Week 6, going down to the Buccaneers in Tampa Bay by 28 points. They will be on the road against this week in Houston before returning to Lambeau Field next week for a big NFC North clash with the Vikings. The Packers have covered in every game they have won this season, winning their first four games by an average margin of 12.75 points and star QB Aaron Rodgers has been on fire, racking up 274.8 passing yards per game and a 13/2 touchdown to interception ratio.
The Texans had a horror run to start the season, facing off against arguably the three best teams in the AFC in the Chiefs, Ravens and Steelers in the first three weeks. They have just a 1-5 record through six weeks, with their only win coming back in Week 5 against the Jaguars. The Texans have struggled to score the football this season, sitting in the bottom half of the league with just 24.3 points per game.
Have to like the Packers to bounce back in this one. Their game against the Buccaneers was out of character and just seemed like one of those scheduled losses on the road. They will be much better on offence this week against the Houston defence that has allowed the seventh most points per game in the league at 30.3.
Monday 7.05am (AEDT)
The Cardinals secured a massive win over the Cowboys on Monday Night Football in Week 6 to move to 4-2 on the season. They have now won their last two against the Jets and Cowboys by an average margin of 24 points but will have a much tougher task this week as they host Russel Wilson and the Seattle Seahawks.
The Seahawks are one of the few remaining undefeated teams in the league alongside the Titans and Steelers. They sit at 5-0 on the season and secured a thrilling 1 point win over the Vikings in Week 6. That game was the first where they have failed to cover the spread and even on the road they’ll start as 3.5 point favourites here.
Tough game to call one way or another, with the Cardinals in some pretty good form at the moment but still lacking a genuine scalp. They get their chance at that this weekend, so they will no doubt be fired up against a Seahawks team that doesn’t have as much to play for. We think this game is closer than the 3.5 point line suggests, so we are staying away and opting for the over instead. These two teams average over 60 points per game between them and both have talented quarterbacks who move the chains. Should be high scoring.
Monday 11.20am (AEST)
The Buccaneers will travel cross country to Las Vegas to take on the Raiders in the marquee time-slot game of the Sunday slate. Tampa Bay is coming off a season defining win over the Packers, taking them to 4-2 on the season and 3-3 against the spread. The Buccaneers were dominant on defence, holding the league’s best offence in the Packers to just 10 points in the win. Through six games, they have allowed just 20.3 points per game, good for eighth in the league.
The Raiders have been getting the job done on the other side of the ball. Through six weeks, they are 3-2 and are one of just six teams in the league to be average 30+ points per game. QB Derek Carr is averaging 288.4 passing yards per game and has a league best 11-1 touchdown to interception ratio in what has been a great comeback season so far.
The Raiders start as four point underdogs at home here, which we absolutely love. Tampa will be flying cross country on the back of a big win and should come out of the blocks pretty sluggish. Vegas have already showed they can mix it with the best, covering the spread against the Saints and the Chiefs in the last four weeks. Back them to cover here.
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