Welcome to our horse racing preview and betting tips for racing at Gosford and Ballarat on Thursday, June 13th.
Luke Krahe is back with his preview, with five selections throughout the course of the day! Check them out below.
With the early scratching, there will only be two place dividends here. (5) Rubikat was backed as if there was no settling at this track a fortnight ago, she had just the one run prior since coming up from Tasmania and improvement was expected. She jumped awkwardly, settled in a nice position in the run before easing three-wide at the top of the straight. She loomed but was no match for the smart winner. She maps beautifully again here and I expect that if she jumps better she will be right on the speed. She wobbled around the bend here at her first look last time, she probably meets a smarter field here but looks to be still improving. (2) Warfare will start the favourite and has looked good at two starts. He showed more speed last time at Kembla but over-raced and happy to take him on if he starts in the red. (3) Hellbenders was very plain at huge odds against her own age on debut, I couldn’t have him here with stolen money. The blinkers go on but I expect him to be a huge drifter.
There only looks two, maybe three, chances in the second of the day, another maiden but his time at the mile. (2) Fairy Me Home is a Waller runner that has been to the races three times, showed improvement when placing out to the mile at start two last prep. He was ok fresh at 1300m at Kembla, over-raced a little through the mid0stages before making good ground late to narrowly miss the placings. He looks suited stepping back up to the mile second-up as he did last prep. (4) Highland Skipper gets the blinkers on for the first time, they changed the tactics with him last time and was ridden further back. He is only having start two so has plenty of upside. (7) Pellicle comes through the same form line as him at Kembla, he finished in front of him but did have a better run in transit. He looks a great lay here if starting under $4.
(6) Dragon’s Beauty debuted at Newcastle at cricket score odds a month ago, she got well back before hitting the line well although well beaten. There have been two subsequent winners come out of that race. She then went to Muswellbrook and had a soft run before getting into the cutaway and running on well. She missed in a three-way bob of the heads but noticeably did beat home the very short-priced favourite. That horse has since come out and led all the way at Newcastle last week. She steps up to the mile which looks ideal, she will get back but should get a good cart into it which you need here at Gosford if you are to make ground from the back. The good 3kg claim helps and she gets in very light.
(12) Sassy Em is a 5-start maiden that has started big odds at both starts this time in, but I liked the way that she improved when getting on the synthetic at Pakenham last time. She was poor resuming when straight to the 1850m, a tough ask, then went back to the mile and ran on well. She steps out past the 2000m for the first time and should be nearing peak fitness, the way she ran through the line last time showed that it should be beneficial. These maiden staying races can often be narrowed down to horses with upside and not the tried performers. She has the inside draw so should get an economical run, she may just need a little luck when the runs come getting off the inside.
An open race on paper, (7) Star Hills has a win here at the track last time in a much easier race, proven form on the synthetic is a major factor in my form evaluation. He does have to step up in class but carried the big weight to win well, he saved ground on the turn before being held-up slightly then was strong through the line. He maps to get a very soft run here with a similar map to last time off the inside draw. There looks to be plenty of speed on paper and he will be gi9ving them a start, but I expect the gaps to open in the straight.
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