A blockbuster match headlines Friday night action as the age-old rugby league rivalry between the Rabbitohs and Roosters resumes. The hostility will temporarily be put on hold as each marks the special occasion that is Arrow’s 100th match for the home side. As resentment resumes, these two teams will be out to make a statement ahead of the NRL Finals. Before You Bet is here with a comprehensive look at the action that’s ahead with the aim of finding you a winner or two to add to your enjoyment.
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Rabbitohs vs Roosters Prediction & Tips: 2026 NRL Round 27
Emotions and skill were high
In a special day for the Rabbitohs, they jumped out of the blocks with a dominant first half performance, jumping to a 28-6 HT lead. As has been the case all season though, they allowed the Titans back into the match but overcame this towards the end to prevail 42-22 on the road. With an equal share of possession, they had a superior completion rate (85%) and averaged 9.6m per carry. This also led to 8 line breaks. Heading into the Finals with momentum, they still have areas which they can improve upon; they missed 48 total tackles in that match.
Trending downward
A week after their upset loss to the Tigers, the Roosters suffered another defeat, this time at home to the Dolphins 26-12. The loss was made worse with the injury suffered by Walker. The Roosters are in for a tough few weeks if they are to resemble their dominance from different points of the season. Statistically, they were strong; completing at 81% they ran for 9.5m per carry, had 649 PCM’s, and had 7 line breaks. This couldn’t be converted into points though, a worrying sign on the eve of the Finals.
Stats that matter
- The Roosters won the Round 2 game between these two sides 26-18, strengthening their 64% strike rate here, well ahead of the Rabbitohs 33%. The Roosters have also won 6 of the past 7 games against their rivals.
- Despite 3 of the past 5 games decided by 8 points or less, two blowout wins to the Roosters has the average margin of victory at 18.8 points. The average total points scored is 47.6.
- The Rabbitohs have the superior attack this season, averaging 28ppg compared to the Roosters 26ppg. The Roosters are stronger defensively, allowing just 19ppg, well ahead of the Rabbitohs 24ppg.
Showing their hand
The Roosters’ decision to rest a host of key players for this game has swung the momentum towards the Rabbitohs. While they too have left a player out to allow rest prior to the Finals, it is nothing compared to the likes of Tedesco, Toia, DCE, and Robson who are absent for the visitors. The Rabbitohs are opting to build momentum ahead of the game and this offers them the perfect platform. A strong start from the Roosters is expected; incoming players will want to make a statement that they are capable in the top grade. That will only remain for so long.
The Rabbitohs are a strong team with a host of players who can score points. Providing they do not have their usual ‘switching off’ period in this game, they should win comfortably. Their forwards are too strong and will create the perfect platform for the likes of Walker, Mitchell, and Johnston to scheme in the best way possible. Unfortunately, you need to go looking for value. Rather than take on the ridiculous line offered, play it safe and increase your stake in the Rabbitohs to win by more than 2 converted tries.
Rabbitohs 13+
$1.32 (2.5 units)
Rabbitohs vs Roosters Same Game Multi
Leg 1 = Total points under 55.5 – see above for justification.
Leg 2 = Johnston 2+ tries – he has fond memories of scoring at this ground and will be out to replicate his effort from earlier in the season. In his past 2 games at this ground, Johnston has scored 5 tries.
Leg 3 = Walker to score – he came close last week but stick with him. Walker is in great form currently and this has improved his confidence (and incidence) of taking the ball to the line, as well as looming up regularly in support.
Rabbitohs vs Roosters Betting Odds & Match Info
Date: Friday 4th September
Location: Allianz Stadium, Sydney
Time: 8pm (AEST)
Odds: Rabbitohs $1.10 vs Roosters $ 7.25
Line: -23.5
Points: 55.5
Where to Watch Rabbitohs vs Roosters
Watch the Rabbitohs vs Roosters live and ad free on Kayo Sports.
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