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AFLW 2025 Round 10 Preview & Betting Tips

October 17th 2025, 4:29pm, By: Jake Smit

AFLW Betting Tips

The 2025 AFLW season continues this weekend with Round 10 action! We’re now just a couple of weeks away from finals beginning and there are still plenty of places up for grabs, so we should be in for another exciting weekend of elite footy. Let’s get stuck into it! 

Check out our best bets for all nine AFLW Round 10 matches below and if you’re keen to follow our tips, then consider joining Bet Right

Bet Right

2025 AFLW Round 10 Betting Tips 

Port Adelaide vs Hawthorn 

Friday 7:15pm AEDT, Alberton Oval 

Port Adelaide and Hawthorn meet in a Round 10 clash that revisits last season’s elimination final thriller, where the Power stunned the Hawks by just one point. This time around, the storylines have flipped. The Hawks sit second on the ladder at 8-1 and have been one of the competition’s most consistent sides, fresh off a 23-point victory over the Suns. Despite their dominance, Hawthorn haven’t blown teams away, with that win marking their biggest margin of the season. 

For Port Adelaide, this year has been a step backwards after their preliminary final appearance in 2024. Sitting 13th at 3-6, they’ve struggled to find consistency and are coming off a 29-point loss to the Lions. However, the Power still possess enough skill and firepower to test the Hawks if they can recapture last year’s defensive grit. Expect Hawthorn to hold firm, but Port Adelaide should keep it competitive. 

Port Adelaide +10.5

$1.89 (1 Unit)

 

West Coast vs Geelong 

Friday 9:15pm AEDT, Sillivan Logistics Stadium 

West Coast and Geelong square off in a crucial Round 10 encounter that could define the finals race. The Eagles sit eighth at 5-4 and are pushing to reach the finals for the first time in their history, marking their best-ever AFLW campaign. Led by Ella Roberts, West Coast have built their success on effort, structure and defensive pressure, making them a tough side to break down. 

Geelong, however, remain a dangerous opponent despite sitting 10th at 4-5. With Georgie Prespakis leading a talented midfield group, the Cats have the quality to trouble anyone on their day and will be desperate to keep their season alive. 

Given what’s at stake and both teams’ defensive strengths, this matchup shapes as a hard-fought battle where goals will be at a premium. Expect a tight contest that could go down to the wire, with total points likely staying under 85.5. 

Under 85.5 Points

$1.85 (2 Units)

 

Melbourne vs Sydney 

Saturday 1:05pm AEDT, Casey Fields 

Melbourne and Sydney face off in an intriguing Round 10 contest that carries major top-eight implications. The Demons sit third on the ladder at 7-2 but will be eager to respond after a surprise five-point defeat to Fremantle last week, which ended their three-game winning streak. Melbourne have been one of the competition’s most balanced sides, but lapses in efficiency and pressure cost them dearly against the Dockers.

Sydney, meanwhile, rediscovered form in emphatic fashion, snapping a four-game losing streak with a 39-point demolition of Carlton. It was the Swans’ most complete performance of the season, highlighted by their contested dominance and defensive resilience. With finals still within reach, they’ll arrive confident and motivated to test one of the league’s heavyweights.

Given Sydney’s resurgence and Melbourne’s recent stumble, the Swans look well placed to make this competitive and should be capable of covering the +12.5 spread.

Sydney +13.5

$1.82 (1.5 Units)

 

North Melbourne vs Adelaide  

Saturday 3:05pm AEDT, Arden Street Oval 

North Melbourne and Adelaide meet in a Round 10 blockbuster between two finals contenders, though the Kangaroos enter as clear favourites. North made history last week with their 21st straight victory, a remarkable run that underlines their dominance as the undisputed best team in the AFLW. Sitting comfortably atop the ladder, they cruised past Richmond by 36 points and continue to showcase elite efficiency, balance and defensive structure.

Adelaide, meanwhile, are fighting to cement a top-four finish and entered the round fifth at 6-3. The Crows produced a steady 17-point win over West Coast last week, keeping their season on track and showing their trademark grit around the contest.

While North Melbourne’s class and consistency should once again prove too strong, Adelaide have enough experience and quality to stay competitive. Expect the Kangaroos to control proceedings, but the Crows are capable of covering the +31.5 spread.

Adelaide +31.5

$1.88 (1 Unit)

 

GWS vs Fremantle 

Saturday 3:05pm AEDT, Henson Park 

GWS and Fremantle meet in a Round 10 clash with contrasting stakes. The Giants’ season has fallen away, sitting at 2-7 after a 27-point defeat to Geelong last week. Finals are off the table, and with scoring struggles and defensive lapses continuing to hurt them, GWS will be looking to finish their campaign with pride and development in mind rather than results.

Fremantle, on the other hand, are still right in the finals hunt. Last week’s stunning five-point upset over Melbourne reignited their season, lifting them to 4-5 and within striking distance of the top eight. The Dockers have found form defensively and are beginning to turn pressure into scoring opportunities.

With everything to play for, Fremantle should bring the urgency and discipline needed to keep their finals push alive. Expect them to control the contest and comfortably cover the -13.5 line against an out-of-form Giants side.

Fremantle +13.5

$1.67 (1.5 Units)

 

Carlton vs St Kilda 

Saturday 7:15pm AEDT, IKON Park 

Carlton and St Kilda face off in a crucial Round 10 encounter with both sides locked at 6-3 and eyeing a potential top-four finish. The Blues were brought back to earth last week, suffering a heavy 37-point defeat to Sydney that exposed some cracks in their ball movement and defensive transition. They’ll be eager to respond at home and reassert their finals credentials against another top-eight rival.

St Kilda, meanwhile, enter in strong form after a convincing 23-point win over Collingwood. The Saints have built momentum in recent weeks, playing with confidence and balance across all lines. Their pressure game and ability to convert inside 50 have been key factors in their rise up the ladder.

With both teams evenly matched and plenty at stake, this looms as a tight, high-stakes contest. Given their recent form and growing belief, the Saints look well placed to cover the +10.5 spread.

St Kilda +10.5

$1.90 (2 Units)

 

Essendon vs Brisbane  

Sunday 1:05pm AEDT, Windy Hill 

Essendon head into Round 10 at 3-6 after being well beaten by the Bulldogs, extending their losing streak to six. The Bombers have faced a tough run of opponents in recent weeks and continue to struggle to find consistency across four quarters. Their ball movement has often broken down under pressure, and this clash against one of the competition’s form sides shapes as another difficult challenge.

Brisbane, sitting at 6-3, are in excellent form after a 29-point win over Port Adelaide — their fourth straight victory by more than four goals. The Lions are playing with confidence, combining defensive discipline with scoring power. With their current momentum and superior structure, they should control this contest from the outset and comfortably cover the -31.5 spread.

Brisbane -31.5

$1.90 (1 Unit)

 

Collingwood vs Richmond 

Sunday 3:05pm AEDT, Victoria Park 

Collingwood and Richmond meet in Round 10 with both sides desperate to finish the season on a positive note. The Magpies sit at 2-7 after a disappointing stretch where scoring has been a real issue, struggling to generate momentum and convert opportunities inside 50. They’ve battled hard defensively but haven’t been able to match opposition intensity for long enough periods.

Richmond, at 1-8, have shown signs of improvement over the past fortnight. Their upset win over Adelaide was followed by a competitive showing against the unbeaten Kangaroos, proving they’re trending in the right direction. With that recent form, the Tigers deserve favouritism and should be winning this one.

Richmond -5.5

$1.88 (2 Units)

 

Gold Coast vs Western Bulldogs 

Sunday 5:05pm AEDT, Great Barrier Reef Arena 

Gold Coast sit bottom of the ladder at 1-8 with a poor percentage of 39.3%, reflecting a season where nothing has gone right. The Suns have struggled on both sides of the ball, conceding heavily while rarely threatening in attack. Their 23-point loss to Hawthorn last week was another example of their inability to stay competitive for four quarters.

The Western Bulldogs, at 3-6, have found some late-season momentum with two wins from their past three matches. Their 57-point thrashing of Essendon highlighted their improvement in ball movement and defensive pressure. Facing a struggling Suns outfit, the Bulldogs should post another convincing victory.

Western Bulldogs -20.5

$1.90 (1 Unit)

Based on the South-West coast of Victoria, Jake has been an avid sports fanatic since he could walk. Aussie Rules, basketball, and soccer are his main three loves, but he's also got a soft spot for countless other sports.

Besides being a major contributor to our sports and fantasy content since 2017, Jake is our Content Manager & Editor and helps to plan and coordinate our team of writers every week. He's also one of the unlucky ones that is a keen Port Adelaide and Phoenix Suns fan, so go easy on him.

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