The final game on NRL Super Saturday heads to Brisbane as the Broncos host the Knights. Few would have predicted the current standing of each team on the competition ladder with the NRL Finals approaching. This ensures an intriguing contest as the Broncos search for form and the Knights attempt to overcome a mounting injury toll. Before You Bet is here to assist with a comprehensive look at what is ahead in this match.
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Broncos vs Knights Prediction & Tips: 2026 NRL Round 22
Lost their spark
The inspiring winning performance over the Panthers in Round 20 was short lived as the Broncos were handed a reality check in their 18-10 loss to the Cowboys on the road. In a tight contest, the Broncos failed to gather enough momentum throughout the contest to execute when it mattered. With an equal share of possession, they completed at 81% and ran for 9.5m per carry but it didn’t translate into points. Their defence was worse, allowing 5 line breaks, missing 34 tackles, and allowing 10.2m per carry. Such effort areas suggest it is more than just executing which is letting the Broncos down.
Spirited but battered
It was the worst possible outcome for the Knights at home last week against the Roosters. Not only were they defeated by a FG with 3 minutes remaining, but they also lost two key players to significant injuries in Brown and Lucas. It didn’t impact their execution in the game though, suggesting that this team has a strong foundation. With 53% possession they completed at 84%, made 8.3m per carry, and 5 line breaks. Their defence was slightly better too but they will be aware that they need to improve upon their 31 missed tackles moving forward.
Stats that matter
- The Broncos has won their past 6 games against the Knights, yet the visitors still have a 52% strike rate at this ground (Broncos 58%).
- In the past 5 games, the average margin of victory has been 19.2 points with only one game decided by fewer than 16 points. In the same fixtures, the average total points is 46.4.
- There is no doubt that the Knights are superior on both sides of the ball this season. They average 25ppg in attack compared to the Broncos 18ppg. Things are closer defensively with the Knights allowing 23ppg while the Broncos concede 26ppg.
Don’t underestimate the Knights
It appears most are favouring the Broncos to come out and hand the Knights a loss given the injury issues they are experiencing. With their Finals hopes hanging by a thread, a strong performance is needed but they too are vulnerable. The attacking power they possess could lead them to victory, but the Knights are well equipped to cope; they have proven this throughout 2026. The return of Ponga off sets the loss of Brown and will combat the spark the home side possess.
You cannot forget about the potential and quality of the visitors. While the home side is stronger on paper, they have not been executing to the level required of them; they are vulnerable in matches, and it remains unknown how motivated they will stay. Things can unravel quickly when hope is lost. While the Broncos are likely to grab a victory, the value lies with the Knights. There is every chance that the team who is playing to stay inside the Top 8 will deliver greater consistency compared to a team fighting for survival. With that in mind, take the line and use it to your advantage.
Knights +6.5
$1.90 (1.5 units)
Broncos vs Knights Same Game Multi
Leg 1 = Total points over 45.5 – see above for justification.
Leg 2 = Mariner to score – he has played the Knights only twice but has recorded a double on both occasions. Despite only having 2 tries in his past 5 matches, he will still be a threat from anywhere on the field.
Leg 3 = Young to score – speaking of threats, Young is exactly that. He has a terrific strike rate at this ground with 8 tries in his past 5 games here. Despite not scoring in his past 2 games against them, he still has 5 tries to his name against the Broncos also.
Broncos vs Knights Betting Odds & Match Info
Date: Saturday 1st August
Location: Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane
Time: 7:35pm (AEST)
Odds: Broncos $1.50 vs Knights $2.60
Line: -6.5
Points: 45.5
Where to Watch Broncos vs Knights
Watch the Broncos vs Knights match live and ad free on Kayo Sports.
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