The NFL season is beginning to hit its stride as Week 4 rolls around, and Monday’s slate serves up some mouthwatering contests. We’re far enough in that the early hype and hot starts are being tested, but it’s still early enough that teams can completely change their trajectory with one big win. This is the point of the season where contenders start separating themselves from the pack, and pretenders begin to get exposed.
It’s a Monday packed with storylines, rivalries, and playoff-level stakes, even though the calendar still says September.
NFL Week 4 Monday Betting Tips
Philadelphia Eagles at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
3am (AEST)
Tampa Bay enters this one riding high with a 3-0 record. Their resilience in close games has been notable: the Bucs have already won multiple times in the final minute this season. But it’s not all sunshine, injuries and depth issues, especially along the offensive line, are starting to stack up. Losing Mike Evans to a hamstring injury for several weeks is a huge blow to their passing game, and that absence may expose their offense when the Eagles’ defense brings the heat.
Philadelphia is unbeaten and looking like a juggernaut early on. Their defense has been suffocating, and the offense has enough balance to make life difficult for opponents. Jalen Hurts and the Eagles’ weapons up front are doing the heavy lifting, and Philly’s roster depth gives them some insurance when injuries creep in. They’ll also be looking to exploit Tampa’s line and test their secondary without Evans.
This could be a closer game than many expect, the Bucs are dangerous when you let them hang around. But I lean Eagles to win on the road, probably by a touchdown or so, riding a strong defensive performance and enough offensive firepower to stay ahead late.
Eagles -3.5
$1.90 (2 Units)
Baltimore Ravens at Kansas City Chiefs
6.25am (AEST)
Baltimore is coming in full of confidence. Their ground game is elite, and when Lamar Jackson is clicking, they’re one of the most dangerous teams in the league. The Ravens’ defense is also still in the top tier, able to take away strengths and force opponents out of rhythm. With Travis Jones trending back toward availability, Baltimore should have more integrity up front in this big matchup.
Kansas City, meanwhile, needs this one. Their offense has had flashes but has also looked inconsistent. Patrick Mahomes has dealt with a wrist issue, and the Chiefs’ supporting cast has taken some lumps. The pass rush from Kansas City is one of their better assets, though, and they’ll lean on it to try to make Baltimore uncomfortable. They need to win this kind of game to stay in the AFC elite discussion.
I think this one ends up being tight and physical. But the edge goes to Ravens, I see Baltimore pulling off a road win by a field goal or a touchdown. I don’t expect a blowout, but Jackson + Baltimore’s defense stay just a step ahead.
Baltimore -2.5 (3 Units)
$1.90
Green Bay Packers at Dallas Cowboys
10.20am (AEST)
Green Bay is in a bit of a crossroads stretch. They’ve shown promise in the early going, and their schedule throws a few tests their way in quick succession. Jordan Love has had moments of brilliance, and their running game has had some impact. However, consistency is still a question, especially against stronger defenses.
Dallas has struggled defensively this year, especially in pass coverage. The loss of Micah Parsons looms large; their secondary is leaking big plays and giving up chunk yardage. Offensively, the Cowboys still have weapons, but unless their defense can hold up, they may be in for a long day. Some analysts are already pointing to Dallas’s pass defense as one of the worst in the league so far.
This feels like a bounce-back opportunity for Green Bay. If they can control the tempo and make Dallas one-dimensional, the Packers have enough to win. I lean Packers to take this one, perhaps by a touchdown or so, especially if Dallas can’t mask their defensive issues.
Packers -6.5
$1.90 (1.5 Units)
Other Tips
New Orleans Saints at Buffalo Bills - Bills -15.5 ($1.90 at Dabble)
Cleveland Browns at Detroit Lions - Over 44.5 ($1.88 at Dabble)
Tennessee Titans at Houston Texans - Under 38.5 ($1.89 at Dabble)
Los Angeles Chargers at New York Giants - Giants +6.5 ($1.87 at Dabble)
Washington Commanders at Atlanta Falcons - Commanders -1.5 ($1.90 at Dabble)
Carolina Panthers at New England Patriots - Over 43.5 ($1.88 at Dabble)
Indianapolis Colts at Los Angeles Rams - Colts +3.5 ($1.88 at Dabble)
Jacksonville Jaguars at San Francisco 49ers - Under 46.5 ($1.90 at Dabble)
Chicago Bears at Las Vegas Raiders - Bears +1.5 ($1.88 at Dabble)
