Welcome to our horse racing preview and betting tips for racing on Thursday, September 5th.
There's plenty of racing around the country this afternoon and Luke Krahe is focusing on the meetings at Newcastle, Seymour and Ballina. Check out his best bets below!
The Beaumont track at Newcastle plays host today after racing here on Tuesday, (2) Animate for Kris Lees should get us off to the right start and break his maiden status. He debuted up the Pacific Highway at Taree, was heavily supported late into almost flip-of-the-coin odds. He jumped well but the jock eased him into a nice trailing draw, three pairs back. He wobbled around the corner and got very wide, balanced up and charged to the line up the short straight to miss by the narrowest of margins. Gibbo retains the ride and there are not many better hoops around the Hunter and mid-north coast region, stepping up in trip and getting onto the bigger track should suit and will be on the speed all the way. The main danger in the betting will be (1) Is That So who has placed at three of four, he resumed nicely on the synthetic track at Canberra last time. He did nothing after a perfect run when second-up last time, I expect him to be a huge drifter.
The third race looks an open one on paper and there looks to be plenty of speed. (1) Adonis Victorius, (11) Appetizing and (9) Lightning Alley will all be pushing forward early and setting a solid tempo. (2) Oakfield Target also has tactical speed but should get the perfect run after taking a sit behind the speed. He was against the boys last time and sat outside the speed, stuck on well and was disadvantaged in the run home, only beaten under a length from the winner but officially running sixth. With the perfect sit behind a hot speed, in an even race, he should hit the line well at the double figure odds and looks a great each-way bet.
(6) Reliable Son has only been to the races once, that was 2 months ago on the synthetic track at Pakenham. As much as $6 was bet the day before (deductions were minor) the money came for him, he started $2.80 and was heavily backed in the last 10 minutes. He was mid-field in the run before showing a good turn-of-foot and looked like chiming in, but layed in all the way down the straight and didn’t produce. He was sent straight to the paddock, resumes today and I like these ones that have been heavily backed on debut, only to fail on the synthetic tracks, coming back on to the turf. The ability is obviously there as that kind of money implied, he has trialed nicely against much more seasoned horses on a heavy track recently also. He jumped well, sat outside the leader and the jock hardly went for him as he got past the leader and was reeled in late by one down the outside. Drawn well, straight to the mile is a tough ask but this camp knows what they are doing, each-way all day at the double figures.
(7) Tapa is very consistent with her pattern of settling up on the speed, she looks well in back at BM66 grade here. She has already had three wins this prep, the latest she travelled north to Rocky at Class 6 level where she was a very heavily backed favourite. She kicked up from the inside gate and led, was cuddled well into the long straight before being let down for a comfortable win. Fair to say it is a lot easier to lead and kick away at a track like this, she may have to sit outside the leader from the wide gate, she can still win from there, but if she crosses to the rail first, go again in the run.
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