Following on from State of Origin on Wednesday, the NRL enters a rare Super Sunday event. Fans are blessed to have 3 games of rugby league to delve into, with the first of the exciting clashes heading to Brisbane as the Broncos host the Dragons. Forget the standing of each team on the ladder, the next 80 minutes is going to be action packed. Before You Bet is here to guide you through with a comprehensive look at what is ahead, with the aim of finding you a winner or two to add to your enjoyment.
Also, Before You Bet will be providing free previews and betting tips for EVERY game in the 2026 NRL season, so make sure to head over to our NRL Tips regularly to keep up to date with all of our free content.
Broncos vs Dragons Predictions & Tips: NRL Round 13 2026
Struggling Broncos cannot compete
Down on quality players and featuring in the main timeslot on Sunday afternoon at Magic Round, higher standards were held for the Broncos. Unfortunately for them, they were comprehensively outplayed in their 42-12 loss that unearthed further lingering issues at this club. With just 45% possession, they completed at 81% but failed to capitalise on positive attacking positions. Credit to their opponents who shut down their every move, the Broncos struggled to assert themselves in this contest. Despite making 8.8m per carry, they only managed 386 PCM’s and 4 line breaks. They were also poor defensively, allowing 9.4m per carry and allowing 501 PCM’s. They will welcome back key players in the next few weeks, and improvement is expected but games like this highlight depth and things look bare for the Broncos in this area.
Another game, another Dragons loss
Still winless this season, the Dragons were comprehensively defeated at home 30-12 by the Warriors. Always appearing to be the inferior team, the Dragons were their own worst enemy. With 53% possession, they completed at just 68% and trailed their opponents in majority of key areas. With 8.8m per carry, they made just 2 line breaks, failing to show creativity which would assist them in pressuring their opponents. Having lost a key playmaker to injury hasn’t helped but more was expected from a team; at times, their poor standard of execution reflected that of a team who had ‘given up’ on this season. Hopefully for their fans, this judgement is incorrect.
Stats that matter
- The Dragons have won 8 of the past 10 games against the Broncos. Still, they only win 37% of matches at this ground compared to the Broncos 58%.
- Matches between these two sides are usually tight. In the past 5 games between them, the average margin is 10.8 points, with 3 games decided by 10 points or less. The average total points is high though, sitting at 50.8 points in the same time frame.
- The Broncos have been poor this year, but they are still superior to the Dragons on both sides of the ball. They average 20ppg in attack and concede 25ppg in defensive. This is well ahead of the Dragons who manage just 12ppg in attack and allow 33ppg in defence.
The Dragons are in all sorts
It is a daunting task at the best of times heading north to Brisbane and playing the Broncos. The task ahead of the Dragons increases in difficulty with Haas returning and Walsh desperate to prove his worth for a spot in the Origin team. Combine this with the fact that they are likely to have most of their Origin stars take the field, and the Dragons price should be far larger. Improved on other parts this season, the Dragons will find this challenge too much for them. The decision then comes down to the beset value option for an investment. With the Broncos slowly returning to full strength, confidence should return to their attack; they are strong in setting a platform and have exciting outside backs that can play at high speeds. The Dragons struggle for points at the best of times and while the Broncos will have to work hard to establish a strong platform, the Dragons also lack key personnel which can score point for them too. Due to this, once they get momentum, they should be too hard to stop and ultimately run away with the contest.
Broncos -19.5
$1.90 (2 units)
Broncos vs Dragons Same Game Multi
Leg 1 = Total points under 54.5 – see above for justification.
Leg 2 = Mam to score – perhaps away from his best form recently, Mam loves playing against the Dragons, scoring in each of the past 4 matches against them. Those key players returning to the middle should only generate positive momentum for him to work off also, giving him extra room to flourish.
Leg 3 = Staggs to score – a man in form, Staggs will be full of confidence following a strong game on Wednesday. Like Mam, he too loves to face the Dragons. He has 7 tries in his past 5 games against them.
Broncos vs Dragons Betting Odds & Match Info
Date: Sunday 31st May
Location: Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane
Time: 2pm (AEST)
Odds: Broncos $1.12 vs Dragons $6.50
Line: -19.5
Points: 54.5
Where to Watch Broncos vs Dragons
Watch the Broncos vs Dragons match live and ad free on Kayo Sports.
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