A couple of thrillers and a couple of thrashings was the order of the day in Round 9. The Swans continue to top the league standings and that has helped Isaac Heeney poll incredibly well in the Brownlow so far in season 2024. The Bombers are the big movers after climbing into third place after defeating the Giants, while the Cats and Dees lost to certainly even things up across the top 8.
As usual, we’ll share our thoughts from every match of the AFL season, along with our Brownlow vote predictions and projections using our own system which has a proven profitable history over many years. For full details on how it works, see the section at the bottom of the page. We hope you'll use our free Brownlow tips to help you find value during the season and built a green book before the big night.
For links to every round of the season and full count, head to our 2024 Brownlow Medal Leaderboard page (coming soon).
2024 AFL Brownlow Round 9 Overview
Isaac Heeney continues to poll well and has a clear lead in the Brownlow Medal after Round 9. He might not have polled the three votes, but his consistency has been awesome with possible votes in nine games so far this season. Patrick Cripps and Nick Daicos are the shorteners in the Brownlow betting markets after both were impressive in Round 9 and a strong chance for the three votes.
Other contenders in the votes in Round 9 include Zac Butters, Christian Petracca, Marcus Bontempelli, Sam Walsh, Tom Green and Jordan Dawson.
Check out our 2024 Round 9 Brownlow votes below and our updated 2024 Brownlow leaderboard here!
2024 AFL Brownlow Votes - Round 9 Match Analysis
Carlton 12.5.77 def Melbourne 11.10.76
What an extraordinary start to Round 9! In slippery conditions, Carlton burst out of the blocks, keeping the Dees scoreless in the first quarter, but then had to desperately hold on at the end as the Dees stormed home to miss by a solitary point. Sam Walsh (34 disposals, 10 tackles, 1 goal) and Patrick Cripps (35 disposals, 6 clearances, 1 goal) were the stand out performers for the Blues and will have to be in the Brownlow votes. However a challenger for the three votes might be Christian Petracca who tried his best to carry the Dees with a career-best 5 goals from 21 disposals and 7 tackles. Alex Neal-Bullen (23 disposals, 12 tackles) and Jack Viney (21 disposals, 11 tackles) were also tireless for Melbourne.
Christian Petracca - 3
Sam Walsh - 1.5
Patrick Cripps - 1.5
Geelong 14.11.95 def by Port Adelaide 15.11.101
The Power burst out of the blocks to jump to a 49-point lead, and while the Cats tried their best to claw things back, the Power held on for a great win on the road. Ollie Wines (33 disposals, 7 marks, 7 tackles, 9 clearances, 1 goal) and Zak Butters (34 disposals, 9 marks, 7 clearances, 1 goal) were enormous, while Jason Horne-Francis (26 disposals, 7 clearances, 1 goal) wasn’t far behind them. Willie Rioli provided the spark up forward with 4 goals from 12 disposals and 7 tackles. Zach Guthrie (24 disposals, 7 marks, 1 goal) was best for the Cats.
Ollie Wines - 2.5
Zak Butters - 2.5
Jason Horne-Francis - 1
Fremantle 4.15.39 def by Sydney 13.9.87
A tough loss for Fremantle who were never in the contest against the Swans. Chad Warner (23 disposals, 6 marks, 2 goals), Isaac Heeney (28 disposals, 8 clearances) and Oli Florent (28 disposals, 13 marks, 1 goal) will contend for the Brownlow votes for the Swants. Caleb Serong (34 disposals) was the leading ball winner on the ground while Jeremy Sharp (28 disposals, 10 marks, 2 goals) also had a good game. Not the easiest game for Brownlow votes.
Chad Warner - 2
Isaac Heeney - 2
Oli Florent - 1
Caleb Serong - 1
Hawthorn 8.10.58 def St Kilda 7.11.53
A scrappy contest in Launceston saw the Hawks hold on for the win. Karl Amon (31 disposals, 7 marks) and Jai Newcombe (31 disposals, 7 tackles, 8 clearances) were the chief ball winners for the Hawks. Some of the Saints produced big numbers with Rowan Marshall (28 disposals, 35 hitouts, 11 tackles, 12 clearances) and Jack Steele (30 disposals, 13 tackles) big in the middle, while Callum Wilkie (21 disposals, 14 marks) repelled plenty of attacks but it wasn’t enough to get the win.
Karl Amon - 2
Rowan Marshall - 2
Jai Newcombe - 1
Callum Wilkie - 1
Essendon 12.10.82 def GWS Giants 9.8.62
The Bombers are into third place on the ladder after a great win over the Giants. Nic Martin continued his impressive season with 31 disposals and 10 marks, while Sam Durham (25 disposals), Mason Redman (26 disposals, 12 marks, 1 goal) and Kyle Langford (14 disposals, 4 goals) were also excellent. Tom Green was tireless for the Giants with 34 disposals and 7 clearances.
Nic Martin - 3
Sam Durham - 1.5
Tom Green - 1.5
Gold Coast 17.18.120 def North Melbourne 7.10.52
The Suns continued their love affair with Darwin as they ran away from the Roos. Sam Flanders (29 disposals, 6 marks), Touk Miller (29 disposals, 1 goal), Mac Andrew (22 disposals, 10 marks) and Sam Clohesy (23 disposals, 6 marks, 2 goals) were all very good for the Suns. Luke Davies-Uniake (35 disposals, 9 clearances, 1 goal) tried his heart out for the Roos.
Sam Flanders - 3
Touk Miller - 2
Mac Andrew - 1
Richmond 6.6.42 def by Western Bulldogs 19.19.133
The Dogs thrashed the Tigers and had winners all over the ground. Adam Treloar was prolific with 41 disposals, 7 marks and a goal, while Ed Richards (34 disposals, 10 tackles, 7 clearances) and Marcus Bontempelli (32 disposals, 7 tackles, 10 clearances, 2 goals) also won plenty of the Sherrin. Up forward, the goals were flowing as James Harmes (27 disposals, 11 marks, 4 goals), Aaron Naughton (20 disposals, 10 marks, 4 goals) and Sam Darcy (14 disposals, 7 marks, 4 goals) all smashed the scoreboard.
Adam Treloar - 2.5
Marcus Bontempelli - 2.5
Ed Richards - 0.5
James Harmes - 0.5
Collingwood 15.13.103 def West Coast 5.7.37
No worries for the Pies as they are now back in the top eight after easily accounting for the Eagles. Nick Daicos had his best game of the season with 36 disposals, 7 tackles, 7 clearances and 1 goal. Jack Crisp (32 disposals, 6 tackles, 1 goal), Josh Daicos (28 disposals, 11 marks, 1 goal) and Scott Pendlebury (28 disposals) also won plenty of ball. Liam Duggan (27 disposals, 7 marks) was best for the Eagles.
Nick Daicos - 3
Jack Crisp - 2
Josh Daicos - 0.5
Scott Pendlebury - 0.5
Adelaide 13.12.90 drew with Brisbane 13.12.90
A great end to the round with Adelaide and Brisbane playing out a thrilling draw. That can make Brownlow votes a little tricky but Adelaide skipper Jordan Dawson (27 disposals, 7 tackles) and Izak Rankine (24 disposals, 3 goals) might contend for the three. Hugh McLuggage (31 disposals, 1 goal) and Jarrod Berry (30 disposals, 6 clearances, 1 goal) were the leading ball winners on the ground, while Harris Andrews (17 disposals, 9 marks) and Jack Payne (16 disposals, 12 marks) were excellent with their interceptions across half-back.
Jordan Dawson - 2.5
Izak Rankine - 2.5
Harris Andrews - 0.5
Hugh McLuggage - 0.5
For those who need a refresher on how our Brownlow vote predictor system works, we assign 6 votes per game so that our total votes are the same as the official 3-2-1 system, however we break up those votes as we see fit across potentially more than three players. Some games are really tough to call which way the votes will go, so a better predictive model is to split performances and assign half points to each player where there is doubt. So for example if two players dominate and it's too hard to split their performance, they are given 2.5 votes each, with the remaining 1 vote given to another player(s). This will give us a predictive total closer to their true total, rather than guessing. We can then form a 'range' for each player (i.e. a min and max we think players can poll) with the thinking behind this that the variations from the half votes will even out over the long term.
If you intend on using our Brownlow votes to bet why not consider one of the best Australian sports betting sites which offer some great features for new customers. Also be sure to check out our Twitter page at @Before_You_Bet and continue returning to the site for our AFL tips.
