The Gold Coast were the surprise packet of Round 9 as they upset the fancied Fremantle team in the wet. Touk Miller led from the front in typical fashion and if he maintains this form then he may come into Brownlow calculations. Meanwhile the Brownlow favourites continue to come from the winning teams as Melbourne remain undefeated with Christian Petracca and Clayton Oliver running amok, Brisbane are right behind them with Lachie Neale looking as good as ever, and Carlton confirmed themselves as a top four contender in season 2022.
Once again we bring you our analysis and AFL Round 9 Brownlow vote predictions for every match of the round below!
And for the updated rolling leaderboard, head to our 2022 Brownlow Medal Leaderboard page.
AFL Brownlow Round 9 Overview
It was a rare week that our Brownlow Medal favourite Patrick Cripps didn't poll a single vote. That's opened the door slightly as Lachie Neale, Christian Petracca and Callum Mills are all likely to poll maximum votes and close the gap on our runaway Brownlow leader. Mills ($18) and Petracca ($9) still offer some decent value if you think they can continue that form, while Neale ($5) is right in contention alongside Cripps on our Brownlow leaderboard. Touk MIller ($40) and Bailey Smith ($40) might be the best roughies if you want to look a little wider.
AFL Round 9 Brownlow Votes
Collingwood 7.9.51 def by Western Bulldogs 14.15.99
The Bulldogs have found some bite once again as they accounted for the Pies on Friday night. The Dogs were dominant across the ground but Adam Treloar won the medal for best afield for his 35 disposals, 8 clearances and 3 goals. Bailey Smith (41 disposals, 6 clearances and 13 score involvements), Josh Dunkley (24 disposals, 9 marks, 3 goals), Jack Macrae (37 disposals, 9 clearances) and Tom Liberatore (31 disposals, 8 tackles) were all excellent.
Adam Treloar - 3
Bailey Smith - 2
Josh Dunkley - 1
Hawthorn 14.10.94 def by Richmond 17.15.117
The Tigers are starting to look a threat in season 2022 as they got past the Hawks. Shai Bolton was the catalyst with 20 disposals, 7 tackles and 2 goals, while Dion Prestia (28 disposals) drove the engine room. Up forward, Tom Lynch was again a man mountain with 16 disposals, 6 marks and 4 goals, while Dustin Martin was typically ruthless with 20 disposals and 3 goals. James Sicily tried hard for the Hawks with 24 disposals and 9 marks.
Shai Bolton - 2.5
Dion Prestia - 2.5
Tom Lynch - 0.5
Dustin Martin - 0.5
North Melbourne 6.10.46 def by Port Adelaide 17.13.115
Another belting for the Roos with the Power finding some momentum with their form. Brownlow medalist Ollie Wines was outstanding with 32 disposals, 9 clearances and 2 goals, while Connor Rozee (27 disposals, 7 clearances), Karl Amon (24 disposals) and Sam Powell-Pepper (23 disposals, 6 clearances, 1 goal) were busy. Luke Davies-Uniacke (25 disposals, 6 tackles, 7 clearances) tried hard for the Roos.
Ollie Wines - 3
Connor Rozee - 1.5
Sam Powell-Pepper - 1.5
St.Kilda 13.12.90 def Geelong 11.14.80
A huge third quarter saw the Saints storm back to defeat the Cats under the roof at Marvel Stadium. After an injury to skipper Jack Steele, it was Brad Crouch (36 disposals, 7 tackles, 5 clearances), Jade Gresham (30 disposals, 6 tackles, 8 clearances) and Jack Sinclair (31 disposals, 9 marks) who picked up the slack in the middle, well supported by the ruck skill of Paddy Ryder (10 disposals, 22 hitouts, 3 goals). Zach Tuohy (26 disposals, 6 marks, 2 goals) was best for the Cats.
Brad Crouch - 3
Jade Gresham - 2
Paddy Ryder - 1
Sydney 14.21.105 def Essendon 6.11.47
Sydney were dominant as Essendon’s season goes from bad to worse. Callum Mills was relentless with 29 disposals, 7 marks, 13 tackles and 7 clearances, while Chad Warner (32 disposals, 7 marks, 5 clearances) and Tom Papley (21 disposals, 10 marks, 2 goals) were next best in a pretty clear-cut top three on the ground. Luke Parker (23 disposals, 1 goal) and Errol Gulden (26 disposals, 1 goal) were next best. Darcy Parish (31 disposals) was best for the Dons.
Callum Mills - 3
Chad Warner - 2
Tom Papley - 1
Adelaide 9.12.66 def by Brisbane 16.6.102
The Lions were too strong for the Crows with Lachie Neale continuing his incredible 2022 season with 36 disposals, 7 marks, 7 clearances and 1 goal. Dayne Zorko (26 disposals, 2 goals) was next best while Oscar McInerney (40 hitouts, 11 disposals, 7 tackles, 1 goal) dominated the ruck contests. Zac Bailey kicked 3 goals from 19 disposals and Charlie Cameron had 4 goals from his 8 disposals up forward. Rory Laird (33 disposals, 10 tackles, 9 clearances) was best for the Crows.
Lachie Neale - 3
Dayne Zorko - 2
Oscar McInerney - 1
Gold Coast 10.9.69 def Fremantle 4.9.33
Another surprise win for the Suns as they out-scrambled the Dockers in the wet. Touk Miller led the way with 34 disposals, 8 tackles and 10 clearances alongside Noah Anderson (26 disposals, 1 goal), and they were well fed by Jarrod Witts (29 disposals, 10 disposals, 9 tackles, 1 goal) in the ruck. Mabior Chol bagged 4 goals which was significant in the conditions, from his 10 disposals. Caleb Serong (26 disposals, 14 tackles, 6 clearances) and Will Brodie (27 disposals, 8 tackles, 8 clearances) were best for Freo.
Touk Miller - 3
Jarrod Witts - 1.5
Mabior Chol - 1.5
GWS Giants 11.9.75 def by Carlton 15.15.105
Leon Cameron’s tenure at the Giants has ended in another disappointing loss with the Blues marching their way to a top 4 spot. It might be a tricky game for Brownlow votes with the Blues sharing the load. Sam Walsh (31 disposals, 2 goals) had moments of brilliance, while Sam Docherty (28 disposals, 10 marks, 1 goal), Jack Silvagni (20 disposals, 8 marks, 2 goals) and George Hewett (30 disposals, 8 clearances) were all effective. Brownlow Medal favourite Patrick Cripps (26 disposals, 7 clearances) was solid without being his usual dominant self. The best players on ground were arguably from the Giants with Josh Kelly (36 disposals, 7 tackles, 6 clearances, 1 goal) and Braydon Preuss (44 hitouts, 15 disposals, 6 marks) carrying more than their share of the load.
Sam Walsh - 2.5
Josh Kelly - 2.5
Jack Silvagni - 0.5
Braydon Preuss - 0.5
West Coast 5.8.38 def by Melbourne 16.16.112
It was top against bottom in one of the largest skill gaps between teams seen in recent years in the AFL, and Melbourne did exactly what was expected. Christian Petracca (28 disposals, 6 marks, 8 tackles, 2 goals) and Clayton Oliver (29 disposals, 7 tackles) were typically prolific while Jack Viney (27 disposals, 12 tackles, 7 clearances) was in the thick of everything. Tom McDonald (14 disposals, 4 goals) and Kysaiah Pickett (20 disposals, 3 goals) were busy up forward. Tim Kelly (32 disposals) and Connor West (29 disposals, 7 tackles) tried hard in the losing effort.
Christian Petracca - 3
Clayton Oliver - 1
Kysaiah Pickett - 1
Jack Viney - 1
For those who need a refresher on how our Brownlow vote predictor system works, we assign 6 votes per game so that our total votes are the same as the official 3-2-1 system, however we break up those votes as we see fit across potentially more than three players. Some games are really tough to call which way the votes will go, so a better predictive model is to split performances and assign half points to each player where there is doubt. So for example if two players dominate and it's too hard to split their performance, they are given 2.5 votes each, with the remaining 1 vote given to another player(s). This will give us a predictive total closer to their true total, rather than guessing. We can then form a 'range' for each player (i.e. a min and max we think players can poll) with the thinking behind this that the variations from the half votes will even out over the long term.
If you intend on using our Brownlow votes to bet why not consider one of the best Australian sports betting sites which offer some great features for new customers. Also be sure to check out our Twitter page at @Before_You_Bet and continue returning to the site for our AFL tips.
