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2022 AFL Brownlow Medal: Round 19 Votes

July 26th 2022, 3:11pm, By: admin

Marcus Bontempelli

Round 19 of the 2022 AFL season was a sensational one. We saw our first draw of the season with Rickmond blowing another 3/4 time lead against the Dockers. If that wasn't dramatic enough, Collingwood pulled off the great escape with Jamie Elliott delivering the perfect kick from the boundary line after the final siren to punch victory over the Bombers. We're now down to just ten teams left in contention for the 2022 AFL finals, and we hope the final weeks of the season are just as exciting as Round 19!

Once again we bring you our analysis and AFL Round 19 Brownlow vote predictions for every match of the round below!

And for the updated rolling leaderboard, head to our 2022 Brownlow Medal Leaderboard page.

AFL Brownlow Round 19 Overview

Round 19 was a good one for the cream to rise to the top with Lachie Neale, Andrew Brayshaw, Patrick Cripps and Sam Walsh all likely to be in the Brownlow votes for Round 19. We aslo saw stand out performances from Marcus Bontempelli, Jack Steele, Zach Merrett and Touk Miller as they reminded everyone of their powers! They might not be in contention in 2022 but are always a threat on any Brownlow leaderboard!

 

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AFL Round 19 Brownlow Votes

Richmond 7.10.52 drew with Fremantle 7.10.52

Round 19 kicked off in dramatic fashion with the Tigers again blowing a three-quarter time lead to be left with a draw against Freo in a result that might hurt both teams in September. Brownlow votes are often tricky in draws without a winning team. Hayden Young (31 disposals, 14 marks), Andrew Brayshaw (28 disposals, 7 tackles) and Will Brodie (26 disposals, 1 goal) were best for Freo, while Dion Prestia (30 disposals, 8 clearances) and Nick Vlastuin (23 disposals, 6 tackles) were best for Richmond.

Hayden Young - 3
Dion Prestia - 2
Andrew Brayshaw - 1

North Melbourne 11.9.75 def by Hawthorn 19.7.121

The Hawks blew away the Roos in the first quarter and that was the difference between the two sides. Jack Gunston defied the windy conditions with 5 goals from 17 disposals and 7 marks. Jai Newcombe (30 disposals, 9 clearances, 2 goals) was sensational, with Tom Mitchell (32 disposals, 7 marks, 1 goal) and Dylan Moore (25 disposals, 7 tackles) providing good support in the middle. Luke Davies-Uniacke (30 disposals, 6 clearances, 2 goals) was again the stand out for the Roos.

Jack Gunston - 2.5
Jai Newcombe - 2.5
Tom Mitchell - 1

Sydney 17.16.118 def Adelaide 12.13.85

The highest opening quarter score of the season (9.3) from the Swans was enough to put the game away against the Crows. The Swans had plenty of contributors with Nick Blakey (26 disposals, 7 marks), Tom Papley (22 disposals, 2 goals), Luke Parker (29 disposals, 12 tackles, 8 clearances), Chad Warner (25 disposals, 8 tackles, 1 goal) and Callum Mills (27 disposals, 6 tackles, 1 goal) all influential in their roles. However best on ground was arguably Rory Laird for the Crows as he ran amok to collect 38 disposals, 6 tackles, 11 clearances and 1 goal with 848 metres gained. Sam Berry (24 disposals, 14 tackles, 7 clearances and 2 goals) was also very good.

Rory Laird - 3
Nick Blakey - 2
Tom Papley - 1

Port Adelaide 14.10.94 def by Geelong 16.10.106

Port were right in the hunt in a do-or-die clash, but the class of the Cats shone through in the end. Tom Atkins (24 disposals, 7 tackles) won half of his disposals in the last quarter to carry the Cats over the line while Tom Hawkins (15 disposals, 6 marks, 4 goals) was a force up forward. Karl Amon (25 disposals, 13 marks, 1 goal), Aliir Aliir (23 disposals, 11 marks) and Charlie Dixon (23 disposals, 7 marks, 2 goals) were best for the Power. Tricky game for Brownlow votes.

Tom Atkins - 3
Tom Hawkins - 1
Karl Amon - 1
Charlie Dixon - 1

Brisbane 16.14.110 def Gold Coast 14.9.93

The Suns were in front at three-quarter time, but the Lions got motoring late to escape with a win in the Q-Clash. Lachie Neale (32 disposals, 9 clearances), Hugh McLuggage (25 disposals, 8 marks, 1 goal) and Charlie Cameron (13 disposals, 8 tackles, 3 goals) were best for the Lions, but the Marcus Ashcroft Medal went to Touk Miller for his 34 disposals, 7 tackles in the losing effort. Noah Anderson (31 disposals, 6 clearances) and Brandon Ellis (29 disposals, 2 goals) were also good for the Suns.

Touk Miller - 3
Lachie Neale - 1.5
Hugh McLuggage - 1.5

Western Bulldogs 17.8.110 def Melbourne 15.10.100

The Dogs extracted some Grand Final revenge while also giving a huge boost to their 2022 finals chances with an impressive win over the Dees. Marcus Bontempelli led from the front with 26 disposals, 9 tackles, 11 clearances and 1 goal. Jack Macrae (29 disposals, 1 goal), Adam Treloar (28 disposals, 6 marks, 1 goal) and Tim English (20 disposals, 19 hitouts, 10 marks, 2 goals) were also valuable, while Jamara Ugle-Hagan had a breakout match with 5 goals from 10 disposals and 6 marks. Clayton Oliver (28 disposals, 12 clearances) made a great return from injury, with Angus Brayshaw (29 disposals, 11 marks) and Max Gawn (25 disposals, 8 marks, 40 hitouts) also good contributors.

Marcus Bontempelli - 3
Jamara Ugle-Hagan - 2
Max Gawn - 1

Carlton 13.12.90 def GWS Giants 8.6.54

The Blues did enough to get an important win to keep their spot in the top eight. Sam Walsh was troubled by an ankle injury but that didn’t stop him collecting 31 disposals and 7 clearances to be one of the Blues best. Patrick Cripps (34 disposals, 6 marks, 1 goal) was very good, and likely earned his first Brownlow votes since Round 8! Adam Saad (25 disposals, 12 marks) were very good, while the twin towers of Charlie Curnow (18 disposals, 10 marks, 4 goals) and Harry McKay (18 disposals, 10 marks, 2 goals) were hard to stop. Tim Taranto (30 disposals, 8 marks, 6 clearances) was a stand out for the Giants.

Sam Walsh - 3
Patrick Cripps - 2
Adam Saad - 0.5
Charlie Curnow - 0.5

Collingwood 12.8.80 def Essendon 11.10.76

An unbelievable finish to the game saw Jamie Elliott kick a magnificent goal from the boundary line after the siren to see the Pies escape with another close victory and propel them into the top four! Taylor Adams (28 disposals, 7 clearances), Jack Crisp (23 disposals) and Josh Daicos (19 disposals, 1 goal) were amongst their best. However the Dons controlled the majority of the contest with Zach Merrett outstanding with 38 disposals and 9 clearances. Dylan Shiel (30 disposals) and Sam Draper (16 disposals, 6 marks, 16 hitouts, 1 goal) were also effective.

Zach Merrett - 3
Taylor Adams - 1.5
Dylan Shiel - 1.5

West Coast 10.2.62 def by St.Kilda 14.6.90

It was a must-win clash for the Saints and they got the job done in the West. Jack Steele (40 disposals, 10 marks, 8 tackles, 10 clearances) and Brad Crouch (31 disposals, 11 tackles, 9 clearances, 1 goal) were clearly the two dominant players on the ground. Seb Ross (27 disposals) and Dan Butler (14 disposals, 5 goals) were also very good. Tom Barrass (26 disposals, 8 marks) stood tall in defence for the Eagles but they couldn’t get the points.

Jack Steele - 3
Brad Crouch - 2
Dan Butler - 1

 

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For those who need a refresher on how our Brownlow vote predictor system works, we assign 6 votes per game so that our total votes are the same as the official 3-2-1 system, however we break up those votes as we see fit across potentially more than three players. Some games are really tough to call which way the votes will go, so a better predictive model is to split performances and assign half points to each player where there is doubt. So for example if two players dominate and it's too hard to split their performance, they are given 2.5 votes each, with the remaining 1 vote given to another player(s). This will give us a predictive total closer to their true total, rather than guessing. We can then form a 'range' for each player (i.e. a min and max we think players can poll) with the thinking behind this that the variations from the half votes will even out over the long term.

If you intend on using our Brownlow votes to bet why not consider one of the best Australian sports betting sites which offer some great features for new customers. Also be sure to check out our Twitter page at @Before_You_Bet and continue returning to the site for our AFL tips.

 

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