NRL Round 20: Broncos vs Cowboys Preview & Betting Tips

September 23rd 2020, 9:34pm, By: Scooby

NRL Broncos vs Cowboys Betting Tips

It's not exactly a Thursday night blockbuster to finish the season, but there will be some pride on the line in the Queensland derby as the Broncos take on the Cowboys. Check out the preview and NRL betting tips for the match from Scooby below!

Brisbane Broncos (16th) v North Queensland Cowboys (14th)

Suncorp Stadium, 7:50pm Thursday

For the final time this season, fans will have to sit through a Broncos match. You can almost hear the collective cheer from rugby league fans. This time, it's a Queensland derby and given the respective standings of each team, it is hardly anything to be excited about. The Broncos were never really in the contest last week against the Eels, with a 20-6 HT lead in favour of their opponents almost deciding the contest. While they were satisfactory with the ball completion rate (79%), they were never really given a chance to do anything with it (40% possession). They only managed 1,315m with the ball, just 459pcm and 3 linebreaks over 80 minutes. On the other side of the ball, they missed 28 tackles and made 12 total errors.

The Cowboys are ahead of the Broncos on the ladder but their recent execution is just as poor. They were comprehensively outclassed 32-12 by the Panthers at home. Having to wait 61 minutes for their first points of the match gives some indication of how one sided this contest was. The statistics back this up. The Cowboys completed at 70%, made 1,401m with the ball and had only 2 linebreaks, while also committing 14 errors and missing 33 tackles. The end of the year cannot come soon enough for both teams and with pride on the line, maybe we will see the best of what each team has to offer.

The Stats

Scoring points and stopping their opponents has been an issue all year for the Broncos with the worse points difference in the league. They score an average of 13.3ppg (16th) and concede an average of 31.2ppg (16th), leaving them with a -340 points difference. The Cowboys difference is far better (-168) but they still concede an average of 26.6ppg (15th), while scoring 17.7ppg (12th). Given the lack of points, it is no surprise to see the average metres made each week. The Broncos are in 16th with just 1,442.7m made per game (almost 100m per week less than 15th), while the Cowboys are slightly better with 1,613.9m per week (11th). When it comes to post contact metres, the Cowboys are in 8th with 579.8pcm each week, but majority of this would have to be put down to one individual (Jason Taumalolo). The Broncos are ranked 14th in this area, making just 524.8pcm each week, further reflecting how poor the attitude within this team is. The Broncos have an edge recently over the Cowboys, winning 5 out of the past 6 meetings dating back to Round 26, 2017. Of those matches played, the home side has just a 50% winning record, and this is further supported by the Broncos 7-point win on the road in Round 1. In those 6 matches, the average margin of victory sits at 8 points, with just one blowout victory to the Broncos (19 points in Round 2, 2019).

Verdict

The Broncos are a drifting outsider in this match and a host of changes to the backline will hardly confirm confidence in them. Much has been made about the retiring stars from both sides, as well as the Broncos sitting last on the competition ladder. The fact that it has never occurred is surely motivation enough for this team, let alone winning to reward their long suffering fans at home and sending out one of their longest serving players on a high note. Nevertheless, the Broncos have proven at numerous stages this season that motivation may not be their only issue. The Cowboys will have high hopes also. They have their own retiring star and would love nothing more to confirm the wooden spoon for their Queensland rival. This is an ugly game to get involved in to say the least and for that reason alone, the suggestion will be to invest only on the total points for the match. For what it’s worth, a slight recommendation goes towards the Cowboys because they’ve been able to score/stop more/less points than the Broncos, not only over the season but in recent weeks. As for the line, the offer from most bookmakers is 45.5 points but expect both teams to ‘free themselves’ and throw the ball around. Given that, go for a high scoring match at the very least.

TIPS

AFL Grand Final: Prop Betting Tips

Just two teams now remain in the hunt for the premiership, the Richmond Tigers and the Geelong Cats. Today, we’ll be looking at some of the prop betting markets around Grand Final on Saturday night! read more

AFL Grand Final: Richmond vs Geelong Preview & Betting Tips

It’s finally here! After one of the most interesting seasons in AFL history, the Grand Final is upon us and what a matchup it’s set to be. The Richmond Tigers will square off against the Geelong Cats from the Gabba this Saturday from 7.30pm. We have a full preview and betting tips for the clash HERE! read more

Horse Racing Tips: Wednesday, October 21st

There's a stack of quality horse racing taking place in Australia on Wednesday afternoon, with five meetings in total. Our racing expert Tim Geers has provided his best bets from around the country here! read more

ESports Betting Tips: Tuesday, October 20th

Another night, another great slate of esports action to look forward to. This Tuesday night, our gaming expert takes a look at some of the key matchups across the IEM New York 2020 CIS and the DreamHack Open Fall 2020! read more

ARTICLES

Best Australian Sports Betting Sites

The best Australian sports betting sites ensure safe and successful online betting for punters. Here's our list of the best betting options in Australia. read more


Performance Ratings & Pricing with Julian Vallance with Sportsbet

Julian Vallance from Sportsbet takes us through some of the key factors which he uses with pricing upcoming horse races such as performance ratings. Check out his video from Sportsbet here. read more


What is Over-Round and How do Sportsbooks Make Money?

Over-Round is an important concept for both punters and sportsbooks. It's how Australian sportsbooks make money! All punters should understand over-round, how to spot it, and how to find better value on the Betfair Exchange. read more


Betfair Commissions and Charges

Ever wondered why you can get such great odds at Betfair in comparison to other online bookmakers? We break down why that is the case and why Betfair isn't just for professional punters here read more


BLOGS

Palmerbet's 40 Days of Value is Here!

The weather’s getting warmer and the horse racing schedule is heating up – that means Spring is here. Palmerbet is doubling down on the best time of the year with ‘40 Days of Value’, spring-loaded with bigger odds, hot tips and other offers to make it a Spring Carnival season to remember for punters. read more


2020 AFL Brownlow Medal Votes Round 18

That's it! The 2020 AFL regular season has come to an end and Brisbane's Lachie Neale has surely done enough to secure the 2020 Brownlow Medal with another brilliant game in Round 18. Let's take a closer look at our Round 18 Brownlow Medal vote predictions! read more


2020 AFL Brownlow Medal Votes Round 17

There's just one more round to go in the 2020 AFL season. Round 17 has completed and the Brownlow votes are locked away. It was a quiet round for those at the top of our Brownlow leaderboard, but there were a couple of stand out performances this weekend. Let's take a closer look at each match with our Round 17 Brownlow vote predictions. read more


2020 Brownlow Medal Predictions & Leaderboard

2020 AFL Brownlow Medal predictions and vote tracker. Our AFL experts offer round-by-round Brownlow votes including a rolling Brownlow leaderboard and tracking for the 2020 AFL season. read more


PlayUp

BetDeluxe