There’s some more A-League action on this weekend with Match Day 16 set to kick off. There’s five fixtures set play out from Friday night through to Sunday night with all teams playing once. As usual, we’ve analysed all the games and have come up with our three best value plays of the round. Good luck to everyone following!
The first game of Round 16 that we’ve found value in features Wellington Phoenix taking on Melbourne City. City won the first game 2-0 at home against Phoenix back in November, but a lot has changed for both sides since then.
Despite going down in a hard fought loss to Sydney last time out, Wellington Phoenix have been one of the hottest teams in the league over the past six weeks, They’ve lost just one of their past 10 fixtures and have stormed into the top six on the ladder.
Melbourne City played their part in an absolute thriller against the Wanderers in their most recent match. They trailed 2-3 with just 10 minutes remaining, but managed to equalist in the 84th before going ahead 4-3 in the 94th thanks to Schenkeveld finding the back of the net. It was a much needed win for City, who remain in fourth spot on the ladder.
We fully expect Phoenix to bounce back at home and claim all three points here. City have been dealt a really tough schedule over the past two weeks, meaning we believe they’ll be a little bit flat on the road here. Phoenix had won their last three home games prior to the loss against Sydney, and we expect them to get back on the winners list here.
Second up on Saturday night we’ve got a blockbuster duel between Melbourne Victory and Sydney FC. These teams have only played once since last season’s Grand Final, with Melbourne Victory claiming the win by two goals to one.
Melbourne Victory played out a thrilling 3-3 draw at home to Phoenix last weekend in a game they were very lucky to get a point from. Prior to that they had a huge 5-0 win against Brisbane Roar and a 2-0 loss to Adelaide, which highlights their game-to-game inconsistency. Victory are placed nicely in third position and are four points behind Glory in first.
Sydney FC notched a telling win in Wellington mid-week, which took their winning streak to three. They’re looking like the team we’ve come to know over the past couple of seasons and have picked up 21 points from a possible 24 over their last eight games. Sydney have climbed to second on the ladder and are just two points behind Glory.
Melbourne Victory are always a tough team to beat at home, but we still lean towards Sydney FC here. They’re in terrific touch and face a short-handed Victory unit here. We’re taking them with the Draw No Bet market for a bit of insurance.
The last game of the round will be on Sunday night with Perth Glory hosting the Newcastle Jets. Glory got the better of the Jets on the road in their first meeting this season, winning 2-0 in a comprehensive performance.
Perth Glory continue to prove the doubter wrong week in and week out with their terrific performances. Although they didn’t pull of the win in their last outing, they still looked just as dangerous as they’ve been all season. They’re now undefeated in their last six games and have only lost once all season, which has seen them remain on the top of the table for some time now.
Newcastle Jets were finally able to get back on the winners list mid-week against the lowly Mariners. It wasn’t the most convincing of Victories, but it was a victory nonetheless. The win keeps them in the race for a finals spot, but they’ll need to continue to pull out results sooner rather than later to keep it that way.
We’re completely surprised that Perth Glory aren’t a helluva lot shorter at home here. They’re by far the better team of the two and have claimed maximum points from 10 of their 15 games this season. We fully expect that trend to continue.
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