Football’s most respected individual accolade is only a few days away as punters have been busy finalising their predictions. We know we have and that's why we are going to use our research to offer up our best 2015 Brownlow Medal betting tips - starting with our most team vote predictions.
Every year the Brownlow is a huge opportunity for smart bettors to make money. It’s one of the only betting markets around where all the information is right there after the fact – you have exactly the same information at your finger tips as all the sports betting sites.
Those that are regular readers of Before You Bet would have already been following our 2015 Brownlow Medal predicted leader board which features our votes for the top 20.
As you will see on that page, we have given 6 votes in every single game of the year, with votes in games that are tough to split seeing players given 2.5 votes and then a range of 2-3 votes for that game.
Up until now we have only given our readers access to our vote predictions for the top 20 players. But now you can find our vote predictions for well over 80 players as we give a rundown of the top selections for each and every team and then offer Brownlow most team betting tips!
Some teams, of course, have red-hot favourites paying as little as $1.01 (like Adelaide), but there are 'favourite out' markets where some money can be made! Read on and check out the top Brownlow vote predictions for every single team in 2015! You can use these votes to bet on the team's markets, make a handy teams multi or even look around for the best value groups, head-to-head markets and more.
Best Value Team's Multi: Murphy/Heppell/Vince/Selwood/Pendlebury - $5.31 at CrownBet
The Brownlow votes for Adelaide should be very simple - Dangerfield wins in a canter. However, there might be some value in the 'Dangerfield Out' markets. We have Scott Thompson winning this market, just ahead of big Sauce Jacobs. You can still get $1.40 on Thompson at CrownBet, whereas at Sportsbet Thompson is as low as $1.16.
Brisbane's 2015 Brownlow voting could be one of the more interesting teams. We actually have Stefan Martin winning, though have Dayne Beams with a bigger range of votes and a higher ceiling. Compared to many other sources, we have probably underpolled Beams in some star performances in losing games. We think there might be value in betting on both of these players as we don't really think Rockliff can steal the win.
There is still value to be found betting on Marc Murphy to win Carlton's most votes. I think some people have got overexcited about Patrick Cripps. Murphy is $1.25 at Sportsbet and I think this is close to his true odds considering his polling history etc. However, you can still get Murphy at CrownBet at much better odds.
All the value on Scott Pendlebury to win this market has been eaten up in recent weeks, but he might still be a fairly safe bet at $1.17. If Swan overpolls and Pendlebury underpolls there is a chance this could go pear shaped, however, so we will be sitting this one our and maybe just adding Pendlebury into our multis.
Tip: Include Pendlebury at $1.17+ in multis
Well done to those that got on Dyson Heppell at $2+ in recent weeks. We still think he is a solid bet at current odds, however, and is a great multi booster.
Nat Fyfe wins this one easily (with Mundy a smokey if everything goes wrong for Fyfe), but ultimately we have to look towards the 'favourite out' market. Mundy looks like the safe bet in this market, but we have Lachie Neale getting very close to Mundy. The unknown here is that Neale is not a proven poller.
If you jumped on early enough you could have got Joel Selwood at generous odds, but as it stands he is a littler short at $1.25. We do think it's a safe bet, however, and he historically polls well and should easily cover Motlop.
Tip: Joel Selwood - $1.25 at William Hill (+include in multis)
Who will score the most Brownlow votes at the Suns is one of the more interesting markets. We have Charlie Dixon just sneaking over the line, but there are three other players in with a chance. Of those players, we think Aaron Hall at big odds is the best value.
The Giants are no doubt the hardest team to predict who will get the most Brownlow votes. We have Callan Ward just pipping Treloar and Shiel. Really, any of these three could win it. Ward is down to $2 at Sportsbet, but you can still get $2.75 at William Hill, so we will be looking at that.
Sam Mitchell wins this easily and unfortuantely none of the sportsbooks seem brave enough to offer a 'favourites out' market yet. Keep an eye out if this market opens up and scoop all the value you can on Hodge.
Tip: Sam Mitchell's odds too short
The Brownlow votes for Melbourne in 2015 will be very interesting. Plenty of people like the look of Nathan Jones in this market, but we think Bernie Vince is the value - though his odds have come in a bit recently. Still happy to back him at $1.70 plus.
Big Goldy is too short to back to win the Kangaroos' most Brownlow votes market, but we can find some value in the 'favourite out' market at Sportsbet. We actually have the roughie Brent Harvey winning this one, close to Shaun Higgins. Both of these guys are at odds where we can put a tickle on both.
The Brownlow votes for Port Adelaide will be very interesting. We have the favourite Robbie Gray just pipping Travis Boak. However, Gray heavily underpolled last year. Will that happen again? If it does, there is value on Boak. We actually think there might be a bit of value on Boak in general here as we have him polling in the same range as Gray, but he can be found at $2.50 plus.
Another team that has multiple players in with a chance to top the Brownlow votes is Richmond. As usual Cotchin is the favourite, but we think there is value on Brett Deledio.
Another simple one that sees the favourite easily win. David Armitage is as short as $1.02 at some books, so maybe some of the bigger odds out there are still value. The $1.15 currently at William Hill is okay.
Despite having Hannebery win this market by 4 votes, we think Josh P. Kennedy is one of those players that is hard to know how they are going to poll. It's for that reason we will probably stay away from the $1.40 odds on Hannebery and look for at least $1.50+ which doesn't seem to be out there anymore.
Tip: No bet
Our votes suggest Andrew Gaff is a chance to top West Coast's votes, but considering he has no history in polling, we have to tread carefully. It's highly likely that Gaff doesn't poll quite what we have him on - much like Robbie Gray last year. We will be sitting out the Eagles for this reason. If you are daring and don't rate Priddis to poll well in back-to-back years, then maybe Gaff is value at the $6 mark.
Tip: No bet
The Brownlow looks wide open in the Western Bulldogs market. We have the proven poller in Matthew Boyd just ahead of three other chances. You can get fantastic odds on Boyd at Sportsbet, so we will be getting on him there, and having a saver on Wallis and Jackson Macrae.
Take note: Any of the tips in this article are simply the author’s opinion, so bet at your own risk and always gamble responsibly. Also be sure to check out the Before You Bet Twitter Page for all our thoughts in the lead up to bets! Happy punting!
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