UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs Holland Betting Tips

March 17th 2021, 5:08pm, By: Ben Talintyre

UFC Fight Night Betting Tips

The UFC once again heads to the Apex Centre in Las Vegas, Nevada for this week’s Fight Night card. Headlining the card is a barnburner between Derek Brunson and Kevin Holland and the co-main sees Gregor Gillespie return against City Kickboxing prodigy, Brad Riddell. Also on the card is a Heavyweight slugfest between Tai Tuivasa and Don’Tale Mayes. I often look to the undercard for value but this week there is very little of it, so instead I focus on the three main fights on the card which are previewed below.

UFC Fight Night Betting Tips

Derek Brunson vs Kevin Holland

Since joining the UFC from Strikeforce, Derek Brunson has been the ‘gatekeeper’ of the Middleweight division, turning away multiple prospects but falling to the elite of the division. His win over Edmen Shahbazyan proved he still has it and I am a little surprised he has come up such a large underdog here. Since losing to Jacare and Adesanya, Brunson has put together three straight wins, all against top prospects. Holland was the breakout fighter of 2020, winning five fights across the calendar year. His key to victory is to keep this on the feet and target Brunson’s body before going head hunting. In what I viewed as a ‘pick em’ fight, Brunson to win represents excellent value. I expect Brunson to control the centre of the Octagon and use his clinch game to damage Holland before repeatedly dragging the fight to the mat adding another feather in his cap.

Gregor Gillespie vs Brad Riddell

Following the first loss of his career, Gregor Gillespie returns after a 16-month hiatus against City Kickboxing representative Brad Riddell. Riddell is 3-0 in the Octagon and only has a singular loss in his professional MMA career. I cannot wait for this fight as I have a huge opinion of both fighters. Unfortunately for Riddell, however, he is in for a rough night against Gillespie who has the tools to hang with Riddell on the feet and finish him on the mat. If you look back to before the brutal knockout to Kevin Lee, Gregor Gillespie was a fight or two away from fighting for the belt. He submitted Vinc Pichel to hand him his only loss since 2012 and then knocked out Yancy Medeiros. Gillespie is a credentialed wrestler with some slick submission skills, and I expect him to make light work of the tough Riddell on the mat. Back him to secure a submission win and have a little bit on him to do it in the opening five.


Gillespie by submission

BET NOW AT Sportsbet

Value: R1 Submission ($6.50)

Tai Tuivasa vs Don’Tale Mayes

Mayes finally looked like a UFC fighter in his last fight against Roque Martinez, winning a unanimous decision. He is largely a boxer with a very upright stance, and he was able to add wrestling into his arsenal in his last fight. Tai Tuivasa really is a modern-day Mark Hunt. He has power in his hands but not much else and all he can do well is overhands and calf kicks. Calf kicks are what he will have to do to win this fight and it will likely cause Mayes all sorts of trouble. I originally wanted to tip Mayes due to the price discrepancy as Tuivasa although fun to watch has one of the most limited skillsets in MMA. Luckily for Tai, Don’Tale Mayes won’t be able to stand with him and his only route to victory is taking this fight to the ground. Considering he isn’t a wrestler that won’t be easy and will likely engage in a clinch to attempt to. When there, Tai will likely land and end the night then and there. Back Tuivasa to get the knockout win. 



2020-21 NBA Betting Tips: Sunday 11th April

The exciting NBA season continues on Sunday with another juicy seven-game slate. Catch our best spread and player prop bets for the value games right here! read more

2021 AFL Round 4: Melbourne vs Geelong Preview & Betting Tips

Round 4 of the 2021 AFL season continues on Sunday with three games on the cards. Here, we take a look at the second game of the day which sees Melbourne host Geelong at the MCG. Catch our match prediction and player props for this huge clash right here! read more

2021 AFL Round 4: Fremantle vs Hawthorn Preview & Betting Tips

We look to round out out the third week of the 2021 AFL season with a clash over in the West, with Fremantle hosting Hawthorn. Both sides will be desperate to get their second win of the season in what looks to be a closely fought match. read more

2021 AFL Round 4: North Melbourne vs Adelaide Preview & Betting Tips

After an embarrassing performance on Good Friday, North Melbourne get an opportunity to redeem themselves when they host Adelaide on Sunday afternoon at Marvel Stadium. We have a dedicated preview and betting tips for the clash here read more


Best Australian Sports Betting Sites

The best Australian sports betting sites ensure safe and successful online betting for punters. Here's our list of the best sports betting options in Australia. read more

Performance Ratings & Pricing with Julian Vallance with Sportsbet

Julian Vallance from Sportsbet takes us through some of the key factors which he uses with pricing upcoming horse races such as performance ratings. Check out his video from Sportsbet here. read more

What is Over-Round and How do Sportsbooks Make Money?

Over-Round is an important concept for both punters and sportsbooks. It's how Australian sportsbooks make money! All punters should understand over-round, how to spot it, and how to find better value on the Betfair Exchange. read more

Betfair Commissions and Charges

Ever wondered why you can get such great odds at Betfair in comparison to other online bookmakers? We break down why that is the case and why Betfair isn't just for professional punters here read more


2021 AFL Brownlow Medal Votes Round 3

The extended weekend of football over the Easter weekend brought some entertaining matches and some surprise results with Sydney and Melbourne both undefeated after three rounds of action. Check out who the star performers were with our Round 3 Brownlow vote predictions. read more

2021 AFL Brownlow Medal Votes Round 2

Round 2 of the 2021 AFL season produced a couple of thrilling finishes and the cream is rising to the top early on the Brownlow Medal leaderboard. Check out our analysis and Brownlow vote predictions for Round 2 of the season here. read more

2021 AFL Brownlow Medal Votes Round 1

The first round of the 2021 AFL season is in the books with some stellar performances to start the season which will be sure to attract the eye of the umpires. Who will get the Round 1 Brownlow votes? Every week we'll have analysis and Brownlow vote predictions for every match of the 2021 season. read more

2021 Brownlow Medal Leaderboard

Once again the BYB team are bringing you comprehensive coverage of the 2021 Brownlow Medal, with round-by-round analysis and Brownlow vote predictions for every match, as well as our 2021 Brownlow Medal Leaderboard tracker. Click here for access to our Brownlow Medal content for free! read more