The NRLW season concludes this weekend and while 5 teams are locked in to play Finals next week, the finishing positions are still yet to be determined. There is also a battle between 3 teams to capture 6th spot and extend their season by another week. This all makes for a terrific weekend of action spreading across 4 exciting days. Before You Bet is here to look at each match this weekend with the aim of finding you a winner or two to add to your viewing enjoyment.
Check out our preview and NRLW tips for Round 11 below, and if you're looking for a new Australian sportsbook to try, then why not check out TradieBET for a great range of markets and excellent odds!
2025 NRLW Round 11 Predictions & Tips
Sydney Roosters vs Cronulla Sharks
Polytec Stadium – Thursday 11th September – 7:45pm (EST)
The Roosters never got out of second gear in their 26-14 victory over the Raiders at home. They were always in control of the result, but a 68% completion rate impacted their momentum. Still, they managed to make 10.1m per carry, create 7 line breaks and missed just 25 tackles as their undefeated season continues. The Sharks were upset by the Bulldogs on the road 24-14, a significant blow to where they wish to finish at the end of this week. Always trailing throughout the match, they were hampered by a 42% share of possession and a 75% completion rate; despite averaging 9.4m per carry and creating 6 line breaks, they failed to turn this into points. The timing of such a performance so close to the Finals couldn’t be worse for them.
The Roosters signalled their intention to win the Minor Premiership and continue their undefeated season with the naming of a strong team for this match. Resisting the temptation to rest players, the Roosters want to win this match and make a statement and should do so if form is anything to go by. They are the superior attacking team and while the Sharks defence is usually strong, they will be tested against the might of the Roosters. A defensive improvement is expected from the visitors but in tricky conditions, the home team appears capable of limiting their opponents’ attacking opportunities. This means that they should cover the line and win this match comfortably.
Roosters -14.5
$1.90 (2 units)
Parramatta Eels vs Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs
CommBank Stadium – Friday 12th September – 5:40pm (EST)
The Eels made a statement in their 38-4 home victory over the Tigers last week. At their attacking best, they controlled possession (63%) and built pressure with an 87% completion rate. They dominated every statistic too, including making 8m per carry, creating 9 line breaks and missing just 18 tackles. The Bulldog scored an upset 24-14 victory at home over the Sharks. It was an impressive turnaround from their recent performances and one which reminded fans what they are capable of. They dictated the terms of the match with a 58% share of possession complimented by an 86% completion rate. This allowed them to make 9.7m per carry and 664 PCM’s. They will be disappointed they allowed more line breaks (3 vs 6) and missed more tackles (33), but it was a pleasing for them.
This is going to be a close match. With more to play for, the Eels should be motivated to perform well. Stranger things have happened though and the intensity which each team brings into this contest should make for a close match. Despite their points different (in the negative) being almost double of their opponents, the Bulldog should keep the score close and ensure the result is not decided until the end of this match.
Brisbane Broncos vs North Queensland Cowboys
Totally Workwear Stadium – Saturday 13th September – 12pm (EST)
It was business as usual for the Broncos as they travelled across to New Zealand and accounted for the Warriors 26-6 with ease. The result was set up in the first half as they just to an 18-0 lead. The margin of victory could’ve been larger had they not had a horrible 55% completion rate. They still managed to have 9.3m per carry, 10 line breaks and miss just 23 tackles in another strong performance. The Cowboys locked up 3rd position on the ladder and a home final next week with a commanding 42-14 road victory over the Dragons. The 7-try display saw a strong second half performance build on their 18-10 HT lead. They managed to build pressure via possession (52%) and a high completion rate (84%) which saw them make 10.8m per carry, 8 line breaks and miss just 20 tackles.
This is a blockbuster contest, and the Broncos are deserving of favouritism given they named a full-strength team and benefit from the return of Robinson who was rested last week. The Cowboys will be competitive but only to some extent. You only must look at their performance earlier this season against the Roosters; they perform well against teams lower than them on the ladder but appear to struggle with those above. That doesn’t make them incapable, it justifies the odds on offer and is further evidence that the home side should account for the line.
Broncos -13.5
$1.90 (2 units)
Gold Coast Titans vs Canberra Raiders
Cbus Super Stadium – Saturday 13th September – 1:45pm (EST)
The Titans Finals chances took a major blow as they were defeated 28-22 by the Knights on the road. In a tight game throughout, they just couldn’t close out the match. It wasn’t through lack of possession (52%), but an inferior completion rate (76%) did impact their play. This meant they trailed their opponent in key statistical areas; missing 22 tackles also hurt their cause. The Raiders were gallant in their 26-14 defeat by the Roosters on the road, pushing their opponents more than most thought was possible. They had a greater share of possession (51%) and a better completion rate (76%), allowing them to average 8.3m per carry; their inferiority was highlighted by only making 1 line break and missing 36 tackles. These key areas will always be exposed by the best teams in the competition.
With everything to play for, the Titans are well positioned to win this contest. The odds give credit to the Raiders for recent positive performances but that will only count for so much. After a revival, their season is about to end, and it may just force them back into old habits. Forget the fact that the Raiders have averaged more points than their opponents this season; this game is going to be won on defence. It is where the Titans excel against teams lower than them on the ladder and this should mean that they cover the line and win by more than a converted try at the end of 70 minutes.
Titans -7.5
$1.90 (1.5 units)
Wests Tigers vs New Zealand Warriors
Campbelltown Sports Ground – Sunday 14th September – 12pm (EST)
The less said about the Tigers 38-4 road defeat by the Eels last week, the better. They were poor and with just 37% possession and a 74% completion rate, it was always going to be tough. They only made 921m for the match and 1 line break, while conceding 9 line breaks and missing 37 tackles. The Warriors were outclassed by the Broncos 26-6 at home and with that loss, their Finals hopes were dashed. They only have themselves to blame with a 48% share of possession and a 67% completion rate. This meant they made significantly fewer metres, had just 2 line breaks and missed 46 tackles. This performance didn’t match the talent within this team.
This is an ugly game to part with your money in. Both teams have made significant changes to their team; both have been forced and unforced. The Tigers have plenty of upside, but their performance last week suggests they are a team that is looking towards the off-season. The Warriors must pick themselves back up after a frustrating performance last week and while they appear to be more capable than the Tigers on their day, they too will have their motivation questioned. If you need to have a bet on this game then take either team to win by fewer than 2 converted tries but otherwise, it is a game best avoided altogether.
Either team by 12 points or less
$1.57 (1 unit)
Newcastle Knights vs St George-Illawarra Dragons
McDonald Jones Stadium – Sunday 14th September – 1:45pm (EST)
The Knights sealed a spot in the Finals with a strong 28-22 home victory over the Titans. They were made to work for their victory with just a 48% share of possession but overcame this with a 78% completion rate, 8.1m per carry and 5 line breaks. Their defence was also strong in setting up victory, missing just 22 tackles. The Dragons were outclassed 42-14 at home by the Cowboys, officially ending their Finals aspirations. They were always going to struggle with just a 48% share of possession and an inferior completion rate (75%) halting their momentum. This nullified their 10.3m per carry and 5 line breaks, as did the fact that they missed 31 tackles and conceded 8 line breaks. Allowing opportunities like that to your opponents will never end well.
As reflected in the odds, this game is the Knights to lose. Both teams have made changes ahead of this match but the ones the Knights have made are done so with an eye to future weeks. That doesn’t mean they are weaker; rather, they are looking after their players. Their depth is strong, and it allows an opportunity for other players to prove their value in the weeks ahead. The fact that they have scored significantly more points and conceded far less this seasons indicates that this game should see a comfortable win to the home side.
Knights 13+
$1.70 (2 units)
