Welcome to our horse racing preview and betting tips for racing at Mornington, Kensington and Ballina on Monday, June 10th.
Luke Krahe is back with his preview, with five selections throughout the course of the day! Check them out below.
Plenty of unknowns but happy to stick with (5) Sizzlefly on what she showed at her brilliant debut win. There will no doubt be some resistance as she is fresh and onto a heavy track resuming, but the dominance with what she won by and had up her sleeve has to be respected. She was sent out a long odds-on favourite, sat behind the speed before angling clear and bolting in buy more than 8 lengths with another 8 lengths to third! A little concerning that none of the other three horses in the race are yet to crack a win, but wow she was impressive. Hopefully from the middle draw she will find the best part of the track and just be too quick. (6) Archery Butts from the Godolphin yard may cause the most resistance, he was well in the market in debut at Flemington but was poor and featured in the steward’s report.
Maiden 2000m races can often be tough to assess, the line I like to take is ones that have more upside rather than the ones that have been tried at the trip previously. (10) Jungle Jane has never been past the mile, she has placed at both runs this time in and has versatility. She settled further back last time after not jumping well, came very wide into the straight at Cranbourne and ran on hard to narrowly miss. She was up on the speed over 7 furlongs when resuming and off the inside gate, presuming that she jumps away with them, I have her mapping on the speed and trying to lead all the way. (1) Censored was heavily backed when having his second career start last time, he was left a little flat-footed when they quickened but was good through the line. He also has some upside at just his third start and the step up in trip looks ideal. Have him as a chop-out result.
There are a few that have trialed well here on debut but happy to say that it is more often than not a rarity to have a star baby debuting at this time of year? (1) Eleven Eleven has been to the races four times and looks to have come back well this prep. He had excuses at the Gold Coast resuming when appearing in the steward’s report in a hot form race, went south to Nowra and was truck-loaded in the betting to narrowly miss. He did have every chance after a cheap run but there was a good margin to third and he maps well again. He should be up on the speed making his own luck, hopefully the spot outside the leader will be his and Clipperton can control the speed from there. Watch for any serious money for those on debut, in particular (5) Leviathan and (6) Snazz ‘N’ Charm. (13) Lucicello will have supporters after tackling a much harder race on debut, but happy to take him on with the a few negatives, most notably the jockey change and the horror draw.
(4) Genoa won his maiden here when fourth-up at this track at his first prep as he is today. He resumed on a rain affected track here in April and stuck on well on the speed, was poor at Murwillumbah following hat but was found to have been galloped on mid-race. He then went to a harder race at the Gold Coast, led before handing-up and was only fair along the inside late, but it was clearly not the place to be. He will roll forward from the wide gate and be on the speed, handles the conditions and goes well here at the track. He will be hard to run past in the straight. (12) Gwendoline Rose is an interesting runner that may improve, she was a winner in NZ before coming Australia, did nothing at her Oz debut but no doubt will have plenty of improvement in her.
(6) Foxy Walk was poor on paper last start but she is better than that and will appreciate coming back to her home track where she has won three races. She was heavily backed down the road at Lismore two starts back against the girls and led all the way, that was in similar conditions to what we expect the track to be like today. She gets in very well with the claim and carries only 53.5 kg’s, from the good draw she will jump away and try to land on the bunny. Leaders can be very hard to run down around here, especially with any cheap sectionals early. Plenty of chances in an open race but she should be a good each-way bet to nothing.
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