Elisa Invitational 2
HAVU lost all of their last four fixtures against the likes of AGO, AGF, forZe and Gambit. The latter two losses happened during the FLASHPOINT Season 2 qualifiers, where HAVU put together only two wins against Heretics and Nexus, thus failed to qualify for the main event.
Adding salt to the wound HAVU managed a disappointing 16th-18th place finish at the LOOT.BET Season 8, where they claimed only one W against Galaxy Racer, but failed to deliver against some much weaker teams in Wisla Krakow, AGF and AGO. HAVU still hold a 63% win rate across the past three months but are not playing nearly as good as they did back during the inaugural season of FLASHPOINT.
Dignitas made a few roster changes not too long ago when they benched Richard "Xizt" Landström and another veteran player Christopher "GeT_RiGhT" Alesund in favour of two younger talents in Haris "H4RR3" Hadžić from Nordavind and Ludvig "HEAP" Alonso, who was last seen playing for an amateur team known as Begrip Gaming. Furthermore, Halvor "vENdetta" Gulestøl got promoted to head coach while Robin "Fifflaren" Johansson transitioned to a managerial role within the organization. While I am a bit uncertain about the changes, it will surely benefit the team as a whole, because I don’t see how this roster can do any worse to the previous one.
There is no real reason to have Dignitas priced at such high odds. Both teams have made a few roster changes and if we consider that HAVU’s form is as bad as it can get, I can’t make myself believe HAVU will have an easy time here. With young talent in their roster, I expect a strong start from Dignitas who should have a fairly easy time agianst the overrated HAVU.Back Dignitas to win!
CDA-FDC Professional Championship
EHOME and Invictus Gaming will meet in the first round of CDA-FDC Professional Championship playoffs. It will mark their 13th meeting of the year and the first clash since late September when EHOME swept IG 2-0 during the OGA Dota PIT S3: CN.
Despite their renown as one of the strongest Asian Dota2 teams, IG’s performances as of late hardly reflect that. They're 2-8 in last 10 and 1-3 since the start of the month, which includes two losses to Team Aster (1-2 and 0-2) and one loss to PSG.LGD (0-2).
Unlike IG, EHOME are on the rise. Although they have won only five games in last 10, EHOME have defeated MagMa and Royal Never Give Up twice, as well as forced ViCi Gaming to three maps (1-2) just two weeks ago.
Out of 13 meetings between EHOME and IG, EHOME won seven series, which includes all of the last four clashes, dating back to the start of July. The only two games in which IG came close to defeating EHOME happened four months ago when IG lost 1-2 and 1-3. The remaining two games ended in clean sweeps for EHOME.
EHOME are the clear favourite in my book and even though I believe IG can potentially find their form down the line, they have not shown anything for me to trust them with my money today. Bet on EHOME to sweep IG for the third consecutive time!
DOTA Summit Online 13: Americas
Beastcoast have had an up and down run through the first stages of the competition and are now entering the seventh day of DOTA Summit group stage with a 2-3-0 record. They have defeated catJAMMERS and picked up a forfeit win against Plasma1337x, but only managed stalemates against Thunder Predator, Spirits Esports and Infamous.
Team Zero, meanwhile, lost to catJAMMERS, drew with 4Zoomers and defeated Spirits Esports. With their 1-1-1 record, Team Zero showcased a similar level of quality as beastcoast, however, I must value beastcoast's win over catJAMMERS higher than what Zero have produced.
Still, we have to note that Team Zero is assembled from some of the biggest names in the NA Dota2 scene, including Eric "Ryoya" Dong, Jacky "EternaLEnVy" Mao, Braxton "Brax" Paulson, Jingjun "Sneyking" Wu and David "Moo" Hull. Even though Team Zero might lack some synergy, it's very hard to bet against their individual quality, which should be enough to force a stalemate.
DOTA Summit Online 13: Southeast Asia
496 Gaming did not disappoint with what they have shown in the opening rounds of DOTA Summit Online 13: Southeast Asia, although I did expect to see a bit stronger showings in their first two games where 496 lost to TNC Predator and Motivate.Trust Gaming. Still, they deserve some praise for their stalemates against BOOM Esports and Adroit, as well as a convincing win against Army.
Neon Esports produced similar results so far this competition, although they're still without a win. In five games played, Neon lost to Among Us and Cignal Ultra but grabbed stalemates against BOOM Esports, Motivate.Trust Gaming and TNC.
Form-wise, there is not a lot to set these two teams apart, so I find it somewhat confusing to see 496 priced at such high odds. While it's true they are 5-1-7 in head-to-head matches with Neon, 496 won two (2-1-1) of their last four H2H meetings.
Since the teams seem equally matched, this match is likely to end in a draw. There is, however, definitely value in placing a smaller wager on 496 Gaming to upset Neon and grab a W.
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