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ESports Betting Tips: Thursday, February 4th

February 4th 2021, 1:13pm, By: Michael Lee

Esports Betting Tips

Big night of esports coming up this Thursday night and into Friday morning with a variety of different events on the card! Today we take a look at some of the key matchups from the LCK 2021 Spring as well as the BLAST Premier: Spring Groups 2021.

 

ESports Betting Tips: Thursday, February 4th

Fredit BRION vs KT Rolster

LCK 2021 Spring

KT Rolster left many League of Legends Champions Korea (LCK) fans baffled last Sunday when they dropped the ball against Nongshin RedForce and lost 0-2. KT played out game one very poorly and while game two was somewhat closer, KT kept getting caught out of the position and completely blundered few crucial teamfights, which eventually led to their doom.

At the end of the day, Nongshin RedForce performed better than KT, made fewer mistakes, and had a much cleaner macro play. A deserved win for the underdogs.

Fredit BRION played out their last game of the split last Saturday when they lost (1-2) against DRX. Like KT Rolster, Fredit BRION made a couple too many mistakes and handed DRX a free win, however, we must give Lee "Chieftain" Jae-yub some praise for his debut performance, so it’s not like Fredit BRION were robbed off a win.

Despite their loss, Fredit BRION did not look too bad. They held an early lead in all three games, but threw it all away in the mid-late game, so there are at least some positives to take away from their loss.

I was not too convinced by KT Rolster and what they have shown over the weekend and even though they field better individual talent, their loss against Nongshin RedForce was not the first time this squad has underperformed. KT Rolster should win, but unless they improve their decision making, they will drop at least one map.


Over 2.5 Maps

$2.15

Invictus Gaming vs Oh My God

LPL 2021 Spring

Invictus Gaming have split their six games (3-3) which is not terrible, but it's their lack of consistency that makes me very worried when I look at placing a bet on or against them. This team fields some of the best player in the region, but that seems to show only every other game.

In their last three outings, IG stomped eStar (2-0) and Rogue Warriors (2-0), but suffered a 0-2 loss against FunPlue Phoenix on Saturday. The main thing to take away from IG's win over FPX is that IG could have probably won had they not fed Olaf in both games. FPX were also not very efficient when it came to closing out the game, so it's not like IG didn't have a chance to turn things around.

IG seem to have this thing where they play into every team they face and while we can be certain they know how to play optimally, they seem like they don't care and instead look for opportunities to flex their mechanical ability and outplay their adversaries. That, however, will work only when faced with significantly weaker teams.

On the topic of weaker teams, Oh My God are arguably one of the worst teams in the league with a 0-5 record and a 2-10 map differential after three weeks of play. That said, OMG are not nearly as bad as their record would suggest, since they have the right idea of how to outsmart their opponents, but they rarely manage to execute it.

For this match we have to ask ourselves whether OMG can do some damage to IG and while I could imagine OMG winning one map, it will all come down to which version of IG we will see on Thursday. Instead of risking our money on a winner, a bet on over 27.5 kills is a far safer bet.

IG average 15.5 kills and 13.7 deaths per game, while OMG average six kills and 16 deaths per game. OMG have, however, managed 18 kills against Royal Never Give Up, which suggests they are capable of much more than only six kills.


Over 27.5 Kills

$1.83

Astralis vs Ninjas in Pyjamas

BLAST Premier: Spring Groups 2021

Astralis enter the BLAST Premier: Spring Groups 2021 off a disappointing 0-2 loss against Natus Vincere in the grand finals of BLAST Premier: Global Final 2020, which should serve as an additional motivation for the Danes to step up and secure their first tournament title of the year. On Thursday, they will face the young Ninjas in Pyjamas squad, who they last met with in September 2020 and won 2-0 with 16-6 on Dust2 and 16-7 on Train.

NiP haven't done well against Astralis five months ago, and it's highly unlikely they will manage to turn things around here. Since their last meeting, NiP have made quite a few roster changes, which includes the benching of Simon "twist" Eliasson in favour of a rookie Erik "⁠ztr⁠" Gustafsson just a couple of days ago.

Even with twist, I wouldn't trust NiP to cause any issues to Astralis, and I have even less hope the Swedes can make something happen with their current roster. At the end of the day, NiP are set to face the current no.1 team in the world that has either won or reached the finals in last four tournaments they have attended. Bet on Astralis to win 2-0!


Astralis -1.5 Maps

$1.55

 

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