Michael Lee is back with Counter-Strike: Global Offensive betting previews for Monday, June 20. Today he looks at two REPUBLEAGUE Season 3 matches, including forZe vs MOUZ NXT and Imperial vs ENTERPRISE esports, and an ESEA Advanced Season 41 Europe fixture between Anonymo Esports vs Into the Breach.
REPUBLEAGUE Season 3
ForZe and MOUZ NXT will meet on Monday, June 20, in the first round of Group B at REPUBLEAGUE Season 3. ForZe enter the tournament following a third-place finish in the ESL Challenger at DreamHack Valencia European qualifiers, where they lost against MOUZ NXT's main roster 0-2.
Before their failed run through the qualifiers, forZe also attended PGL Major Antwerp 2022, where they placed 17th-19th with a 2-3 record in the Challenger Stage. They won against Renegades and Bad News Eagles but lost their final three bouts against Vitality (1-2), Outsiders (1-2) and Imperial (0-2).
Despite failing to make it to the next stage, forZe played well and considering they came just one map short of reaching top-16th, they can be satisfied with what they've achieved.
MOUZ NXT are an academy team, but a very good academy team competing at a reasonably high level for their standards. In May, they dominated the REPUBLEAGUE Season 3: Closed Qualifier; however, that remains their only event victory of 2022, besides the WePlay Academy League Season 3.
On a more positive note, MOUZ NXT have recently qualified for the WePlay Academy League Season 4 playoffs with a 10-2 record, so they're in good form.
ForZe are a stronger team, but this is one of the games where I can see MOUZ NXT causing an upset. Even though forZe can be good, they're not the most consistent team. This is a 50/50 match, so we'll take MOUZ NXT at 2.25.
REPUBLEAGUE Season 3
Imperial are priced as 1.28 favourites against ENTERPRISE esports for their REPUBLEAGUE Season 3 match. While not one of the world's top teams, Imperial had a solid run this year, most notably placing top-11th at the Major.
Since then, Imperial did not produce anything worth talking about, with a top-four finish at ESL Challenger at DreamHack Valencia 2022: North American Open Qualifier #2, 15th-16th at IEM Dallas, and a top-six finish at Pinnacle Cup Championship.
Their past achievements don't look good, but Imperial had to face formidable opponents. They lost against Spirit, Bad News Eagles, BIG, Copenhagen Flames, and G2 at the Major, but they still picked up wins against Liquid, IHC, forZe, Bad News Eagles (in a rematch) and Cloud9.
Since then, Imperial have produced some shaky results, but again, most of their losses came against some of the world's top CS:GO teams.
ENTERPRISE esports are in good form, having won all four of their last four matches and even picked up two tournament titles, including a gold medal from Ace X Prague Open 2022 and a few top-3 finishes earlier this year. However, they have not achieved anything outside of to C-Tier tournaments.
Imperial are not the most consistent team, and they have shown before that they can lose against weaker opponents. But the talent gap in this match is way too big for me to consider ENTERPRISE a live underdog. Take Imperial to win 2-0!
ESEA Season 41: Advanced – Europe
Anonymo Esports are favourites for this match which has to do with their success during the regular season. The Polish CS:GO squad ended the event's first stage with a 12-2 record and a +69 map differential, which is impressive, but I wouldn't overreact to those figures.
The ESEA games are just a mess in general. While there is usually a clear line between the top teams and the complete outsiders, all games are BO1, so it's very easy for upsets to occur, especially if the favourites need to compete in an important match later the same day.
Into the Breach and Anonymo have never met before, so we don't have any past results to work with here. However, we know that ITB and Anonymo are in good form, having won five and six of their last seven matches.
I wouldn't say that one team fields a stronger roster than the other, but there is no denying that Into the Breach's success heavily relies on Owen "smooya" Butterfield performing well. He has been averaging a 1.28 rating since March and is the clear best player on the team, ahead of Thomas "Thomas" Utting (1.16).
Anonymo Esports don't have any standout players, but four of five members average a positive rating. This could be a very close match that can easily go into three maps, but I like the over rounds (27.5) better.
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