Welcome to our horse racing preview and betting tips for racing at Canterbury on Wednesday, June 24th.
The track is rated a Heavy 9 and the rail is out 3m for the six-race card.
Find Tim Geers' preview and betting tips below!
Canterbury Racing Tips: Wednesday, June 24th
Best Bet: Race 3 - (3) Global Queen
Best Value: Race 5 - (7) Sweeping Statement / (4) Bella Rosa
Geez this is a bad race. (6) Zounate probably finds the lead here and the rail more importantly. He’s placed his past two starts at Hawkesbury and the horse who beat him last start then came out and won again yesterday (before being relegated on protest). He finds a terrible race here and gets his chance on a track that plays to leaders and has had a bad rail bias in recent weeks. (1) Brutality probably ends up three back the fence but he comes out of a midweek race here last start at least brings some metro form. His first up run at Newcastle was good and the key is once again the fact he maps to find the fence. Very happy to take on (8) Mooy who in my opinion has absolutely no hope and is rated a $4.40 chance by the market.
Going to give (3) Oregon one more chance today. He was good on debut on heavy ground and he gets that surface once again today. He maps to land on the rail and hopefully Kerrin McEvoy gives him a good steer and doesn’t go straight up backsides in the straight. (5) Castlecomer ran in some strong races in his first few starts and I was actually very keen on him on debut. He resumes in an easier race today as a gelding with the tongue tie on. JMac goes straight on.
Value: (5) Castlecomer $6.50
The map is ordinary but pretty keen on (3) Global Queen who makes her debut for Team Snowden and James McDonald is a notable booking. JMac jumps off two Waller horses in this race in order to keep the ride on the Snowden filly, who returned from a short break and trialled very stylishly on the synthetic track at Randwick. Barrier 10 hurts but hopefully she is just good enough to overcome that. (9) Sheer Treasure was given a very quiet trial and has drawn barrier 1 here. Would include at $10 and with the rail draw, I’d expect her to shorten.
Value: (9) Sheer Treasure $8.50
(9) Savigne is proving a bit of a non-winner but he gets his chance here from barrier 1, which gives him the rail in run advantage. JMac jumps on replacing Sam Clipperton and this is a far easier race than the one he contested first up behind Threeood. He’s gone well in both starts at this track in the past.
(7) Sweeping Statement maps poorly here but I’m going to be in her corner nonetheless. Her first up win was outstanding, settling back towards last before coming widest in the straight and swooping home over the top. It’s rare to see them do that, especially over 1000m on the Kenso. She’ll start from barrier 11 of 11 which makes things very tough, especially the way Canterbury has been playing of late, but at $7.00 I think she’s still worth a bet. (4) Bella Rosa is in a similar boat but JMac jumps off a last-start winner to take the ride for the Maher/Eustace stable. Respecting her third up from a spell and will have something on at $8.50.
Also backing: (4) Bella Rosa $8.50
(7) Sweeping Statement
$7.00
Absolutely awful race to finish off with. (8) Monasterio hopefully gets across to lead and finds the rail here. If he does that, he should be in this for a long way. He was beaten a length over track and distance last start in similar conditions. (3) Lord Gododdin has had my money his last couple of starts but after last time I vowed never to back him again. Yet here he is with barrier 1 in a terrible race and looks to get his chance again. Would be looking to oppose (12) Clever Man.
