Ashes 2015 England vs Australia: 3rd Test Preview

July 29th 2015, 12:18am, By: Mr.Cricket

Ashes 2015 England vs Australia: 3rd Test Preview

The Aussies bounced back at Lord’s with a comprehensive victory in the 2nd Test match to level the 2015 Ashes at 1-1. Winning the toss was crucial and the Aussies set the tone by dominating with the bat with Chris Rogers and Steve Smith making the big scores that Australia had been lacking. They then followed up with the ball, showing their customary venom on a rather lifeless pitch to take the twenty wickets required to grab the win.

England have been forced to make changes to try and respond for the 3rd Test at Edgbaston starting Wednesday. Gary Ballance has been dropped from number three with Ian Bell moving into that important role. Joe Root will move up to four, while Jonny Bairstow will come in at number five. Bairstow has been averaging 108.88 this summer in the County Championship, so was an obvious choice, but I don’t think he will install any fear in the Aussies.

There are also reports that Mark Wood is struggling to overcome an injury so Steven Finn may come into calculations. England coach Trevor Bayliss hinted that he would like to play two spinners at some point this series, but the Edgbaston pitch preparation was offering a thick, lush grass cover, so it looks one suited to the quicks rather than spin.

That will again suit the Australian pace contingent with Mitchell Johnson back to his best in the 2nd Test. Josh Hazelwood has been a rock and Mitch Starc has been able to overcome his own injury niggles to be a genuine wicket-taking threat.

Mitch Marsh came in for the 2nd Test and made the key breakthroughs when required which is exactly what was missing from Shane Watson’s bowling, so Marsh now looks set to play the rest of the series.

Peter Neville also looks set to retain his place after seven catches and an impressive 45 runs on debut. It’s a tough way for Brad Haddin to go out, if indeed he has played his last Test, but it seems the right decision to move on.

Chris Rogers was the only batsman in doubt after a dizzy spell caused him to retire in the 2nd innings. The word is that it’s unrelated to his previous concussion scares and he should be right to play in the 3rd Test. Rogers is proving to be a vital cog in Australia’s plans to win the Ashes, and also in our plans to make a profit this series! Rogers has already passed his line of 300.5 runs for the series to lock in a nice win for us after just two Tests. He’s also in great shape for leading run scorer, only narrowly trailing Steve Smith.

Verdict: It’s been a series full of unexpected results, but it’s hard to ignore how strong Australia were in the 2nd Test. The toss has been important to win so far, but if Edgbaston is a little bit green then maybe bowling first might be an option. Weather may play a role on the first day, but there should be enough clear skies on the remaining days to achieve a result.

Australia look the goods but there’s little value at $1.85 at William Hill Australia.

Palmerbet Ashes Promo

Ashes Betting

Series Betting Total: +5.98 units

The 2nd Test had some mixed results for us. We missed out on our leading run scorer bets and split both our leading wicket taker bets. Josh Hazelwood looked set to win before Mitchell Johnson picked up a cheap last wicket to tie it up and reduce our profit.

Click here for the rest of our Futures Bets on the 2015 Ashes series

We’ll take advantage of a good promotion at Sportsbet to make a play on the leading run scorer markets for both England and Australia.

Sportsbet 3rd Test promotion

Steve Smith and Dave Warner are both quite short, and while Michael Clarke offers some value, the skipper hasn’t been in the best of form. There’s no real reason to jump off Chris Rogers right now. If he’s fit, then he’s shown the consistency to be a great bet with money back if he scores 50 or more.

Chris Rogers Top Australian Run Scorer 1st Inns - $5.00 at Sportsbet (2 units)

By process of elimination, there’s only two batsmen for England that I would put my money on. Joe Root is clearly England’s best batsman and Ben Stokes is their most dangerous. Root is very short, while Stokes offers great value.

Ben Stokes Top England Run Scorer 1st Inns - $8.00 at Sportsbet (1 unit)

And we’ll continue to back Josh Hazelwood with the ball. He’s the leading wicket taker in the series so far without yet taking a bag. With Mitchell Johnson firing, his price really has shortened in this market, so we’re getting great value on Hazelwood.

Josh Hazelwood Most Wickets Australia 1st Inns - $4.75 at William Hill (3 units)

Crownbet Ashes promo

TopBetta Tournament

TopBetta  are running some fantastic tournaments for the Ashes series that are worth checking out. If you’ve never tried a sports betting tournament before, TopBetta have an Ashes freeroll tournament with $100 in prizes to be won. While for those a little more game there’s a $55 buy-in tournament with a minimum $500 guaranteed prize pool. We hope to see you there!

TopBetta Ashes Tournament

_ _ _ 

Make sure to read full terms and conditions of any betting promotion before placing any bets. 

Take note: Any of the tips in this article are simply the author’s opinion, so bet at your own risk and always gamble responsibly.  Also be sure to check out the Before You Bet Twitter Page for all our thoughts in the lead up to bets! Happy punting!


2019 Men's French Open Preview & Betting Tips

All the best men's tennis players in the world are flocking to Paris to take part in the French Open, which starts on Sunday night (AEST)! Check out our preview and best bet for the tournament here! read more

Australian Betting Sign Up Bonuses Ending Soon!

The end of an era in Australian online sports betting is fast approaching! As of the 26th of May, Australian bookmakers will no longer be allowed to offer sign up bonuses to new customers! Take advantage of the offers that are still available here. read more

2018-19 Rugby Sevens Series: London Preview & Betting Tips

The 2018-19 Rugby Sevens series continues this weekend as the tour heads to London! We take a look at the event in full and give our betting tips here read more

2019 Super Rugby Round 15 Preview & Betting Tips

Round 15 of the Super Rugby season gets underway with a fantastic double header on Friday night from 5.35pm! We take a look at all seven games over the weekend and give our betting tips here read more


Major Harness Races in Australasia

There are approximately 90 Group 1 level harness races in Australia and New Zealand each year; we've highlighted some of most high profile races on the annual racing calendar here. read more

Harness racing form: what are the most important things to consider

Harness racing form can be daunting to punters that are new to the sport and form analysis for the trots is certainly different to that of the gallops or greyhounds. We've listed what we think the most important factors to consider are when studying the form for a trots race. read more

Harness Racing Barrier Draws

Barrier draws are crucial in racing and they are especially important in harness racing. We've explained why barriers are such a key part of harness racing form study and their importance to determining a horse's chances here. read more

Harness Racing Glossary

There are many common terms used in harness racing that may not make sense to those new to the sport. Our harness racing glossary will help you understand what some of the key terminology means. read more


2019 AFL Round 10 Odds

Round 10 of the AFL season offers a fantastic nine game slate kicking off Friday night with the Swans hosting the Magpies! We have all of the odds for the Round 10 action here read more

2019 AFL Brownlow Medal Vote Predictions Round 9

Our 2019 Brownlow Medal leader was the only contender to pick up votes during Round 9 according to our vote predictions. Do we have it right? Check out our thoughts for each AFL match here. read more

2019 AFL Brownlow Medal Vote Predictions Round 8

We have nine players within three votes of the leader in the race for the 2019 Brownlow Medal after Round 8 of the AFL season. Check out where our votes went and who the big movers are here: read more

2019 AFL Round 9 Odds

We're up to Round 9 of the 2019 AFL season, with the action kicking off on Friday night with West Coast hosting Melbourne. Here's the Round 9 betting odds and lines for every match of the round, with thanks to BetEasy. read more

Ladbrokes Bonus