Round 11 of the 2025 AFLW season is the penultimate round and there’s still plenty of sorting out that needs doing from a ladder perspective. Action begins on Friday night with a Showdown which is the perfect way to get proceedings underway.
Check out our best bets for AFLW Round 11 below and if you’re keen to follow our tips, then consider joining Bet Right!
2025 AFLW Round 11 Betting Tips
Adelaide vs Port Adelaide
Friday 7:35pm AEDT, Norwood Oval
The AFLW Showdown returns on Friday night to kick off the penultimate round of the 2025 season, as Adelaide and Port Adelaide clash in a crucial cross-town battle. The Crows currently sit seventh on the ladder at 6-4 but are coming off a humbling 40-point defeat to the undefeated North Melbourne. They’ll be determined to rebound quickly, with a win here essential to stay in touch with the top eight heading into the final round. Adelaide have built their success on pressure and structure, and they’ll be out to reassert that after being outclassed last week.
Port Adelaide, meanwhile, are coming off their best win of the season, a 35-point upset over the third-placed Hawks. That result reignited their faint finals hopes, and at 4-6, this contest is truly do-or-die. The Power will take plenty of confidence from their improved form and will be desperate to keep their season alive against their oldest rival.
Adelaide have won all three previous Showdowns, but the margin has narrowed each time as Port continue to close the gap. With confidence high and motivation clear, the Power look well placed to push the Crows to the limit and should be good enough to cover the +8.5 spread.
Port Adelaide +8.5
$1.88 (1.5 Units)
Sydney vs West Coast
Saturday 1:05pm AEDT, Henson Park
This is one of the most crucial matchups of the round as it pits the 5-5 and 9th placed Sydney Swans against the 6-4 and 6th placed West Coast Eagles. The Swans started the season on fire but have fallen in a whole with only one win from their last six matches. They were easily beaten by the Demons by 44 last week and now face an uphill challenge to play finals.
Meanwhile, the Eagles are aiming to make finals for the first time under coach Daisy Pearce. The Eagles, in contrast to the Swans, started the season on the back foot but enter Round 11 in terrific form. They’ve won three of their last four games with their most recent result being a 31 point win against the Cats.
The Eagles recent results are obviously far superior although they’ve still struggled on the road this season with a 1-4 record. The Swans have also been strong at home 5-1 record. The Eagles are certainly capable of turning the tide on Saturday, but the Swans do look the better bet to take care of business at home.
Sydney –4.5
$1.85 (2 Units)
Essendon vs Hawthorn
Saturday 3:05pm AEDT, Windy Hill
Essendon’s season has unravelled after a bright 3-0 start, slipping to a seven-game losing streak ahead of their clash with Hawthorn in Round 11. Despite the results, the Bombers have shown resilience in patches, particularly against top-tier opponents, where their pressure and contested work have kept them competitive. With finals now out of reach, they’ll be eager to finish the year on a positive note and prove they can still match it with one of the competition’s best.
Hawthorn, meanwhile, sit comfortably in third spot despite a disappointing 35-point defeat to Port Adelaide last week. The Hawks have been consistent across the season, but many of their wins have come in close contests decided by less than four goals. Their defensive structure remains strong, but they’ll be wary of complacency against a desperate Essendon outfit.
With motivation and pride on the line, the Bombers look capable of covering the +24.5 spread.
Essendon +24.5
$1.89 (2 Units)
Fremantle vs Richmond
Saturday 5:05pm AEDT, Fremantle Oval
Fremantle enter their final home game of the regular season with everything to play for, sitting 5-5 and right in the thick of the finals race. Last week’s narrow seven-point win over the struggling Giants wasn’t their most convincing display, but it kept their season alive. The Dockers will need to find more consistency and lift their scoring efficiency if they’re to secure a vital victory and stay in contention heading into the final round.
Richmond, on the other hand, have shown genuine improvement in recent weeks after what’s been a disappointing campaign overall. With only two wins for the season, both coming from their past three games, the Tigers appear to be finishing strongly. Their defensive pressure and effort around the contest have noticeably lifted, making them a tougher opponent to break down.
Given their recent form surge, Richmond look well placed to cover the +15.5 spread.
Richmond +15.5
$1.88 (1 Unit)
Brisbane vs Melbourne
Saturday 7:15pm AEDT, Brighton Homes Arena
Brisbane and Melbourne face off in a blockbuster top-four clash that could shape the finals picture. The Lions have hit their stride at the right time of the season, winning five consecutive matches after a patchy start. Their trademark pressure and contested dominance have returned, and they’re beginning to look like the premiership threat many expected. With growing confidence and momentum, Brisbane will relish the chance to test themselves against one of the league’s benchmarks.
Melbourne have been excellent for most of the year, sitting second on the ladder after a dominant 44-point win over Sydney. The Demons have displayed balance and composure across the ground, though their away form hasn’t been quite as strong as at home. They’ll need to be sharp to counter Brisbane’s surge and midfield intensity.
With the Lions in outstanding form and playing with belief, they look well placed to claim another big scalp.
Brisbane –3.5
$1.88 (1.5 Units)
Western Bulldogs vs Geelong
Sunday 1:05pm AEDT, Mars Stadium
It’s do-or-die for both the Western Bulldogs and Geelong in Round 11, with each side sitting on a 4-6 record and needing everything to go right to keep their finals hopes alive. Even with back-to-back wins to close the home-and-away season, a top-eight finish looks unlikely, but the Bulldogs are still an outside chance thanks to their superior percentage and a noticeable lift in intensity over the past month.
Geelong, on the other hand, were smashed by the Eagles last week and face a tough task to bounce back quickly. The Bulldogs have found their groove again, winning three of their last four, and their improved defensive pressure and ball movement should give them the edge. On current form and momentum, the Dogs look well placed to claim another important win and keep their faint finals dream flickering for at least another week.
Western Bulldogs to Win
$1.95 (2 Units)
North Melbourne vs St Kilda
Sunday 1:05pm AEDT, North Hobart Oval
North Melbourne continue to set the benchmark in the AFLW, remaining undefeated over the past two seasons and showing no signs of slowing down. The Kangaroos were clinical once again last week, dismantling a quality Adelaide side by 40 points to reaffirm their dominance at both ends of the ground. With their relentless pressure, precision ball use, and consistency across all four quarters, they’ll enter this clash at home as overwhelming favourites to continue their unbeaten streak.
St Kilda, however, arrive in terrific form themselves, having strung together six straight wins after a shaky 1-3 start. Their confidence is building each week, and last round’s 13-point victory over Carlton showcased their composure in tight contests. While toppling the powerhouse Kangaroos is a massive task, the Saints’ current momentum and belief should help them stay competitive for much of the match. They look capable of covering the sizeable +48.5 spread.
St Kilda +48.5
$1.88 (1 Unit)
Carlton vs GWS
Sunday 3:05pm AEDT, IKON Park
Carlton find themselves in the middle of the ladder logjam, making this Round 11 clash against GWS a must-win game to keep their finals hopes alive. After a strong 6-2 start, the Blues have stumbled with back-to-back losses and can’t afford another slip-up here. Their ball movement and contested work have been solid all season, but they’ll need to rediscover their scoring efficiency and composure to reassert themselves against one of the league’s strugglers.
For the Giants, it’s all about pride as their 2-8 campaign winds down. They’ve battled hard in recent weeks but last round’s 7-point defeat to Fremantle marked a fourth straight loss, underlining their difficulties in closing out games. With limited forward options and defensive lapses proving costly, GWS face another tough challenge on the road. Given the stakes and class difference, Carlton should respond strongly and are well placed to cover the -18.5 spread.
Carlton –18.5
$1.90 (1 Unit)
Gold Coast vs Collingwood
Sunday 4:05pm AEDT, Bond University
The final game of Round 11 sees the bottom two sides in the competition face off, with Gold Coast hosting Collingwood in what is essentially a dead rubber. It’s been a tough season for the Suns, who have managed just one win, but they’ve shown glimpses of promise at home where their effort and pressure levels tend to lift. With little to lose and a point to prove to their fans, the Suns should be motivated to finish the season strongly and stay competitive throughout.
Collingwood, meanwhile, have endured a disappointing year themselves, sitting second last on the ladder with just two wins. Their inability to convert chances and maintain consistency has been costly, and they’ll be keen to avoid finishing the season on a low note. While the Magpies will enter as slight favourites, this shapes as a much closer contest than the ladder suggests, with Gold Coast capable of covering the +13.5 spread.
Gold Coast +13.5
$1.88 (1 Unit)
