Warwick Farm Racing Tips: Wednesday, June 12th

June 11th 2019, 7:39pm, By: tim_tips

Welcome to our preview and horse racing betting tips for racing at Warwick Farm on Wednesday, June 12th.

There's seven races on today's card, with the track rated a Soft 6 and the rail in the true position.

We've previewed the entire meeting, with tips and comments for every race below.

Warwick Farm Racing Tips: Wednesday, June 12th

Best Bet: Race 4 - (2) Sedgemoor

Best Value Bet: Race 6 - (10) Shangani Patrol

Race 1

Provided she handles the wet track, (7) L'cosmo looks very hard to beat in the opener. She started a well-backed favourite on debut at Canterbury back in December, but failed badly. That was on a heavy track so that may have been an excuse. She was sent for a spell and resumed with a good effort behind Maddi Rocks at Canterbury three weeks ago. I think that's a pretty solid formline and definitely the best formline for this particular race. Of the raced brigade, she's the only horse that brings any decent form at metropolitan level. She was scratched from last Wednesday's meeting on wet ground, so it will be interesting to see if they line up today. (3) On Her Word rn well despite being caught wide throughout the race first up. Steps up to metro company but can run well again. (1) Light Exceed deserves respect from the Waterhouse/Bott stable, first up from a spell with two quiet trials under the belt. (5) Tereka the blowout.

Race 2

Tricky race, I can make a case for about five of the eight runners. I'm going to give (5) Disruptor one more chance. He ran 2nd first up this prep behind Reloaded, which I think is reasonable form, and went on to run in the Champagne Classic and Sires' Produce in Brisbane, both at Group 2 level. They were much harder races than this and he wasn't disgraced. Drawn barrier 1 here on his home track with the blinkers going on for the first time, he should be going close. (2) Sneaking To Win should appreciate conditions, given he ran 2nd on debut at Canterbury behind Master Ash on Soft ground. He resumes from a lengthy spell but has two trials under the belt to ready him for today. If he reproduced his debut effort, he'd give this a shake. (3) Super Pins went down as the odds-on favourite on debut at Gosford. He'd trialled well leading into that and given his short SP, it could be worth sticking with him today at $8 if you backed him last start. (4) You're Next has been heavily supported in early betting, firming from $3.75 to $2.50. He had two starts back in January at Canterbury and ran 2nd on both occasions. He looks the likely leader today and has obvious claims. The value looks to be the second-string Snowden runner (8) Vici. He's been gelded during his spell and he's trialled significantly better this time around. There's no jockey listed yet so it remains to be seen if he does line up. $18 looks over the odds.

TIP:

(5) Disruptor
$4.60

BET NOW AT Bet365

Value: (8) Vici $18

Race 3

Only three of interest here. (2) California Salto comes into this ready to break through. She was luckless on debut at Kembla Grange and then ran 2nd over this track and distance last start, beaten 1.8L. She's against her own sex here and draws much better in barrier 5 compared to 13 last start. Hard to beat. I'll be siding with the Waterhouse/Bott runner (7) Mini Boom though. She finished 3rd on debut in a 1000m race at Gosford and was a drifter in the market that day. She's trialled well but only over shorter distances. I think with that run under the belt she'll be much better off. She's also the only obvious speed factor in the race so should be able to slide across and find the lead at her own leisure. The value is (10) Satin Rain. The Anthony Cummings stable is flying at the minute, with two winners and two 2nds from his last five runners. This filly was given a very quiet time of things in her only public trial; she looked to have plenty under the bonnet so don't be surprised to see a good showing on debut here.

TIP:

(7) Mini Boom
$2.90

BET NOW AT BetEasy

Value: (10) Satin Rain $11

Race 4

I've landed with (2) Sedgemoor on top. He was beaten a nose first up despite a wide trip and followed that with a narrow victory over 1400m at this track last start. Steps up to 1600m now third up and even though he's tasked with 60kg, he looks the horse with the most upside. I think he'll also appreciate the bigger field size. (3) Lady Of Shallot was outclassed in some black-type races earlier this prep and was helped by a drop in class last start. She was first up off a six-week break for that run but should be fitter for this race today. There's some debate as to whether (7) Litzen is up to metro grade but she gets her chance today. She improved significantly from her first run to her second run this prep and comes into this third up, which is when she won her maiden last preparation.

Race 5

(7) Embracer looks the horse to beat here but he's short enough at even money. He comes off a win at this track and distance last start where he led all the way. He jumps up to BM70 company today and draws the inside, so will look to lead once again. He's well and truly up to this class but just at the prices, I'd rather back a different horse. That horse is (5) Jack's Bar and he's a $6 chance. I think that's a decent each way price. The Kris Lees-trained gelding was luckless when finishing 6th over 1100m here last start. He drew the inside, jumped slowly, settled near the back of the field and didn't get much room late in the straight. Blake Shinn goes on today which is a big plus and the horse did win third up on wet ground last preparation. (4) Bare Naked Lady is racing consistently and will be thereabouts.

Race 6

A few chances in this. (2) Loveisili has two wins from his past two starts and finds another winnable race today. He won over 2100m at Hawkesbury two starts back before dropping to 1900m at Canterbury last start and getting the job done narrowly. He goes up in weight again today and draws poorly in barrier 12, so he'll need to improve once again to win. But he has the capability of doing so. (8) Mrs Madrid drops back from Group 2 company in Brisbane, where she bumped into the likes of Kenedna and Sixties Groove. We've already seen the form out of that race franked and this is significantly easier. She went close in a similar race two starts ago at this track so from the good draw she really should be very competitive in this. The stable is going very well at present. (10) Shangani Patrol is an interesting runner at double figure odds and one I'll be having something on. He's had three runs back from a spell this time in and he showed great improvement last start. The horse has had two starts at this track for a win and a 0.3L 2nd, so clearly when this stable travels him to Sydney, he is ready to fire. Fourth up last prep, he went down by 0.1L, with a 4.75L gap back to the 3rd horse. I think he's the best value in the race at $11. (7) Stardome gets blinkers on for the first time.

TIP:

(8) Mrs Madrid
$5.50

BET NOW AT BetEasy

Value: (10) Shangani Patrol $11

Race 7

Hardest race of the day. I think (3) Sweet Ava probably comes out of the best form race behind Reelem In Ruby and she wasn't far away in 3rd on that occasion. She's third up from a spell today so should be peaking and it's often a big plus backing leaders that are dropping in grade. (7) Unguarded is knocking on the door after two good recent efforts. Her only win was at this distance and she ran 2nd at her only start at Warwick Farm. (10) One Fire Beach and (5) Aperitif come out of the same race here two starts ago. On that effort, One Fire Beach would appear value here at $17 but the form seems rather sketchy from that race.

TIPS

Horse Racing Tips: Monday, June 1st

It's the start of a new week and the start of a new month, and we have two Eastern States race meetings to kick things off. Find Luke Krahe's best bets for Pakenham Synthetic and Dubbo below! read more

Esports Betting Tips: Sunday, May 31st

There is a great variety of action in the esports world this Sunday night and into Monday morning! We are back with another slate of best bets for all of the action here read more

Horse Racing Tips: Sunday, May 31st

There's six race meetings around Australia to close out the weekend and Luke Krahe has focused on the racing at Ballarat and Tamworth. Find his preview and best bets here! read more

2020 NRL Round 3: Sunday Preview & Betting Tips

Round 3 of the NRL concludes on Sunday with a tasty two game slate which gets underway at 4.05pm! See our full preview and betting tips for both games right here read more

ARTICLES

Performance Ratings & Pricing with Julian Vallance with Sportsbet

Julian Vallance from Sportsbet takes us through some of the key factors which he uses with pricing upcoming horse races such as performance ratings. Check out his video from Sportsbet here. read more


What is Over-Round and How do Sportsbooks Make Money?

Over-Round is an important concept for both punters and sportsbooks. It's how Australian sportsbooks make money! All punters should understand over-round, how to spot it, and how to find better value on the Betfair Exchange. read more


Betfair Commissions and Charges

Ever wondered why you can get such great odds at Betfair in comparison to other online bookmakers? We break down why that is the case and why Betfair isn't just for professional punters here read more


What is Lay Betting?

Lay betting is when you’re betting against an event to occur. You’re betting that a horse won’t win a race, a team won’t win a match or your player will lose to their opponent. Find out more about lay betting at Betfair right here. read more


BLOGS

Updated 2020 AFL Fixture

The AFL season is set to make its long awaited return from the COVID-19 pandemic! We have the updated and revamped schedule from Rounds 2-5 here! read more


2020 NRL Draw

The NRL have announced the full fixture for the remainder of the 2020 NRL season with games set to recommence on Thursday, May 28th. We have the full 2020 NRL Draw for you here. read more


2020 NFL Schedule

The National Football League (NFL) have announced their 2020 NFL schedule with the action kicking off on September 10th. Check out the full NFL schedule here. read more


BetEasy to Close, Merger with Sportsbet to Proceed

Sportsbet and BetEasy will operate under the one brand after it was reported in The Australian on Tuesday that BetEasy operations are set to close. read more


Picklebet

BetEasy NRL