The UFC returns to Brazil for UFC Fight Night 170 which is headlined by Kevin Lee and Brazil’s own Charles Oliveira. The fight card has been relatively overlooked by some and it shouldn’t be as it is full of some big names. It features a range of fellow Brazilians including Demian Maia, Gilbert Burns, Renato Moicano and Johnny Walker. Brazilian cards are often full of flashy moves and violence and it is hard to see this being anything but that.
UFC Fight Night 170 Betting Tips
Kevin Lee vs Charles Oliveira
This matchup is an exciting one as Kevin Lee looks to reassert himself as a top Lightweight contender following a clinical display against the at the time undefeated and phenomenally talented, Gregor Gillespie. This came following his move to Tristar gym to work under the world acclaimed Firas Zahabi. Personally, that move I believe could see him in the title picture in the next year or two as it combines Lee’s raw talent with a technical mastermind in Firas. He meets a challenging Oliveiria here but for mine it’s no harder than the Gillespie fight which he ended with authority. Oliveira is exciting and has developed his striking out of sight in the past two years which has made him a genuine threat to the top of the Lightweight division. He has won seven of his last eight fights with his one loss being to the consistent Paul Felder. If Lee stayed at his old gym and wasn’t at Tristar I would be leaning towards the Brazilian but a focused and strategic Lee should be able to largely stay out of dangerous positions and outwork Oliveira by utilising his strong wrestling which will likely see him earn the win by decision.
Francisco Trinaldo vs John Makdessi
This is a bad bad stylistic matchup for the kick heavy Makdessi. Trinaldo will use his strength advantage to get a hold of Makdessi and not give him enough space to show off his kickboxing. While Trinaldo is in his 40s now he should be on a three-fight win streak and will likely be too big of a step up in opposition for Makdessi, who while experienced, has failed to beat anyone of real significance.
Francisco Trinaldo to win
$1.62
Bruno Silva vs David Dvorak
Bruno Silva’s UFC debut didn’t go to plan, falling to Khalid Taha in his debut by submission. His opponent Dvorak steps in on a months’ notice and he is a bad replacement if you are Bruno Silva. Dvorak makes his UFC debut but he has been tearing it up overseas. He’s a well-rounded striker with deceivable power and strength and has a good enough takedown defence to stop Silva getting this to the mat and controlling him. Due to Dvorak being an unknown to most there is great value around for him as the market currently sees him as the underdog. I’m backing Dvorak to burst onto the scene with a knock out and I expect this market to flip by fight time.
Value: By KO/TKO $4.33
David Dvorak to win
$2.03
Mayra Bueno Silva vs Maryna Moroz
My final tip doesn’t come with quite the confidence as the above three, but I like the odds floating around for Moroz. She has had a run of injuries and bout cancellations but returned in fine style against Sabina Mazo in her last fight. Moroz looks to have a striking advantage and other than struggling against Esparza on the ground she has been able to keep most of her fights standing. Silva is still fresh and Robertson played straight into her grappling game in her debut so I am not convinced she is ready yet for the challenges of the UFC. Moroz takes the win in this one as long as she is able to maintain her range and not get sucked into making this a clinch match.
Maryna Moroz to win
$2.22
