Welcome to our preview and horse racing betting tips for Day 3 of the Swan Hill racing carnial on Sunday, June 9th.
Day 3 is headlined by the Swan Hill Cup, which comes up in Race 9. The track is rated a Soft 5 with the rail in the true position.
We've got tips and comments for every race on the card below!
Best Bet: Race 6 - (2) Stealthy Lucas
No confidence to start the day as I can’t locate any jump-outs for the Ex-Weir runner (12) Statement Of Faith. Now with the Maher/Eustace stable, she was only fair on debut across in SA and hard to know where she is at. (9) Fearless Falcon is consistent but is still a maiden after 24 starts, (6) Alltoofast is in a similar boat, still yet to crack it after 12 starts and is certainly better than what she showed on the synthetic last time. (2) Danbana is resuming with the blinkers on, he showed a lot of versatility at his last prep. I expect that the track will be playing leaderish and with the gear change, I can see him jumping on the bunny and hard to catch.
(4) Cashed Up has been runner-up at both of his starts, this looks his race. He won’t be flash odds and those that took the LONG odds-on last time will no doubt be looking to get some back. He has tactical speed, will go forward and probably only needs a cheap sectional or two outside the speed and they won’t be running him down.
As the name of the race suggests, this lot has had plenty of chances. (7) Salt Of The Earth has not placed at any of his seven career starts. He got right out to the mile and a half last prep and resumes at the mile, a tough ask but this race really lacks any depth. The main positive here looks to be the addition of the blinkers. (5) Paint The Stars is a 13-start maiden, worked hard last time and dropped off in a race where the back-markers were well favoured. He may need some luck off the inside if he doesn’t jump in the first few. (11) Havana Deejay has placed at 1 from 11 and drops back to the mile. He is very one paced.
Yes, they have split this race into two.... (3) Quattro Porte has placed at 5 of his 14 starts. HE was poor resuming but had backing at Wodonga last time and was gallant in defeat after a torrid run. He is drawn out again but I expect him to be ridden very positively and try to lead all the way. There is some speed underneath him but he has more talent. Ride him as the best of a bad group and he will be hard to run past. Watch for any money for (7) Costalot resuming for the Blackiston yard.
It doesn’t get much easier here. (14) Night Passage has the low draw but from what we saw on debut it shouldn’t be a problem. He settled on the leaders back up the straight at Flemington, he was a little flat-footed before finding the line well. He had trialed well, this looks easier and the winner there looks to be well above average. (13) Regal Ballerina has been good at her last couple and has speed, (9) Tears To Glory is a first-starter for the Payne yard, trialed very quietly but don’t be surprised if this has been the target. (4) Garbo has placed at his last two and may try to lead all the way from the inside draw. Tough race.
(2) Stealthy Lucas looks the best of good things, he will be very short and deserves to be. He had no luck in an 84-grade at Flemington last time, was held-up at a vital stage before running on hard. He was well beaten but lost momentum at a vital stage. The step up in distance looks ideal, the small field suits and he should be too classy.
I really like the chances of (2) Celtic Blast. He dumped the rider at the start fresh before coming out and winning at Bendigo. He was well beaten up the straight in a harder race last time, the key here looks to be coming back around the bend. He can over-race but over this trip, I imagine there will be no attempting to restrain so he will just be jumping and running. (3) Aluf has been up a long time but is very consistent, (6) Definia handles the wet tracks well and (7) Grandview Avenue was well beaten by a smart one at Flemington last time, he wouldn’t be travelling up from the Bool for nothing
(9) Annemiek was a brilliant winner on debut almost a year ago, she has obviously had some issues (bandages off here) with such a long break. She trialed well enough back in late April, will be very interested to see if the money comes for her. She has the low draw and did get back at her only start, you can’t lose touch over this trip. (5) Heavenly Bridges has plenty of speed, the wide draw is a little concern but she may just be too quick. Happy to have them to only in this leg of the Quaddie.
The big one of the carnival and it looks very open. (3) Guizot has been up for a long time but is still racing well, (4) Spunlago was unwanted at Flemington last time but was perfectly ridden to get up in the last few strides. (5) Think Bleue is poorly drawn but will more than likely go forward and may have to sit outside the leader. (6) Brown Ben was a terrific run in SA last time at Group Three level, held-up at the top of the straight before knuckling down late after getting a run and getting into a place let. (8) Curragh comes through that same race at Morphetville and was held-up late, (10) Tan Tat Trusting will be giving them a start but is so consistent. (12) Connery has been brilliant at his last two and maps well. He was held-up badly at the Bool over the carnival before charging late, went to Sandown and bolted in, running on hard out wide to space them. Tough race.
(1) Kaplumpich has been gelded since we last saw him in work, he has placed at one of his first two fresh runs but we know the chop can often get them fired fresh. (2) Royal Boss resumed at the Bool, ran on hard along the inside which is not always the place to be there. That race has proven to be a good form reference. He then went back to his home track at Mt Gambier and was strong through the line. He was good last prep third-up, maps well to get the soft run in behind the leaders and that has looked a good spot to be through the first day of the carnival.
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