Welcome to our preview and horse racing betting tips for Day 1 of the Swan Hill racing carnial on Friday, June 7th.
Day 1 is headlined by the Elvstroem Classic and the Golden Topaz. The track is rated a Soft 5 with the rail in the true position.
We've got tips and comments for every race on the card below!
Best Bet: Race 2 - (12) Tranquil Victory
Best Value Bet: Race 7 - (2) Hard Empire
(12) Stratisfree is a 15-start maiden so she has obviously had her chances, but I like her on an each-way basis here. She was beaten 8 lengths at Wangaratta when resuming but forget the margin, she was held-up at a vital stage and only battled late when she had lost all her momentum. She was consistent last prep and went close to breaking the duck, there looks to be enough speed for her to get back and run on in what doesn’t look a maiden with much depth. (11) Sparkling Flyer is an interesting runner that was formerly wit the Hawkes yard and (9) Protocol will want further. Each-way all day with Stratisfree.
The second of the two maidens for the girls sees an interesting debutant for the Brent Stanley yard in (12) Tranquil Victory. She hasn’t had any official trials but was seen at a recent Bendigo jump-out. She was away with them and travelled very well in the run, cruised alongside the leader into the straight and was pushed out late to score narrowly. Sometimes people will look negatively upon trials where they are ridden out like this but for me it shows they are ready to go fresh. There doesn’t appear to be a lot of quality opposition, (4) French Success will have some support resuming off a fair effort in town on debut.
(9) I Am Bruno has been to the races four times and placed at his last two, he got back in his races earlier this prep over shorter trips and was finding the line well. He then went to Sale last time over 7 furlongs and changed it up by attempting to lead all the way. He kicked in the straight but was gunned down late, back in trip today looks ideal and hopefully they ride him with that same intent. (6) Governor Landy has had enough chances, (5) Galaxy Ghost looks the main danger after not having much luck on debut and wasn’t fully tested. Don’t have him going around a loser for you.
(1) Harbour Views was truckloaded all week to win on debut at the Bool over the carnival, he duly saluted and has since brained them at Bendigo at 64 grade. No need to look any further, he will win this and go on to much bigger things in the Spring.
Firstly, it is great to see that the Godolphin yard is supporting the country carnivals, (9) Spirit Medium was good on debut at Sandown after some solid backing late. She was up on the speed throughout and stuck on well, from the middle draw here she will roll forward and try to control the tempo. It is hard to line up the form with the babies, (8) La Falaise was heavily backed but just missed on debut after having every chance. (7) Civil didn’t shirk the task after a tough run at her debut, (2) Cassius ran on well at Moe last time and was ok on debut behind Microphone. Tough race.
(4) Inayforhay has been improving at each run this campaign. He was narrowly beaten at Mildura two back then went to Warracknabeal last time and bolted in. He ran on hard out wide from mid-field, hit the lead at the 100m mark and was strong through the line. He is drawn wide but will ease early an get back, as long as he gets the right horse to follow when the runs come, he should be finishing best. If (16) Dunman gets a start he may be the main danger taking on the older horses, he probably won’t want any sting out of the track though.
The feature of Day one of the carnival and it looks a tough race to assess. A few of them come through the same race last time when contesting the Goodwood in SA, that looks the right form line for a race like this. (2) Hard Empire was probably the best of them, but am really keen to take him on here from the wide draw. (3) Princess Of Queens lost a plate in the run and appeared to have every chance, the map looks to be in his favour today. There appears to be plenty of speed on paper and he will position up mid-field or worse but won’t spend anything early. When the leaders are struggling late, he should have a more economical run than his main dangers and finish too well. (4) I am Someone was well beaten in the same race but is better than that.
There looks to be two main chances and happy to play around them in the Quaddie. (2) Santelmo Fuego has the inside draw coming off consecutive wet track wins. Both wins were at Hamilton, the first was at maiden level then was held-up at a vital stage last time before getting clear in the straight and charging home. He handles the conditions well, it may just be a matter of if the inside is off or not. (3) Golden Halo drops a stack in class from Group racing n SA back to a BM64, she has been a little enigmatic this time in but they obviously have an opinion of her. Have her chopping out and take them two out in the Quaddie.
Tough race to finish and unlike the previous, we will be playing wide in this leg of the Quadrella. (2) Indian Thunder is racing well and is very consistent but I wouldn’t be keen to jump into him if he is at the top of the betting market. (3) Like To Think So has won second-up previously and gets the blinkers off after over-racing badly when resuming. (8) Don’t Blush Baby is resuming, he hasn’t raced since the Melb Cup carnival but should handle the conditions. (10) Strategic Force may be the value runner, he has won two in a row at Hamilton and handles the wet. He will get back but the tempo should be good enough for him to run on well. Tough race.
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