The final game on NRL Super Saturday heads to Melbourne this week with the Storm hosting the Sea Eagles. Always a fiery encounter between these two sides, there is plenty to play for in the run towards the Finals ahead. The tension is sure to be high in this match and fans will be the ones benefitting from an exciting contest. Before You Bet is here to take a comprehensive look at the game ahead with the aim of finding you a winner to add to your enjoyment.
Check out our full preview and NRL betting tips for the clash below and if you’re keen to back in our tips, then simply join Betr via this link!
The Storm did what they do best last week, completely outclass their opponents as they focus their attention on the Finals. Traveling to Newcastle held no issues for them as they prevailed 32-14, relentless pressuring their opponents and making the difference between the two sides evident. Their 6-try performance could’ve been more had they converted more of their tries. They powered their way to victory with 53% possession, an 80% completion rate and 9.7m per carry.
The Sea Eagles had a week off last week following their Round 18 30-12 victory over the Rabbitohs at home. It was a typical Manly performance at home, scoring 6 tries and showing their class. Unfortunately, performances like this have been infrequent. In that game, with 52% possession they completed at 80%, made more total metres and PCM’s and had 6 line breaks. They still have areas to improve upon though, including their 29 missed tackles that better teams (like the Storm) will make them pay for.
The home team has won 6 of the past 7 matches. With a 77% record here compared the Sea Eagles 30%, it is a strong sign that the Storm will again dominate this contest.
The Storm are the stronger team on both sides of the ball. They average 32ppg in attack and concede just 18ppg. The Sea Eagles score just 23ppg in attack and concede 20ppg in defence.
Despite 3 of the past 5 games being decided by 10 points or less, the average winning margin in that same time is 12.8 points. The Storm have won only 2 of the past 5 matches.
The Storm are a more capable and complete team compared to their opponents. Despite still missing Papenhuyzen at the back, they welcome back Coates and Munster to their team. Their inclusions are key to their chances and will trouble their opponents. The Sea Eagles have opted against shifting Tom Trbojevic to fullback, and they are still without Croker at hooker. This will limit their attack and require other players to fill the void left by him. The Storm should make a statement with their performance in this game and sound a notice to other teams that they are preparing themselves for a shot at the title as the conclusion of the season approaches. The Sea Eagles will be competitive, but that will only take them so far as the Storm (yet again) perform strongly at home.
Leg 1 = Sea Eagles Under 15.5 points – not a regular option but one that offers value. This is just above the Storms average for the season in defence and you would think that they wouldn’t concede too many points at home.
Leg 2 = Coates – dynamic as ever on the wing, Coates is confident and will be out to make a statement against players who consider themselves up to his try scoring standard.
Leg 3 = Munster to score – it has been a few quiet weeks on the try scoring front for the Storms playmaker but following Origin (and an emotionally draining week) it is expected that he will quickly rediscover this part of his game.
SGM Odds = $5 at Dabble
Date: Saturday 19th July
Location: AAMI Park, Melbourne
Time: 7:35pm (AEST)
Odds: Storm $1.32 vs Sea Eagles $3.40
Line: 8.5
Points: 48.5
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Scooby is our NRL guru with over ten years experience writing about rugby league with Before You Bet and previously at The Profits. His background is in playing and coaching but he's enjoyed the switch to share his knowledge through his articles, as well as sharing his thoughts on Twitter.
Scooby's strength is assessing the overall team - what they offer across the field in a match and how the ethos of a club contributes to their success. Momentum also has a major impact on sports, and Scooby likes to explore this, while underpinning his judgement against a solid basis of statistical analysis. When combined with the aforementioned points, it combines for a holistic approach towards betting on rugby league.
Other sports he enjoys include Cricket, Horse Racing and NFL. There is a reason why Scooby ‘clicked’ with BYB from Day 1 - he loves his sport as much as we do.
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