Welcome to our preview and horse racing betting tips for racing at Sandown Lakeside on Saturday, June 15th.
The track is currently rated a Soft 7 and the rail is in 5m position. I'd suggest it might be an advantage to be on speed, particularly in the early races.
We've previewed every race on the card below.
Best Bet: Race 2 - (2) Silent Roar
Best Value Bet: Race 4 - (12) Turn The Tide
Just about a no-bet race to kick things off, with 11 two-year-olds lining up, five of which are on debut. (10) Triton Rising has won two trials leading into his debut today. The first was back in January but he didn't make it to the races after that. He returned to the trials with a nice effort at Pakenham 11 days ago and now makes his race debut. They haven't missed him in early betting either - he opened $8 and has been backed into $4. That's a really positive sign from this stable, who are very good with juveniles and like a bet too. Mark Zahra is a strong jockey booking so all things point towards a strong showing. (8) Mr Causeway is one I'd be watching the market on. He hasn't trialled publicly but Damien Oliver takes the ride for Clinton McDonald. (1) Can't Be Done has done little wrong in two career starts to date, winning on debut at Sale before a narrow defeat at Caulfield last start. He races on the speed which should be a positive on today's track.
(2) Silent Roar should be incredibly hard to beat here. She bolted in over this distance at Caulfield last start on soft ground, winning by 2.75L in a BM78. She steps up to a BM84 today but that's no worry. She won her only start at this track and distance and her overall record at this distance is four wins from five starts. The wet ground is no problem as she showed last start and from barrier 4 she'll find the lead and prove awfully hard to run down. (5) Josephine Sea is worth giving another chance to. She was very well backed last weekend at Flemington but got caught wide without cover throughout the run. She won't have that problem from barrier 1 today and she goes best on this kind of surface, with three wins from six starts on soft ground. Another that should relish the conditions is (6) Gold Label Miss, who has only placed once from five starts on good ground but has two wins and a 2nd from three starts on wet ground. Include her in your numbers at $21.
Looks a nice race for (5) William Thomas, who worked home in the best closing sectionals of the whole meeting last start after stepping away slowly. He probably doesn't want to get that far back today (the small field helps) but if he jumps cleanly and can be within striking distance on the turn, he's the one to beat. (2) Malibu Style should get the suck run on the rail behind the leaders. He's always dangerous at this level and was only beaten a head by Bandipur in the same race as William Thomas last start. He goes well on soft ground and if William Thomas jumps slowly, Malibu Style is probably worth jumping on in the run. (9) Peko isn't without a hope first up. This is a class test but she's finished in the first two in seven of her eight career starts.
(9) Beerz With Clint goes on top. He's ready to win now third up from a spell after two good runs back. He finished 3rd, beaten 1.2L in both of those races. Up to 1200m now, which he looks like he's crying out for, and also gets back onto soft ground which is probably his go. He's a bit of a non-winner with just one win from 12 starts, but he gets his chance to break through again today. (12) Turn The Tide could be value at $12. He was about 2L behind Beerz With Clint first up but then dropped in grade and won at Ballarat last start. Third up last prep he ran 2nd to Petrelle, which is decent form, so if he can bring that sort of effort here, he'll go well.
(1) Pacodali was dominant in victory last start and this looks another nice race for him. He won by 2L at Caulfield and only rises 1.5kg in the weights today. He'll get similar conditions with soft ground underfoot and the extra 100m should pose no problem at all. With even luck, he should be winning this. (5) Beau Balmain ran 3rd behind Pacodali in that race, which was his Australian debut. It was a sound effort given he drew wide and was tackling 2000m first up. He should derive plenty of benefit from that and he's also drawn much better in barrier 4 today. Additionally, he's undefeated from two starts when second up from a spell, so he gets his chance to break through today. But with all that said, he still needs to overturn a 4.75L margin from last start. (2) Lamborghini is an each way hope.
Another well-backed favourite relatively short in the market now, with (1) Dogmatic around $2.70. He comes into this off two good wins to kick off his preparation. He was dominant at Caulfield last start, saluting by 2.25L over the 2000m. That was on similar ground to what he'll get today so he should be suited once again. A couple of little things he has to overcome though, with a wide draw and a 5kg hike in the weights. (2) Mangione had a bit of support at longer odds in that same race, and he worked home well for 3rd. He's drawn a bit better today so might not get back so far. He's in with claims at each way odds. (8) I'm Dun Dreamin' is a blowout chance at $21. Likely a no-bet race but Igniter each way isn't the worst option.
Tricky race with a big field. With $4.80/$2.20 available, (12) Street Sheikh is probably a very good each way bet here. Given he's a winner of just two races from 15 starts, it's probably wise to back him much heavier for the place than the win. Overall, he's placed in 14 of his 15 career starts and he really should have more than just two wins to his name. He comes into this off a victory in Adelaide and I really like the booking of Damien Oliver today. I can't recall the last time (if ever) Ollie has ridden for Patrick Payne, so it's certainly an eye-catcher. His victory last start came on a soft 6 so the conditions won't be an issue here. The two Waller horses look the value in the race. (6) Mr Reckless comes out of a good form race first up and he's undefeated from two career starts when second up from a spell. This is his second Australian campaign and I'd be surprised if we didn't see any improvement from him today. Stablemate (16) Phoneme was stepped up to 2000m last start but had no luck at all. Back to the mile today, which is a tactic Waller has used with great success in the past, well-drawn and can give this a good shake.
Wide open race. There's three chances I'll be backing but only playing small. (1) Mr Marathon Man ($9.00) should be close to where he needs to be to start going close to winning one. He's had two runs back from a spell now and steps up to the mile third up with Damien Oliver jumping back on. He was a Listed winner in France on heavy ground over 1800m so a race like this isn't out of his grasp, even though he's drawn wide. (3) Al Galayel ($6.00) is very consistent and resumes from a spell here after failing in the Hobart Cup. He won or placed in eight of his 11 starts in his first Australian campaign, so there's every chance of him giving this a good crack and $6.00 is an appealing price. (8) Spanner Head ($8.00) might not have the best third up record but she's done nothing in her two starts back this campaign to suggest she's not worth having something on here. She takes on the boys today but she's come back in great order and should run well again.
(3) Buffalo River recorded a strong victory at Ballarat on his Australian debut, leading keenly before fighting on to win by three-quarters of a length. He tackled the 1400m first up and stays at 1400m today, but hopefully he races a touch less keen and relaxes a bit better. If he does, I think they'll take a sit, but on the other hand they could try and hold the lead given he's drawn inside the other two favourites. He goes on top in any case. (1) Asgard Massif has won his past two starts and will be looking to spear across from barrier 13. Both of his recent victories have come on soft ground so he'll get conditions to suit here and if he does find the rail, he'll be hard to chase down. The value could be (2) Persuader, who had no luck first up but bounced back to form when running 2nd to Asgard Massif last time out. With the three favourites every chance of creating a speed battle up front, I think Persuader can take a sit in behind and pounce late. She's a Listed winner over 1400m on the Hillside course here previously so she shouldn't be underestimated.
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