The two time reigning premiers continue their charge towards the finals when they take on Port Adelaide at the Gabba. Despite their ladder position, Port Adelaide have been extremely competitive this season, so this should be an intriguing clash.
We bring you our full preview and expert tips for the Lions vs Power below, with odds thanks to Dabble!
Brisbane vs Port Adelaide Prediction & Betting Tips: AFL 2026 Round 20
Hitting Their Stride
Like they have in their past two seasons, the Lions were being written off when they were 6-6 after round 12, however six wins on the bounce has Brisbane in fourth place and once again sitting as a genuine premiership contender. The Lions were in second gear for most of the game against West Coast last week, but did enough when it mattered to come out on top in a 24 point win. Brisbane’s attacking game is in remarkable form, being the highest scoring team in the competition and ranking in the top four for scores from stoppage, scores from turnover, scores from defensive half, scores from forward half and scores from centre bounce. While their defence isn’t performing as well as it has in previous seasons, they have the best attacking profile of any team in the competition.
Admirable Once Again
Expectations were incredibly low coming into this season for Port Adelaide, however Josh Carr has done an admirable job in his first season as coach. Sitting in 15th place with a 6-12 record doesn’t sound great, however they have suffered five losses by less than a goal and only have lost one game by more than 35 points. Port Adelaide’s competitiveness this season has come on the back of their defence, which is the third best in the AFL, conceding just 80 points per game. Despite not having a strong midfield, their pressure around the ball has done a great job denying inside 50’s, conceding the second fewest inside 50’s in the AFL. Their offensive game needs to improve a lot, but the Power can certainly take a lot out of this season.
Recent Head to Head History
Despite both teams being amongst the top four a lot since 2019, this matchup has been dominated by Brisbane across that time span. Brisbane have won eight of their last nine games against Port Adelaide, with an average winning margin of 39 points across those eight wins. The Gabba hasn’t been a happy hunting ground for the Power, who haven’t won at the venue since 2017.
Lions or Power? Here’s our Brisbane vs Port Adelaide Tip
Port Adelaide have been admirable this season, however this shapes up as what could be a breaking point for the Power. Coming up against a red hot Brisbane side that has kicked scores of 105, 115, 126, 123, 149 and 93 across their last six games is going to be an incredibly difficult proposition. The Lions rank first for clearances and third for inside 50’s, so it’s going to be tough for Port to deny entries which has been a strength for them.
Brisbane have put up huge scores from stoppage over the last three weeks, scoring 72, 67 and 64 points from stoppage. If Port get blown away at the clearance battle, especially from centre clearances on a small ground, it’s going to be tough for them to keep this game close. Expect the Lions to continue their strong form and great record against Port Adelaide.
Brisbane -40.5
$1.90 (1.5 Units)
Brisbane vs Port Adelaide Prop Bet
Brisbane’s six game winning streak has had a lot to do with Will Ashcroft’s excellent run of form. The back to back Norm Smith medal winner has had five consecutive games with over 30 disposals, with four of those five games seeing him record 32+ disposals. Coming up against a midfield that is shallow given the absences of Zak Butters and Connor Rozee, Ashcroft is set for another big game.
Will Ashcroft 32+ Disposals
$2.10
Brisbane vs Port Adelaide Same Game Multi
Will Ashcroft 32+ Disposals: As highlighted above, Ashcroft has reached the 32+ mark in four of his last five games.
Lachie Neale 30+ Disposals: Lachie Neale has had another outstanding campaign, averaging 30 disposals per game in 2026. The two time Brownlow medalist has recorded 30+ disposals in his last two games, and is averaging 33 disposals per game across his last two games against the Power.
Charlie Cameron 2+ Goals: After having a lean home & away season in 2025, Charlie Cameron has gotten back to his best in 2026. Cameron has kicked 38 goals in 18 games, and has kicked 2+ goals in 15 of his 18 games this season. Cameron has kicked 2+ goals in his last three games against Port Adelaide.
Brisbane vs Port Adelaide Betting Odds & Match Info
Date: Sunday 26th July
Time: 1:10pm AEST
Location: Gabba, Brisbane
Odds: Brisbane $1.10 vs Port Adelaide $7
Line: Brisbane -40.5
Points: 187.5
Where to Watch Brisbane vs Port Adelaide
You can watch the Lions v Power live and ad-free on Kayo Sports.
Back in our 2026 AFL Tips at Dabble!
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