NRL Semi Finals: Roosters v Raiders Preview & Betting Tips

October 8th 2020, 12:59pm, By: Scooby

NRL Roosters vs Raiders Betting Tips

The Roosters will square off against the Raiders in the first of the two NRL semi finals on Friday night! As usual, Scooby has you covered with a full preview and best bets for the massive clash below. The action kicks off at 7.50pm from the SCG. 

Sydney Roosters v Canberra Raiders

SCG, Friday 7.50pm (AEDT)

All eyes were on the Roosters to see how they would bounce back from their 60-8 drubbing against the Rabbitohs in Round 20; the task of coming up against the competition leading Panthers in Week 1 of the Finals was going to be a difficult one. They started well with a try inside 5 minutes and jumped to a 10-nil leader after 8 minutes. Unfortunately, the Panthers then went on a 28-nil run for the next 35 minutes; aside from conceding points, the dip in defensive structure was evident compared to previous years. They fought their way back into the contest, narrowly defeated 29-28 in the end but the damage was done by the 50th minute. They had some positives that they will take into this week’s fixture; they had slightly more possession in that match (51%) and completed at 80%, made slightly more metres and post contact metres, had more tackle breaks and line breaks and missed fewer tackles. This suggests that perhaps they were just beaten by a better team on the night.

The Raiders, in sudden death, produced a strong second half display to overcome the Sharks 32-20. Many didn’t expect the 8th placed team to put up such a fight and a 10-6 lead just prior to HT had many believing that an upset could be possible. Soon enough, Jack Wighton took complete control of his team’s performance, scoring two tries in 3 minutes to completely turn the match around. Despite winning, they will want to improve on numerous areas of this match. They completed at just 68%, made fewer metres (almost 200m) and post contact metres and made 14 total errors. The Raiders will be pleased with the fact that they won the match despite being poor in those areas but the task becomes more difficult now against a team who rarely loses 3-consecutive games.

The Stats

This could be a high scoring contest with both sides inside the Top 6 when it comes to scoring points; the Roosters sit first with an average of 27.6ppg, ahead of the Raiders in 6th with 22.7ppg. It is no surprise that this coincides with run metres; the Roosters average 1,775m per game (3rd) and 615.8pcm (5th) compared to the Raiders 1,663m per game (9th) and 549.9pcm (10th). The Roosters also have the edge when it comes to try assists, averaging 3.9 (1st), ahead of the Raiders 2.9 (7th). As for the overall record, these two sides have met 39 times since 1998, with the Roosters winning 26 times. The Roosters have an incredible 75% winning record at this ground but the Raiders are 100% successful after defeating the Roosters 24-20 back in Round 10 this year. The Roosters won 6 of the past 10 meetings between these two sides dating back to Round 12, 2014. Home ground advantage has been a massive factor, with the visitors winning just 3 times in that 10-game period. The average margin of victory in that same period sits at 8.3 points, with blowout victories (2014 – 28 points and 2015 – 14 points) lifting the average.

Verdict

The Roosters are listed as strong favourites for this match and are boosted further by the return of key players, most notably hooker Jake Friend (who was also absent in their Round 17 fixture). The Raiders carry the same team from last week into this game and will aim to not only knock the Roosters out of the Finals but deliver a rare 3-game losing streak to the reigning Premiers. As stated above, the performance of the Roosters wasn’t as bad as it may have appeared (being down 28-10). Then again, momentum is an interesting thing in rugby league and the Raiders would arguably have a greater abundance of it. In a condensed season, it is great to have 2 previous matches to look back on as indicators for how this game may play out.

In Round 10, the Raiders were too strong for the Roosters, dominating possession, having a far superior completion rate and making half the amount of errors. In Round 17, the Roosters edged out the Raiders and in that game, they had a slight edge on possession, had a superior completion rate and made fewer errors (amazingly 15 v 8 – so almost half again). The key for this game undoubtedly lies within those areas and the Roosters appear most capable of controlling this. That isn’t to discredit the Raiders, but the loss of Hodgson in the middle has limited their effectiveness in doing what is required here. On their day though, they are capable of defeating the Roosters and will relish the fact that they are ‘underdogs’ in this contest. This game is a lot closer than the odds are suggesting (Raiders @ $2.75 is ridiculous) and the line is enticing (+5.5 @ $1.95). Taking the line does allow for an upset win to the Raiders, while also compensating for a close Roosters victory. If you believe that the Roosters will win, then it is recommended that you invest on them 1-12 ($2.90) as a 13+ margin of victory appears unlikely.


TIPS

2020-21 NBA Betting Tips: Saturday 16rth of January

We're well up with our NBA betting tips this season and will look to bring you some more winners from the big Saturday slate. Check them out right here! read more

Big Bash League (BBL10): Sixers vs Scorchers Betting Tips

We are in for an absolute cracking match Saturday night as the ladder-leading Sydney Sixers take on the in-form team of the competition in the Perth Scorchers. Billy Bestford is back on deck to take a look at the game in full and give his betting tips here read more

Horse Racing Tips: Friday, January 15th

Friday night racing takes place at Moonee Valley this week and our racing expert Trent Crebbin has picked out his best bets for tonight's racing! read more

NFL 2020-21: Divisional Round Preview & Betting Tips

What a great week it was in the first round of the NFL playoffs. There were some thrilling results in the first six games and there are another four to look forward to this weekend as the divisional round kicks off on Saturday. We have you covered with a preview and betting tips for all four games here read more

ARTICLES

Best Australian Sports Betting Sites

The best Australian sports betting sites ensure safe and successful online betting for punters. Here's our list of the best betting options in Australia. read more


Performance Ratings & Pricing with Julian Vallance with Sportsbet

Julian Vallance from Sportsbet takes us through some of the key factors which he uses with pricing upcoming horse races such as performance ratings. Check out his video from Sportsbet here. read more


What is Over-Round and How do Sportsbooks Make Money?

Over-Round is an important concept for both punters and sportsbooks. It's how Australian sportsbooks make money! All punters should understand over-round, how to spot it, and how to find better value on the Betfair Exchange. read more


Betfair Commissions and Charges

Ever wondered why you can get such great odds at Betfair in comparison to other online bookmakers? We break down why that is the case and why Betfair isn't just for professional punters here read more


BLOGS

Top 5 Bowlers to Watch in BBL10

The countdown is on until the BBL10 season officially gets underway! We ranked our BBL10 top 5 batsmen to watch earlier in the week, and today we are doing the same for bowlers! Check out our BBL10 top 5 bowlers to watch, courtesy of Mr.Cricket, here. read more


BBL10 Teams: Predicted Starting Lineups

The BBL10 squads are pretty much finalised and the season is not far away! We've taken a look at the squads for each team, and put together our predicted starting lineups taking into consideration availability of Australian national players and the playing schedule of the international recruits. Check out our BBL10 team lineups here! read more


Top 5 Batsmen to Watch in BBL10

The Big Bash League season is just around the corner! In the lead up to BBL10, we will be taking a look at some of the key players who will be hoping to lead their teams to victory! Today, we go through the top five batsmen to watch in BBL10 read more


Top 3 Melbourne Cup Price Push Plays from Palmerbet

The team at Palmerbet take a look at three key chances for the 2020 Melbourne Cup as punters look to take advantage of the Palmerbet Price Push among 10+ other promos available for Palmerbet customers for the "Race That Stops The Nation" on Tuesday. read more


BetDeluxe

WinnersBet