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NFL Daily Fantasy Tips 2024-25: Week 4

September 29th 2024, 6:05pm, By: Ben Bridge

NFL Fantasy Tips

The NFL season continues on Monday morning, with the hope that the product on the field starts improving, after some below average play league wide over the first three weeks of the season. We kick things off on Monday morning with an 8-game early slate, followed by a 4-game late window, with some decent matchups in both. With scoring down across the league, fantasy football has never been harder to predict, that’s why it’s a great idea to check out our weekly articles to get you set for a big week on the gridiron.

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NFL 2024-25 Daily Fantasy Tips: Week 4

Quarterbacks

Kyler Murray - $15,640

Murray gets an A1 matchup this week, taking on the Washington Commanders who have, by all metrics, the worst defence in the NFL. The Commanders are also conceding the most points per game to fantasy quarterbacks, and whilst Murray will be without one of his favourite targets in McBride this week, he still should have a big game. Each quarterback that has taken on the Commanders has posted top 6 fantasy numbers, and with his dual threat ability, I expect a big game from Murray in week 4.

Jayden Daniels - $14,560

What more can be said about the rookie QB? Daniels lit up the league on Monday Night Football, as he single-handedly took over the game and beat the Bengals on the road. This kid is legit, and luckily for fantasy players, not just with the eye test. Daniels has shot out of the gate as the QB2 in fantasy, behind only Josh Allen. This week, he gets another great matchup against Kyler Murray and the Cardinals, who are allowing the 11-most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks. With this game being the highest total on the board, expect big things from both these quarterbacks in a shootout.

 

Running Backs

Saquon Barkley - $15,090

Barkley seems like the obvious choice here, and if a few things bounce our way, Barkley could put on an absolute clinic this week against the Buccaneers. The Bucs have struggled mightily against the run; however, those games have been without their pro bowl nose tackle Vita Vea. Vea is still listed on the injury report, however, could play but be limited. The other positive for Barkley and his fantasy output this week, is the fact that both Eagles’ top receivers are in severe doubt, with A.J. Brown questionable and DeVonte Smith highly likely to be out. These are all positives, before you even consider how good Barkley has looked this season. Get him in and don’t think twice.

Aaron Jones - $12,140

Can you say, revenge spot? Aaron Jones will take the field for the first time against his former team, the Green Bay Packers this week, in a game I expect a big performance in. Jones gets to take on a poor Packers’ run defence, who currently allow the third-highest explosive run rate, the fourth-highest yards after contact per attempt, whilst Jones is second in yards after contact per attempt, ninth in missed tackles forced by attempt, and eighth in explosive run rate.

Roschon Johnson - $8,090

This is a bit of a play on some noise in league circles that Johnson is inching closer to taking over as the lead back at the Bears. After bringing in D’Andre Swift in the off-season, the higher ups at the Bears must be closing in on benching the ex-Eagle, who has looked horrible this season. Johnson’s numbers were up across the board last week, particularly in targets, being targeted 5 times last week. If Johnson gets more touches this week, he should eat against a Rams defence that have the fourth-lowest stuff rate, whilst allowing the third-most rushing yards and 12th-highest yards after contact per attempt.

 

Wide Receivers

Marvin Harrison Jr. - $13,550

Whilst Harrison was on the injury report through the week, he is all systems go for this weeks clash with the Commanders. Much like their fantasy points conceded to quarterbacks, the Commanders are once again the worst team with a bullet in conceding points to opposing wide receivers. With Trey McBride out, Harrison should eat this week against a Commanders defence that has been torched by WR1s this season. A nice stack with Kyler Murray for this slate.

Stefon Diggs - $12,290

Diggs should be a solid WR2 in any case this weekend, however with Texans number 1 receiver Nico Collins questionable with an injury and Tank Dell out, Diggs has a great chance this week to increase his workload. Even if Collins play, I like Diggs to command a decent target share this week, as the Jags employ the fourth-highest rate of single-high in the league. Against single-high, Diggs leads the team with a 23.4% target share, a 25.8% first-read share, and 1.77 yards per route run. Diggs has a terrific floor and a massive ceiling this week against a poor Jags defence.

Allen Lazard - $6,780

Lazard is a great option this week as a WR3 of FLEX option for a great price. Whilst Lazard’s targets have dropped significantly since his week 1 breakout, I do like him to be targeted more heavily this week against a Broncos defence that is tough to break down. I’ve no doubt Patrick Surtain will be shadowing Garrett Wilson, which will lead to more targets for Lazard, who has always been a redzone threat for Aaron Rodgers. If he can manage a touchdown, Lazard is a game winner in your FLEX role.

 

Tight Ends

Mike Gesicki - $7,470

Tight End continues to be a wasteland this season in fantasy, unless of course you had Dallas Goedert in week 3. Whilst the Philly tight end is once again an obvious choice as TE1 this week, I’m looking a little further down the board for a solid option Gesicki and the Bengals take on the Panthers this week, who have allowed the second-most fantasy points per game, and eighth-most receiving yards per game to opposing tight ends. This is the game with the second-highest total in this 12-game slate, and a Gesicki touchdown is a great shout here, which should boost his score into double digits.

Cole Kmet - $6,300

Last week showed that Kmet has well and truly taken over the TE1 role at the Bears, after sitting behind Gerald Everett in the opening weeks of the season. Last week, Kmet commanded 11 targets and had 97 receiving yards. These numbers should continue this week against a Rams defence that has allowed the third-most fantasy points per game, and fourth-most receiving yards to opposing tight ends to start the season.

 

D/ST

Pittsburgh Steelers - $6,900

Whilst the Colts offensive line has kept Anthony Richardson relatively upright this season, AR5 has thrown some horrible interceptions to kick things off this year. This Steelers defence is close to the best in the league, and if they can put any sort of pressure on Richardson, I expect him to throw at least one poorly timed interception. With another relatively low total, and the Steelers conceding a tick under 9 points per game, they are a solid choice this weekend in the D/ST slot.

Denver Broncos - $4,570

This selection is a bit of a dart throw, and more down to how much I believe in this Broncos defence. If, and it’s a big if, Bo Nix and this offense can help out the defence and keep them off the field for more than three and out every second drive, this defence has enough to not only get to Aaron Rodgers but has consistently gotten better week on week. A real point of difference that should get a look in to teams of players with multiple squads.

 

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Based in Newcastle, Ben earns a living working for the NSW Government, but his real passion lies in sports and sports betting. Ben has spent years developing sports betting models for various sports and has been using these models for the past few years, creating articles for Before You Bet across NRL, NFL, Formula 1, and fantasy sports contests on Draftstars.

A lifelong Penrith Panthers fan, Ben has finally seen some rewards for his years of loyal support, with the Panthers chasing a fourth straight NRL Premiership in 2024.

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