Week 13 brings a massive Monday lineup featuring teams in very different phases of their seasons. Some are hunting seeding, others are trying to claw back into the wildcard race, and a few are fighting to keep the wheels from falling off entirely. With only a month left before the playoff picture locks in, every possession this week feels heavier.
NFL Week 13 Monday Betting Tips
Minnesota Vikings at Seattle Seahawks
8.05am (AEDT)
Seattle return home with legitimate NFC playoff ambitions and a 12th-man advantage that tends to lift their defence. Their pass rush has been a force this season and has made life miserable for quarterbacks playing from behind. Offensively, Sam Darnold continues to run the system cleanly, leaning on a strong run game to stay ahead of the sticks and opening up play action. At home, the Seahawks generally start fast, and that remains one of their biggest strengths.
Minnesota arrive still trying to regain stability after a frustrating run of losses. JJ McCarthy has shown flashes but remains inconsistent, especially on the road where crowd noise and pressure situations have forced rushed throws and stalled drives. The Vikings offence can look functional when the run game fires, but the defence has struggled to get off the field on third down and has given up too many long scoring drives in recent weeks. They can compete in bursts but have lacked the four-quarter execution needed against stronger teams.
Prediction: Seattle should control this matchup if they play to their strengths. The Vikings will have moments, but their recent form and travel concerns make this a difficult assignment. The Seahawks defensive front should disrupt McCarthy early and often, helping Seattle pull away in the second half. I think the Seahawks get the job done quite easily at home with the 12th man advantage.
Seahawks -11.5
$1.90 (1.5 Units)
Buffalo Bills at Pittsburgh Steelers
8.25am (AEDT)
Pittsburgh come into this week leaning heavily on the strength of their defence and the stability they have found in structure and execution. Their home form has been strong, and their pass rush tends to ramp up at Acrisure Stadium, especially in tight, grind-it-out games. Offensively, the Steelers have not been explosive, but they have been efficient enough to stay competitive, protecting the ball and staying patient. Pittsburgh thrive in lower-scoring battles where physicality shapes the game.
Buffalo arrive with big-game expectations, carrying an offence that still flashes as one of the most dangerous in the league. Josh Allen continues to be a playmaking engine, and the Bills passing game remains capable of igniting regardless of opponent. Their challenge has been consistency, alternating between dominant stretches and stalled drives. Defensively, Buffalo have tightened in recent weeks and have forced turnovers in key moments, but going into Pittsburgh requires a heightened level of composure.
Prediction: This feels like a classic AFC slugfest, but I lean Buffalo. The Bills may not dominate wire to wire, but they have the higher ceiling and a quarterback who can break the game open with one drive. Pittsburgh will create discomfort and keep the score tight. I think they can cover the 3.5 point line at home.
Steelers +3.5
$1.90 (2 Units)
Denver Broncos at Washington Commanders
12.20pm (AEDT)
Washington return home trying to steady the ship after an up-and-down stretch that has exposed their offensive limitations. Their defence has remained competitive, especially in the front seven where they have been able to generate pressure and disrupt rhythm, but the offence has struggled to convert drives into points. Jayden Daniels continues to flash athletic brilliance, yet the lack of consistency around him has led to frequent stalling in the red zone and long stretches without sustained momentum. At home, though, the Commanders tend to lean into physicality and shorten games, which keeps them competitive.
Denver enter this matchup riding far more confidence and form. Their defence has tightened considerably over the last month and has begun forcing turnovers at a rate that changes game scripts. Offensively, Bo Nix has settled nicely into the system, showing poise, mobility, and improved decision making, especially on third down. The Broncos run game has picked up steam as well, helping them control tempo and protect Nix. They arrive looking like a team building toward a playoff push, with balance on both sides of the ball.
Prediction: Washington can make this a grind, especially if their defence shows up early, but Denver have been the more complete and consistent team. The Broncos should be able to dictate tempo with their run game and force Daniels into difficult passing situations. I like Denver to win 24 to 13, pulling away late behind a steadier offence and a defence capable of closing the door in the fourth quarter.
Broncos -5.5
$1.90 (2 Units)
Other Tips
Rams at Panthers - Rams -10.5 ($1.88 at Dabble)
Cardinals at Buccaneers - Buccs -2.5 ($1.88 at Dabble)
Jaguars at Titans - Titans +6.5 ($1.91 at Dabble)
Saints at Dolphins - Under 42.5 ($1.91 at Dabble)
49ers at Browns - Over 36.5 ($1.90 at Dabble)
Falcons at Jets - Falcons -2.5 ($1.91 at Dabble)
Texans at Colts - Colts -3.5 ($1.89 at Dabble)
Raiders at Chargers - Chargers -9.5 ($1.88 at Dabble)
